DXModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+1.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.4% median,
54% of the last 37 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 57
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.57 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$84M/day volume
19% volatility
-19% 1-year
52-week range · 13% of the way up · -27% from the high
$10.31$14.93
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-25 (Monday, before open, in 88 days) · EPS est. 0.37.
1-day std dev
3.1%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+9.6%
Biggest drop
-8.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +2.9% | -3.1% | -3.4% | -0.4% |
| 2026-07-20 | beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +4.5% | +0.4% | -1.6% | -5.2% |
| 2026-04-20 | beat | 0.28 | 0.31 | +11.9% | -3.7% | +0.8% | +1.3% |
| 2026-01-26 | miss | 0.27 | 0.22 | -17.6% | -0.8% | -0.1% | -5.5% |
| 2025-10-20 | miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -5.3% | -0.1% | +0.4% | +1.5% |
| 2025-07-21 | miss | 0.33 | 0.22 | -33.3% | -1.0% | +0.1% | +1.1% |
| 2025-04-21 | miss | 0.37 | 0.21 | -43.7% | -1.5% | -1.8% | +6.4% |
| 2025-01-27 | beat | 0.04 | 0.10 | +167.1% | +1.0% | +1.2% | +4.6% |
| 2024-10-21 | beat | -0.10 | -0.10 | +0.2% | +2.1% | -0.6% | -1.7% |
| 2024-07-22 | beat | -0.20 | -0.12 | +39.0% | +0.6% | +1.0% | -1.6% |
| 2024-04-22 | miss | -0.08 | -0.30 | -277.6% | -1.0% | -2.1% | +0.8% |
| 2024-01-29 | miss | -0.20 | -0.24 | -19.4% | +0.9% | +1.2% | -4.6% |
| 2023-10-23 | beat | -0.34 | -0.28 | +18.8% | -3.0% | -3.5% | -9.6% |
| 2023-07-24 | miss | -0.20 | -0.27 | -35.0% | +1.8% | +4.3% | +3.7% |
| 2023-04-24 | miss | 0.20 | -0.16 | -180.0% | -2.5% | -0.4% | -2.9% |
| 2023-01-30 | miss | 0.19 | 0.03 | -84.0% | -1.5% | -5.6% | -5.2% |
| 2022-10-24 | miss | 0.31 | 0.24 | -21.9% | -1.4% | -6.1% | +2.2% |
| 2022-07-25 | miss | 0.42 | 0.40 | -4.3% | -2.4% | -3.2% | +2.2% |
| 2022-04-27 | miss | 0.45 | 0.44 | -1.4% | +5.2% | +9.6% | +15.0% |
| 2022-02-03 | beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +2.3% | +0.8% | +0.8% | +2.8% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 0.49 | 0.54 | +11.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | -0.7% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.47 | 0.51 | +7.9% | -0.5% | +1.0% | -1.4% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.46 | 0.46 | +0.9% | +0.3% | +1.8% | +3.1% |
| 2021-02-04 | miss | 0.50 | 0.45 | -10.4% | +1.2% | +1.1% | +3.9% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 0.47 | 0.61 | +29.1% | +0.5% | +3.4% | +4.0% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | 0.23 | 0.36 | +54.5% | +1.4% | +3.0% | -0.7% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -1.1% | +0.0% | -5.0% | -12.9% |
| 2020-02-06 | beat | 0.46 | 0.66 | +43.5% | +1.4% | +4.2% | +6.0% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 0.43 | 0.48 | +12.2% | +0.2% | +4.5% | +4.9% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | 0.49 | 0.43 | -13.0% | -2.1% | -3.9% | -8.4% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.54 | 0.54 | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.2% | -2.3% |
| 2019-02-07 | miss | 0.56 | 0.54 | -3.6% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -2.9% |
| 2018-10-31 | beat | 0.53 | 0.57 | +8.6% | +1.4% | -2.2% | +2.0% |
| 2018-08-02 | miss | 0.55 | 0.54 | -1.8% | -1.1% | -0.8% | -3.3% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | 0.59 | 0.54 | -7.7% | -2.7% | -2.4% | -0.8% |
| 2018-02-21 | beat | 0.56 | 0.60 | +6.5% | -0.3% | +0.5% | -4.1% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +2.3% | +0.0% | +2.1% | -0.3% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 0.49 | 0.57 | +15.5% | +0.6% | +4.0% | +3.2% |
| 2017-04-27 | miss | 0.58 | 0.45 | -22.6% | +0.0% | -2.0% | -6.9% |
| 2017-02-15 | beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.2% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +3.9% |
| 2016-11-01 | miss | 0.64 | 0.60 | -6.3% | +0.0% | -5.1% | -2.2% |
| 2016-07-27 | miss | 0.65 | 0.63 | -2.7% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +5.4% |
| 2016-04-27 | miss | 0.71 | 0.66 | -7.1% | -1.9% | -2.0% | -4.7% |
| 2016-02-17 | beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +5.2% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +6.1% |
| 2015-10-28 | beat | 0.67 | 0.72 | +7.6% | +0.3% | +4.5% | +5.7% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | 0.71 | 0.63 | -11.7% | -2.6% | -6.0% | -4.0% |
| 2015-04-29 | miss | 0.71 | 0.69 | -3.3% | -0.5% | -0.9% | -4.5% |
| 2015-02-18 | miss | 0.79 | 0.69 | -12.5% | -0.5% | +0.5% | -0.5% |
| 2014-11-04 | miss | 0.79 | 0.75 | -5.1% | -0.1% | +0.6% | +1.0% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.8% | +0.0% | -0.9% | +0.9% |
| 2014-05-07 | miss | 0.80 | 0.75 | -6.7% | -0.2% | +1.3% | -1.4% |
| 2014-02-19 | beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +2.9% | +0.0% | -2.9% | -1.7% |
| 2013-11-05 | miss | 0.85 | 0.81 | -4.2% | -2.7% | -5.8% | -3.9% |
| 2013-07-31 | miss | 0.96 | 0.90 | -6.5% | -10.1% | -8.8% | -12.2% |
| 2013-05-01 | beat | 0.97 | 1.02 | +5.1% | +2.0% | +1.9% | +3.7% |
| 2013-02-20 | beat | 0.96 | 1.02 | +6.5% | +0.8% | +0.3% | +2.8% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 0.97 | 1.02 | +4.9% | +1.5% | +0.8% | -3.8% |
| 2012-07-30 | beat | 1.02 | 1.05 | +2.6% | +0.7% | +0.5% | -0.4% |
| 2012-05-02 | beat | 0.95 | 0.99 | +4.3% | +1.0% | +1.4% | +1.8% |
| 2012-02-21 | beat | 1.03 | 1.08 | +5.3% | +1.1% | +0.8% | +3.8% |
Posted about DX
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TRACKER - Insider Clusters
long
11.15
Wed, 21 Oct
3 different insiders at DYNEX CAPITAL INC just bought DX. The cluster: 3 people, $195,210 between them in the last 30 days, each paying their own…
Not investment advice.
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