DNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+2.4%
Next 1 month
+4.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +7.2% median,
62% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 92
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.45%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.54 +4.4% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.2%
$33M/day volume
55% volatility
+14% 1-year
-79% from ATH
52-week range · 41% of the way up · -29% from the high
$13.75$27.30
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.37.
1-day std dev
8.2%
Finished up
51%
Biggest pop
+38.2%
Biggest drop
-11.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 35 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.47 | -0.68 | -45.5% | +2.7% | +0.4% | -1.3% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.71 | -0.69 | +2.3% | -1.4% | -0.5% | -5.5% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | -0.75 | -0.73 | +2.5% | -1.3% | -1.1% | -8.1% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | -0.76 | -0.74 | +2.4% | +1.0% | +4.2% | +21.0% |
| 2025-08-11 | beat | -0.74 | -0.72 | +2.1% | +0.7% | -5.0% | +6.4% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | -0.70 | -0.78 | -10.8% | -0.1% | +2.5% | -0.1% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | -0.85 | -0.67 | +20.8% | +1.2% | -11.0% | -10.3% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | -0.63 | -0.63 | +0.3% | -1.0% | +0.2% | -3.7% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | -0.69 | -0.59 | +14.9% | -2.3% | -4.3% | -8.6% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | -0.66 | -0.78 | -17.5% | +0.9% | +12.2% | +23.8% |
| 2024-02-27 | miss | -0.78 | -0.86 | -10.1% | +18.1% | +38.2% | +21.1% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | -0.79 | -0.72 | +9.2% | -5.6% | -4.9% | -13.0% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | -0.63 | 1.30 | +304.9% | +9.6% | -4.3% | -8.9% |
| 2023-05-08 | miss | -0.70 | -0.80 | -13.6% | +0.2% | +2.9% | +10.3% |
| 2023-02-27 | miss | -0.75 | -0.75 | -0.7% | -0.6% | +1.3% | -2.8% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | -0.79 | -0.84 | -6.8% | -2.5% | -7.5% | +3.8% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | -0.55 | -0.48 | +12.2% | -2.7% | +0.4% | -2.7% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | -0.45 | -0.53 | -16.7% | +0.2% | -3.8% | -4.6% |
| 2022-02-28 | miss | -0.33 | -0.62 | -90.4% | -1.5% | -1.4% | -7.4% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | -0.38 | -0.69 | -81.6% | +0.5% | +4.4% | -3.6% |
| 2021-08-04 | miss | -0.36 | -0.50 | -38.7% | +0.2% | +4.0% | +4.0% |
| 2021-05-03 | miss | -0.20 | -0.58 | -186.4% | -0.4% | -3.5% | -14.7% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | -0.60 | 1.91 | +417.0% | +4.9% | +14.0% | -3.1% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | 2.20 | -0.54 | -124.6% | +3.3% | +3.8% | +24.7% |
| 2020-08-07 | beat | -0.61 | -0.56 | +8.2% | +0.4% | +6.3% | -1.4% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -0.57 | -0.55 | +3.2% | +1.2% | +0.1% | -5.1% |
| 2020-02-27 | beat | -0.63 | -0.56 | +11.1% | +7.3% | +3.9% | -4.4% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | -0.55 | -0.48 | +13.1% | +2.5% | -4.6% | -7.7% |
| 2019-08-06 | miss | -0.46 | -0.61 | -33.7% | -3.7% | -1.5% | -4.2% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | -0.44 | -0.41 | +6.8% | -1.7% | -4.9% | -12.1% |
| 2019-03-12 | beat | -0.32 | 0.79 | +345.3% | +2.1% | +1.8% | +1.8% |
| 2018-11-08 | miss | -0.29 | -0.38 | -32.0% | -3.4% | -3.9% | +10.8% |
| 2018-08-09 | miss | -0.22 | -0.59 | -164.9% | -3.4% | -1.4% | +2.9% |
| 2018-05-11 | miss | 0.30 | -0.26 | -185.3% | -0.3% | -5.2% | -3.8% |
| 2018-03-19 | miss | -0.29 | -0.74 | -152.1% | -0.5% | +2.0% | -1.7% |
Not investment advice.
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