EFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.8% median,
67% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 94
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.00%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.43 +1.2% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$22M/day volume
18% volatility
-12% 1-year
-56% from ATH
52-week range · 19% of the way up · -16% from the high
$11.28$14.12
Congressional trades in EFC Full tracker →
1 member · 4 buys / 0 sells · $4K–$60K disclosed · latest filing Jan 5, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.47.
1-day std dev
2.3%
Finished up
67%
Biggest pop
+7.9%
Biggest drop
-6.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 0.46 | 0.60 | +30.9% | +2.4% | +3.5% | +4.0% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 0.45 | 0.78 | +73.3% | +1.9% | +3.5% | +2.3% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.4% | -0.4% | +0.5% | -2.6% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.44 | 0.53 | +20.7% | +1.0% | +0.8% | -0.2% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 0.40 | 0.47 | +16.6% | +2.7% | +2.5% | +8.6% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | 0.39 | 0.39 | -0.3% | +0.5% | +1.3% | +3.9% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | 0.38 | 0.45 | +17.7% | +0.8% | +7.9% | +2.3% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +8.4% | +3.1% | +3.2% | +1.2% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -6.7% | +3.2% | +3.2% | +5.7% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | 0.36 | 0.28 | -22.2% | -0.6% | +1.1% | +3.9% |
| 2024-02-26 | miss | 0.40 | 0.27 | -32.6% | -3.9% | -6.4% | -8.4% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | 0.43 | 0.33 | -22.5% | -1.3% | -1.7% | +3.4% |
| 2023-08-07 | miss | 0.45 | 0.38 | -15.2% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -2.0% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +4.7% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +2.0% |
| 2023-02-23 | miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -2.8% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -3.8% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +4.5% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +7.0% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | 0.44 | 0.41 | -7.2% | +0.5% | -1.0% | -0.6% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | 0.44 | 0.40 | -9.9% | -3.7% | -4.7% | -9.5% |
| 2022-02-23 | miss | 0.47 | 0.44 | -5.4% | -0.7% | +2.7% | +5.8% |
| 2021-11-08 | miss | 0.48 | 0.46 | -4.6% | -0.9% | -1.5% | -2.4% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.46 | 0.51 | +11.0% | +0.8% | +1.4% | +2.1% |
| 2021-05-05 | miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -3.6% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +5.6% |
| 2021-02-18 | miss | 0.51 | 0.37 | -27.7% | -0.1% | +1.7% | +0.1% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | 0.48 | 0.41 | -13.9% | -0.5% | -0.8% | +6.1% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.27 | 0.39 | +44.7% | +3.5% | +1.8% | +4.7% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -0.15 | 0.46 | +399.0% | +3.2% | +4.1% | -2.9% |
| 2020-02-12 | beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +10.1% | -1.9% | +0.1% | -0.2% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +4.8% | +0.8% | +1.0% | +0.9% |
| 2019-08-05 | beat | 0.42 | 0.46 | +10.7% | +2.3% | +3.6% | +5.0% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | 0.39 | 0.45 | +15.9% | +0.0% | +0.7% | +0.7% |
| 2019-02-20 | miss | 0.37 | 0.30 | -21.0% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -3.1% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +5.6% | +1.8% | +2.4% | +1.2% |
| 2018-08-06 | miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -4.8% | +0.5% | +0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2018-05-07 | miss | 0.70 | 0.32 | -54.9% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +4.0% |
| 2018-02-13 | miss | 0.28 | 0.19 | -31.3% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +0.2% |
| 2017-11-06 | miss | 0.29 | 0.23 | -20.1% | -0.4% | +0.1% | +0.2% |
| 2017-08-03 | miss | 0.34 | 0.25 | -26.7% | +0.2% | -0.4% | +0.6% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | 0.40 | 0.34 | -13.5% | +1.5% | +2.9% | +2.4% |
| 2017-02-13 | beat | 0.22 | 0.27 | +21.9% | +0.0% | -1.5% | -0.3% |
| 2016-11-03 | miss | 0.31 | 0.19 | -38.1% | -2.2% | -1.5% | +2.2% |
| 2016-08-04 | miss | 0.36 | 0.25 | -29.9% | -1.0% | +1.0% | +2.2% |
| 2016-05-05 | miss | 0.47 | 0.35 | -25.1% | -2.6% | +0.8% | +2.8% |
| 2016-02-16 | beat | 0.30 | 0.39 | +31.1% | -3.7% | +0.2% | +2.6% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | 0.47 | 0.51 | +9.2% | -2.8% | -1.8% | -0.7% |
| 2015-08-06 | beat | 0.44 | 0.52 | +19.1% | -0.1% | -0.6% | +1.6% |
| 2015-05-06 | miss | 0.58 | 0.51 | -11.6% | -0.6% | -0.6% | +1.0% |
| 2015-02-11 | beat | 0.38 | 0.56 | +46.3% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +2.4% |
| 2014-11-05 | miss | 0.64 | 0.45 | -30.3% | -1.2% | -2.2% | -2.9% |
| 2014-08-06 | miss | 0.64 | 0.49 | -23.3% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +3.1% |
| 2014-05-07 | miss | 0.67 | 0.54 | -19.4% | +0.2% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 2014-02-12 | miss | 0.63 | 0.48 | -24.5% | -0.8% | +0.3% | +0.9% |
| 2013-11-05 | beat | 0.55 | 0.55 | +0.7% | -1.2% | +1.5% | +0.8% |
| 2013-08-05 | miss | 0.72 | 0.51 | -28.9% | +0.2% | -0.8% | +0.5% |
| 2013-05-06 | miss | 0.73 | 0.48 | -33.7% | +1.8% | +2.5% | -3.5% |
| 2013-02-13 | beat | 0.60 | 1.19 | +97.9% | +1.4% | +1.1% | +3.5% |
| 2012-11-07 | beat | 0.80 | 1.59 | +98.2% | +1.6% | +1.0% | +0.0% |
| 2012-08-06 | miss | 0.72 | 0.64 | -10.7% | +1.0% | -2.5% | +0.6% |
| 2012-05-07 | beat | 0.68 | 1.90 | +177.8% | +3.8% | +5.5% | +7.3% |
| 2012-02-13 | miss | 0.71 | 0.10 | -85.8% | -0.5% | +0.5% | +0.3% |
| 2011-11-07 | miss | 0.74 | -0.07 | -109.5% | -0.2% | -1.0% | -2.1% |
Not investment advice.
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