CVModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.9%
Next 1 month
+6.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +13.7% median,
75% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 67
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.46%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.32 +6.1% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.0%
$12.5B market cap (#270 US)
$509M/day volume
61% volatility
-17% 1-year
-39% from ATH
52-week range · 11% of the way up · -39% from the high
$54.46$97.38
Congressional trades in CVNA Full tracker →
2 members · 7 buys / 5 sells · $12K–$180K disclosed · latest filing Jun 8, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
17.7%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+40.2%
Biggest drop
-39.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 38 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | 0.48 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +10.1% | -11.1% | -7.4% | +3.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +11.7% | +5.8% | -0.2% | +0.9% |
| 2026-02-18 | beat | 0.24 | 0.84 | +259.0% | -5.4% | -7.9% | -2.1% |
| 2025-10-29 | miss | 0.26 | 0.21 | -22.0% | -11.8% | -13.8% | -18.0% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +21.6% | +17.0% | +17.0% | +7.2% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.15 | 0.30 | +102.1% | +6.4% | +10.2% | +14.8% |
| 2025-02-19 | beat | 0.05 | 0.12 | +128.5% | -6.0% | -12.1% | -20.8% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.04 | 0.13 | +184.8% | +14.9% | +19.3% | +16.5% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +287.2% | +10.6% | +10.0% | +0.1% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | -0.15 | 0.05 | +131.1% | +37.7% | +33.8% | +38.3% |
| 2024-02-22 | miss | -0.18 | -0.35 | -90.7% | +29.4% | +32.1% | +58.3% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | -0.16 | -0.14 | +15.4% | -4.1% | +7.9% | -2.4% |
| 2023-07-19 | beat | -0.21 | -0.19 | +8.4% | +35.7% | +40.2% | +9.9% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -0.38 | -0.30 | +19.6% | +39.3% | +24.4% | +45.8% |
| 2023-02-23 | miss | -0.47 | -0.63 | -32.2% | -11.8% | -20.5% | +0.1% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | -0.39 | -0.53 | -35.4% | -9.1% | -39.0% | -17.2% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | -0.38 | -0.47 | -24.7% | +3.5% | +40.1% | +55.3% |
| 2022-04-20 | miss | -0.32 | -0.58 | -82.8% | -7.0% | -10.1% | -30.4% |
| 2022-02-24 | miss | -0.16 | -0.20 | -24.5% | +7.1% | +21.0% | -17.6% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | -0.06 | -0.08 | -27.9% | -3.6% | -0.9% | -2.0% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | -0.07 | 0.05 | +172.4% | +8.4% | +2.6% | +7.1% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | -0.13 | -0.09 | +30.7% | -1.7% | -5.9% | -9.8% |
| 2021-02-25 | miss | -0.10 | -0.18 | -82.7% | +5.4% | +7.5% | -0.8% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | -0.06 | -0.02 | +64.8% | +4.3% | -3.1% | +9.8% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -0.16 | -0.12 | +20.1% | -0.6% | +28.1% | +11.1% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | -0.13 | -0.24 | -83.3% | -5.7% | +7.2% | -1.8% |
| 2020-02-26 | miss | -0.13 | -0.16 | -26.3% | -13.0% | -12.6% | -26.6% |
| 2019-11-06 | miss | -0.08 | -0.11 | -42.6% | -6.3% | -7.5% | -1.4% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +6.3% | +22.9% | +25.1% | +36.3% |
| 2019-05-08 | miss | -0.10 | -0.14 | -43.3% | +0.6% | +5.0% | -3.2% |
| 2019-02-27 | miss | -0.10 | -0.15 | -52.9% | +7.8% | +7.3% | +18.3% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | -0.08 | -0.08 | -4.7% | +18.9% | +11.5% | +3.6% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | -0.07 | -0.07 | -7.7% | +13.1% | +8.6% | +15.6% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | -0.08 | -0.01 | +83.1% | -0.2% | -0.8% | +7.2% |
| 2018-03-06 | miss | -0.07 | -0.07 | -5.0% | -13.0% | -6.5% | +13.7% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | -0.06 | -0.06 | +3.2% | -14.9% | -3.2% | -1.3% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +14.1% | -4.8% | -5.9% | -21.2% |
| 2017-06-06 | beat | -0.06 | -0.06 | +3.0% | +14.8% | +32.8% | +75.2% |
Short interest — elevated Full report →
Crowding
59/100
Squeeze risk
48/100
12.5% of float short
7.6 days to cover
shorts -1% last read
89th %ile of its history
as of 2026-10-15
Posted about CVNA
See all ›
TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress
long
76.23
Mon, 11 May
Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 14 April 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
Not investment advice.
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