CPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+3.8%
Next 1 month
+4.9%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -6.7% median,
47% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 44
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.75 +5.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$6M/day volume
64% volatility
-45% 1-year
-86% from ATH
52-week range · 6% of the way up · -57% from the high
$19.22$47.98
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 1.18.
1-day std dev
18.3%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+69.6%
Biggest drop
-26.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 47 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | 0.55 | -0.13 | -123.5% | -5.6% | -11.4% | -12.6% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | -0.17 | -0.29 | -75.3% | +10.8% | -0.7% | -6.2% |
| 2026-02-12 | miss | -1.13 | -1.73 | -53.7% | +7.8% | +32.4% | +15.6% |
| 2025-10-30 | miss | 0.22 | -0.24 | -210.9% | -9.3% | -15.5% | -18.3% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | -0.06 | 0.06 | +208.0% | +18.5% | +9.3% | +7.3% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | -0.75 | 0.19 | +125.2% | +11.3% | +43.8% | +62.0% |
| 2025-02-13 | miss | 0.06 | -0.16 | -366.7% | -5.8% | -9.3% | -1.0% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | -1.18 | -0.68 | +42.4% | +9.2% | +17.5% | +28.9% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | -1.06 | -0.64 | +39.6% | -3.4% | +3.4% | -10.3% |
| 2024-05-06 | beat | -2.01 | -1.75 | +12.9% | +2.4% | -9.8% | -11.2% |
| 2024-02-15 | beat | -1.92 | -1.79 | +6.8% | -12.6% | -26.2% | -25.6% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | -0.82 | 0.85 | +203.7% | +23.6% | +43.8% | +37.2% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | -1.86 | -1.15 | +38.2% | +12.6% | +17.2% | -0.8% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | -1.89 | -2.68 | -41.8% | -8.0% | -10.7% | -15.7% |
| 2023-02-17 | miss | -0.78 | -1.85 | -137.2% | -5.0% | -14.3% | -11.9% |
| 2022-11-01 | miss | -1.68 | -1.71 | -1.5% | -1.4% | -26.4% | -21.3% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -3.48 | -3.40 | +2.3% | +42.1% | +69.6% | +117.9% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | -2.55 | -3.00 | -17.6% | -3.0% | +9.6% | -1.9% |
| 2022-02-17 | miss | -2.70 | -2.94 | -8.7% | -20.2% | -5.3% | -16.9% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | -3.13 | -6.23 | -99.0% | -7.4% | -20.4% | -14.0% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | -3.48 | -3.00 | +13.8% | -7.2% | -18.4% | -7.4% |
| 2021-05-07 | -0.85 | -0.85 | — | +4.9% | +21.9% | +8.1% | |
| 2021-02-16 | beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +11.8% | -1.4% | -1.6% | +4.3% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | -1.64 | 0.21 | +112.8% | -0.3% | +13.9% | +81.8% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -7.83 | -6.61 | +15.6% | +0.7% | +2.0% | +28.8% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | -0.81 | -2.16 | -166.7% | +0.2% | -6.4% | -13.1% |
| 2020-02-24 | miss | -0.60 | -1.32 | -121.2% | -7.3% | -9.6% | -30.9% |
| 2019-11-05 | miss | 0.82 | -0.31 | -138.0% | -5.9% | +1.6% | -4.5% |
| 2019-08-01 | miss | 0.96 | 0.31 | -67.8% | -9.6% | -7.3% | -20.6% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | 1.00 | 0.67 | -33.1% | -2.1% | +11.0% | +3.5% |
| 2019-02-14 | miss | 1.93 | 1.53 | -20.8% | -5.8% | -12.9% | -14.7% |
| 2018-11-01 | miss | 2.21 | 1.05 | -52.5% | -9.2% | -24.1% | -23.2% |
| 2018-07-31 | miss | 2.99 | 2.74 | -8.4% | +0.0% | +5.4% | +3.1% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | 2.91 | 3.45 | +18.4% | -3.0% | -1.4% | -0.3% |
| 2018-02-15 | beat | 3.10 | 3.42 | +10.2% | +4.0% | +4.1% | +7.0% |
| 2017-10-31 | miss | 2.35 | 2.11 | -10.3% | -4.0% | +3.6% | +6.0% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | 2.58 | 2.60 | +0.7% | +0.2% | +4.0% | +1.6% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | 2.52 | 2.95 | +17.2% | +0.2% | -2.5% | -1.2% |
| 2017-02-16 | beat | 2.37 | 2.80 | +18.2% | +2.3% | +4.9% | +7.0% |
| 2016-10-31 | beat | 2.37 | 2.48 | +4.6% | +3.9% | -0.6% | -5.1% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 2.35 | 2.85 | +21.5% | +1.1% | +0.3% | +3.1% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | 1.84 | 2.54 | +38.0% | +3.0% | +7.0% | +9.1% |
| 2016-02-22 | beat | 1.73 | 3.01 | +74.0% | +1.0% | +3.3% | +8.5% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | 1.48 | 2.21 | +49.3% | +1.1% | +7.9% | +11.4% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 1.88 | 2.17 | +15.7% | +4.2% | +9.8% | +9.1% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | 1.43 | 1.45 | +1.2% | +5.0% | +5.4% | +4.0% |
| 2015-02-24 | miss | 1.19 | -0.68 | -157.1% | -0.7% | -7.8% | -4.0% |
Not investment advice.
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