CTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+3.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +2.0% median,
56% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 47
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.52 +3.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.7%
$15M/day volume
36% volatility
+49% 1-year
-29% from ATH
52-week range · 72% of the way up · -12% from the high
$40.15$69.55
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-09 (Tuesday, before open, in 102 days) · EPS est. 0.65.
1-day std dev
5.9%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+10.4%
Biggest drop
-17.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | beat | 0.65 | 0.77 | +17.9% | +11.2% | +9.8% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | beat | 0.61 | 0.74 | +21.3% | +3.7% | +7.3% | +11.3% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 0.52 | 0.62 | +19.2% | +5.0% | +0.3% | +10.6% |
| 2026-02-10 | beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +3.3% | +5.9% | +3.1% | -2.3% |
| 2025-10-28 | miss | 0.61 | 0.60 | -1.6% | +0.5% | -4.5% | -1.2% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +3.6% | +6.3% | +3.9% | -3.1% |
| 2025-04-30 | miss | 0.49 | 0.44 | -10.2% | -3.1% | -4.5% | -1.8% |
| 2025-02-04 | miss | 0.54 | 0.53 | -1.9% | -7.0% | -4.5% | -5.8% |
| 2024-10-29 | beat | 0.54 | 0.63 | +16.7% | -0.6% | +2.5% | +8.3% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +2.9% | -6.2% | -7.4% | -12.5% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 0.41 | 0.47 | +15.6% | +0.0% | +3.7% | +11.2% |
| 2024-02-06 | beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +6.0% | +3.3% | +10.4% | +6.2% |
| 2023-10-26 | miss | 0.54 | 0.54 | -0.6% | -4.1% | -0.5% | +3.0% |
| 2023-07-25 | beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +7.3% | -1.6% | -1.4% | +8.5% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 0.56 | 0.61 | +8.9% | +0.4% | -3.1% | -3.2% |
| 2023-02-07 | miss | 0.57 | 0.56 | -2.6% | -9.9% | -8.3% | -4.1% |
| 2022-10-26 | miss | 0.64 | 0.62 | -3.1% | -3.7% | -17.8% | -8.0% |
| 2022-07-26 | miss | 0.63 | 0.62 | -2.1% | -0.9% | +0.0% | +6.4% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 0.53 | 0.67 | +27.2% | +1.4% | +6.3% | +9.9% |
| 2022-02-08 | beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +4.3% | -0.4% | +1.7% | +7.7% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 0.37 | 0.46 | +23.2% | +3.2% | +8.0% | +17.2% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 0.38 | 0.52 | +35.6% | +0.1% | -1.4% | +3.0% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 0.37 | 0.46 | +23.2% | +1.8% | -5.9% | +2.5% |
| 2021-02-09 | beat | 0.34 | 0.43 | +26.5% | -0.5% | -2.0% | -3.4% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.24 | 0.34 | +39.7% | +0.7% | +3.6% | +14.5% |
| 2020-07-31 | beat | 0.07 | 0.16 | +140.0% | -1.0% | -3.9% | +5.2% |
| 2020-04-23 | beat | 0.14 | 0.19 | +35.7% | +4.6% | +4.4% | +6.3% |
| 2020-02-04 | beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +4.7% | -0.1% | +3.0% | -0.4% |
| 2019-10-24 | miss | 0.39 | 0.29 | -25.0% | -9.6% | -17.2% | -21.0% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +6.7% | +1.8% | +3.4% | +4.5% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +5.4% | -0.4% | -4.0% | -4.3% |
| 2019-02-05 | 0.41 | 0.41 | — | +1.1% | +3.5% | +6.8% | |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.6% | +0.4% | -2.2% | -0.5% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.34 | 0.39 | +16.4% | +3.7% | -2.3% | -3.4% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +13.3% | +0.7% | +3.5% | +6.2% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 0.30 | 0.39 | +30.0% | -1.1% | +0.7% | -3.0% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +8.1% | +2.6% | +3.6% | +7.1% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -3.5% | +1.2% | +1.4% | +2.5% |
| 2017-04-27 | 0.26 | 0.26 | — | -0.2% | +1.9% | +1.9% | |
| 2017-02-07 | beat | 0.23 | 0.29 | +26.1% | +4.3% | +9.2% | +9.7% |
| 2016-10-28 | beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +19.1% | +9.4% | +6.7% | +2.7% |
| 2016-07-29 | miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -4.9% | -3.5% | -2.4% | -0.7% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +16.4% | +6.8% | +10.1% | +8.3% |
| 2016-02-08 | miss | 0.25 | 0.20 | -21.1% | -3.6% | -2.3% | -1.6% |
| 2015-10-26 | miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -2.8% | -4.8% | -13.9% | -7.8% |
| 2015-07-27 | beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +15.4% | -4.5% | +0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2015-04-27 | miss | 0.23 | 0.20 | -11.1% | -0.6% | +2.4% | +0.6% |
| 2015-02-05 | miss | 0.25 | 0.24 | -2.0% | +0.6% | -1.9% | -0.5% |
| 2014-10-27 | beat | 0.26 | 0.29 | +13.7% | +0.8% | +7.4% | +10.7% |
| 2014-07-28 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +8.7% | -0.3% | +0.7% | -0.2% |
| 2014-04-28 | beat | 0.19 | 0.19 | +2.7% | -0.1% | -5.4% | -6.6% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +8.7% | +1.7% | +5.9% | +8.1% |
| 2013-10-28 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +7.5% | -1.5% | +6.0% | +6.7% |
| 2013-07-22 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +5.3% | -2.0% | -2.8% | -3.6% |
| 2013-04-23 | miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -9.7% | -0.6% | +2.9% | -4.1% |
| 2013-01-28 | miss | 0.24 | 0.18 | -25.0% | -6.1% | -3.2% | -4.3% |
| 2012-10-23 | miss | 0.21 | 0.20 | -6.2% | +0.4% | +0.0% | +5.7% |
| 2012-07-23 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +16.1% | +0.8% | -3.3% | +0.5% |
| 2012-04-24 | beat | 0.06 | 0.14 | +154.6% | +2.9% | +1.4% | -3.7% |
| 2012-01-25 | miss | 0.23 | 0.22 | -4.3% | +0.0% | -1.6% | +6.0% |
Not investment advice.
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