CVModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+2.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.8% median,
77% of the last 22 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 39
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.22 +3.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$53M/day volume
45% volatility
-10% 1-year
-25% from ATH
52-week range · 33% of the way up · -25% from the high
$443.34$713.01
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. 5.38.
1-day std dev
7.3%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+19.2%
Biggest drop
-23.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | miss | 5.55 | 5.43 | -2.2% | -3.8% | -2.7% | +5.3% |
| 2026-05-21 | beat | 5.30 | 5.42 | +2.3% | -1.5% | +3.6% | +8.8% |
| 2026-01-29 | miss | 6.00 | 5.58 | -7.0% | -11.2% | -20.3% | -12.8% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 6.05 | 6.55 | +8.3% | +10.3% | +5.1% | +14.4% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 5.31 | 6.42 | +20.9% | +6.4% | +4.7% | +12.5% |
| 2025-05-22 | beat | 4.80 | 5.40 | +12.5% | -1.5% | -5.3% | -15.2% |
| 2025-01-30 | beat | 4.61 | 6.90 | +49.7% | +0.0% | +6.7% | +10.9% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 4.85 | 5.28 | +8.9% | +7.9% | +9.0% | +16.1% |
| 2024-08-01 | miss | 4.68 | 4.11 | -12.3% | -6.5% | -4.6% | -8.3% |
| 2024-05-23 | miss | 4.76 | 4.03 | -15.2% | -0.8% | -1.9% | -0.1% |
| 2024-02-01 | miss | 4.37 | 4.27 | -2.3% | -0.1% | +1.7% | +7.3% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | 5.31 | 4.76 | -10.3% | -0.5% | +5.7% | +1.0% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | 5.83 | 5.29 | -9.3% | +0.4% | +4.0% | +5.3% |
| 2023-05-18 | beat | 4.99 | 5.39 | +8.0% | -2.1% | -6.1% | -7.6% |
| 2023-02-02 | beat | 5.68 | 6.66 | +17.4% | -7.6% | -1.5% | +2.3% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 5.62 | 8.25 | +46.9% | +4.5% | -0.4% | +14.3% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 5.35 | 6.63 | +23.9% | +1.7% | +7.3% | +11.5% |
| 2022-05-26 | beat | 4.70 | 6.34 | +34.9% | +1.7% | +1.2% | +1.1% |
| 2022-02-03 | beat | 3.32 | 5.34 | +60.8% | +1.0% | +4.8% | +2.2% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 2.75 | 4.06 | +47.6% | +1.9% | +1.6% | +12.2% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 2.00 | 2.92 | +46.0% | +1.4% | +2.7% | +5.3% |
| 2021-05-26 | beat | 1.60 | 2.83 | +77.2% | +2.3% | -1.7% | +2.0% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 1.82 | 2.00 | +9.7% | -0.1% | +3.9% | +13.6% |
| 2020-10-29 | miss | 1.88 | 1.79 | -4.5% | -4.3% | -3.3% | +9.6% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 1.38 | 1.97 | +43.0% | -1.2% | -1.3% | +0.8% |
| 2020-05-26 | beat | 1.88 | 1.93 | +2.8% | +3.7% | +1.2% | -1.1% |
| 2020-01-30 | beat | 2.02 | 2.24 | +10.9% | +11.8% | +6.5% | +8.8% |
| 2019-10-28 | beat | 2.16 | 2.43 | +12.4% | +3.9% | -2.9% | -4.2% |
| 2019-07-29 | beat | 2.08 | 2.49 | +19.5% | +3.5% | +9.1% | +12.1% |
| 2019-05-23 | beat | 1.53 | 2.34 | +52.9% | +7.1% | +14.8% | +6.8% |
| 2019-02-04 | miss | 1.90 | 1.44 | -24.2% | -6.2% | -16.7% | -8.8% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | 1.49 | 1.67 | +12.1% | -9.9% | -23.0% | -18.3% |
| 2018-08-06 | beat | 1.55 | 1.99 | +28.6% | +6.3% | +6.6% | +7.6% |
| 2018-05-29 | beat | 1.62 | 2.05 | +26.9% | +8.7% | +13.2% | +23.7% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 1.24 | 1.72 | +38.7% | +7.2% | +14.3% | +11.8% |
| 2017-11-07 | miss | 0.80 | 0.67 | -16.2% | -2.9% | -2.3% | -3.9% |
| 2017-08-07 | beat | 1.08 | 1.28 | +18.5% | -3.8% | +1.4% | -7.5% |
| 2017-06-12 | beat | 1.02 | 1.19 | +16.7% | +8.9% | +10.8% | +12.1% |
| 2017-02-06 | beat | 0.97 | 1.35 | +39.2% | +9.0% | +10.7% | +15.8% |
| 2016-11-08 | beat | 0.92 | 1.03 | +12.6% | +0.0% | +3.7% | -1.1% |
| 2016-08-09 | 0.60 | 0.60 | — | -0.5% | -0.3% | +2.3% | |
| 2016-05-26 | beat | 0.76 | 0.77 | +1.3% | -1.1% | +4.8% | +2.8% |
| 2016-01-28 | beat | 0.80 | 0.89 | +11.2% | +9.7% | +5.8% | -6.1% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.75 | 0.89 | +18.7% | +4.8% | +19.2% | +15.0% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | 0.50 | 0.60 | +20.0% | +1.0% | -0.4% | +1.5% |
| 2015-05-21 | beat | 0.52 | 0.66 | +26.9% | +5.0% | +1.6% | +5.1% |
| 2015-01-29 | beat | 0.60 | 0.65 | +8.3% | -1.3% | -4.2% | +2.9% |
| 2014-10-30 | miss | 0.63 | 0.61 | -3.2% | +7.8% | -2.0% | +0.2% |
| 2014-07-31 | beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +9.4% | -1.0% | +1.5% | +2.0% |
| 2014-05-22 | beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +8.1% | +3.3% | +2.4% | -2.3% |
| 2014-01-30 | beat | 0.49 | 0.66 | +34.7% | -3.3% | +4.9% | -2.1% |
| 2013-10-31 | beat | 0.46 | 0.50 | +8.7% | -0.5% | -2.0% | -2.6% |
| 2013-08-01 | miss | 0.40 | 0.26 | -35.0% | -1.3% | +4.5% | -3.2% |
| 2013-05-23 | miss | 0.21 | 0.20 | -4.8% | -0.4% | -1.2% | +1.0% |
| 2013-01-31 | 0.21 | 0.21 | — | -0.1% | -0.9% | -11.8% | |
| 2011-01-27 | beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | -0.4% | -5.8% | -13.5% |
| 2010-10-28 | miss | 0.12 | 0.10 | -16.7% | -2.5% | -3.1% | +11.8% |
| 2010-08-05 | miss | 0.20 | 0.08 | -60.0% | -1.0% | -2.7% | -8.4% |
| 2010-04-29 | miss | -0.05 | -0.11 | -120.0% | -0.3% | -0.1% | -4.3% |
| 2010-01-28 | miss | 0.03 | -0.16 | -633.3% | -0.2% | -0.5% | -7.5% |
Not investment advice.
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