DHModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.0%
Next 1 month
+1.1%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -2.4% median,
48% of the last 25 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 92
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.53 +1.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$13M/day volume
38% volatility
+91% 1-year
-73% from ATH
52-week range · 71% of the way up · -18% from the high
$3.92$9.66
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 3 days) · EPS est. -0.13.
1-day std dev
9.8%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+59.1%
Biggest drop
-13.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | beat | -0.15 | -0.10 | +36.5% | -1.2% | -0.1% | -7.4% |
| 2026-05-04 | beat | -0.16 | -0.13 | +15.8% | -0.3% | +5.3% | +7.7% |
| 2026-02-23 | beat | -0.18 | -0.06 | +65.1% | -0.8% | -0.8% | +18.0% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | -0.23 | -0.22 | +2.3% | -5.7% | -4.8% | +3.4% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | -0.23 | -0.20 | +11.5% | -1.2% | +0.6% | +6.7% |
| 2025-05-05 | beat | -0.28 | -0.24 | +15.6% | +10.1% | +31.2% | +39.9% |
| 2025-02-25 | beat | -0.29 | -0.27 | +6.5% | +0.8% | +8.6% | +7.3% |
| 2024-08-01 | miss | -0.28 | -0.32 | -14.6% | -6.1% | -1.2% | -4.9% |
| 2024-05-06 | miss | -0.28 | -0.28 | -0.5% | -3.9% | -9.8% | +1.6% |
| 2024-02-26 | miss | -0.25 | -0.42 | -67.4% | +0.3% | +7.0% | -0.3% |
| 2023-11-01 | miss | -0.20 | -0.28 | -40.0% | +0.5% | +4.7% | -4.7% |
| 2023-08-01 | miss | -0.22 | -0.30 | -36.4% | -0.5% | +10.4% | +45.8% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | -0.23 | -0.22 | +4.3% | +0.0% | +2.3% | +1.1% |
| 2023-03-01 | beat | -0.28 | -0.25 | +10.1% | +21.5% | +59.1% | +89.2% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | -0.23 | -0.31 | -34.0% | -4.4% | -12.6% | -1.5% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | -0.29 | -0.33 | -14.7% | -2.9% | +0.0% | +8.6% |
| 2022-05-03 | miss | 1.04 | 1.02 | -2.4% | +5.8% | +3.6% | -8.4% |
| 2022-02-23 | miss | -0.28 | -0.33 | -17.3% | -6.7% | -1.0% | -4.7% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | -0.24 | -0.30 | -25.5% | -12.4% | -13.5% | -10.2% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | -0.23 | -0.22 | +6.0% | +1.1% | +4.3% | +1.9% |
| 2021-05-05 | miss | -0.23 | -0.28 | -17.2% | -0.7% | -4.8% | -13.5% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | -0.22 | -0.17 | +26.2% | +0.6% | -3.7% | -4.8% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | -0.12 | -0.21 | -66.3% | -1.3% | -2.5% | +14.7% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.16 | 0.02 | +114.6% | -0.7% | -0.5% | -3.8% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -0.01 | 0.04 | +476.0% | +2.7% | -5.7% | -11.7% |
| 2020-03-02 | miss | 0.03 | 0.03 | -16.4% | +1.4% | +7.5% | -18.0% |
| 2019-11-07 | miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -58.5% | -0.5% | -9.8% | -16.4% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -25.0% | -2.3% | +5.0% | +4.0% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | 0.10 | 0.09 | -10.7% | +0.8% | +3.9% | +2.3% |
| 2019-03-01 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +6.1% | +0.0% | -9.3% | -6.9% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +17.0% | +0.9% | -2.5% | -2.9% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +11.1% | -0.3% | +1.2% | +0.7% |
| 2018-05-09 | miss | 0.65 | 0.18 | -72.5% | +1.0% | +1.0% | -1.1% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | 0.16 | 0.22 | +37.9% | -0.3% | -5.8% | +0.6% |
| 2017-11-09 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +15.3% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +2.1% |
| 2017-08-03 | miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -2.8% | -0.2% | -2.2% | -1.6% |
| 2017-05-05 | miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -7.9% | -1.2% | +0.9% | +3.1% |
| 2017-02-27 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +20.5% | +3.5% | +1.9% | +0.2% |
| 2016-11-04 | miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -12.5% | -0.2% | -1.8% | -9.1% |
| 2016-08-05 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +7.9% | -0.6% | -1.2% | -1.0% |
| 2016-05-05 | miss | 0.17 | 0.16 | -2.3% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +1.2% |
| 2016-02-23 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +14.6% | +0.5% | -1.4% | +8.5% |
| 2015-11-04 | miss | 0.19 | 0.16 | -13.7% | +0.5% | -2.2% | -7.6% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | 0.18 | 0.18 | -1.6% | -0.7% | -1.2% | +0.0% |
| 2015-05-06 | miss | 0.23 | 0.19 | -15.6% | -0.1% | -1.7% | -2.3% |
| 2015-02-26 | beat | 0.10 | 0.24 | +146.0% | +0.0% | -0.9% | -1.4% |
| 2014-11-03 | miss | 0.20 | 0.18 | -8.1% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -0.6% |
| 2014-08-04 | miss | 0.19 | 0.18 | -3.7% | +0.0% | -0.5% | -0.5% |
| 2014-05-02 | miss | 0.27 | 0.20 | -24.3% | -0.6% | -0.9% | +0.1% |
| 2014-02-26 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +3.6% | +2.1% | +3.1% | +7.2% |
| 2013-10-29 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +0.9% | -0.4% | -0.8% | -3.4% |
| 2013-07-30 | miss | 0.23 | 0.20 | -13.8% | +0.6% | -2.4% | -6.6% |
| 2013-04-29 | miss | 0.25 | 0.21 | -15.0% | -0.3% | -1.3% | +1.1% |
| 2013-02-15 | miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -0.7% | -0.9% | +1.9% | -0.6% |
| 2012-10-29 | miss | 0.23 | 0.21 | -7.4% | +0.1% | +1.5% | +3.8% |
| 2012-08-01 | miss | 0.25 | 0.22 | -13.7% | +0.5% | -0.1% | -2.1% |
| 2012-04-30 | miss | 0.24 | 0.22 | -7.7% | -0.3% | +0.3% | -1.0% |
| 2012-02-16 | beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +15.0% | -0.3% | -1.2% | -1.6% |
| 2011-10-27 | miss | 0.24 | 0.22 | -7.2% | +2.0% | +3.3% | -1.7% |
| 2011-07-28 | beat | 0.23 | 0.38 | +61.8% | +0.3% | -0.1% | -10.2% |
Not investment advice.
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