ERModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+4.0%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.2% median,
53% of the last 17 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 100
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.30%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.64 +4.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.7%
$5M/day volume
57% volatility
-59% 1-year
-77% from ATH
52-week range · 5% of the way up · -59% from the high
$6.55$17.53
Congressional trades in ERII Full tracker →
1 member · 3 buys / 4 sells · $21K–$140K disclosed · latest filing Apr 16, 2015.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days).
1-day std dev
12.9%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+36.6%
Biggest drop
-35.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +14.3% | -5.6% | -1.5% | -11.7% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | -0.07 | -0.11 | -50.0% | -4.1% | -18.8% | -25.8% |
| 2026-02-25 | miss | 0.67 | 0.53 | -20.9% | -29.0% | -35.3% | -33.4% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +24.1% | -11.1% | -16.0% | -15.8% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +319.9% | +10.0% | +7.6% | +6.4% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | — | -0.14 | -4325.2% | -23.2% | -18.6% | -18.4% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | 0.40 | 0.50 | +24.0% | +0.8% | +2.5% | +6.7% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.14 | 0.21 | +55.6% | -5.7% | +0.0% | +11.2% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | -0.08 | 0.09 | +212.5% | +9.9% | +20.6% | +13.9% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | -0.12 | -0.08 | +31.9% | +0.0% | -11.0% | -5.1% |
| 2024-02-21 | miss | 0.40 | 0.34 | -15.7% | -4.0% | -3.3% | +0.1% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.04 | 0.17 | +325.0% | +10.6% | +22.9% | +24.0% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -20.0% | -13.7% | -14.6% | -8.8% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | -0.13 | -0.11 | +17.5% | +3.0% | +5.9% | +10.4% |
| 2023-02-22 | beat | 0.17 | 0.24 | +41.2% | +4.4% | +4.6% | +8.2% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -12.8% | -9.7% | -27.5% | -18.9% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | -0.04 | — | +100.0% | -1.3% | +2.2% | +2.3% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.06 | 0.14 | +121.1% | -1.7% | -5.7% | -11.3% |
| 2022-02-24 | miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -20.6% | +1.0% | +1.7% | +2.9% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | — | 0.02 | +500.0% | -0.5% | +2.0% | +2.9% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +50.0% | -10.7% | -4.6% | -5.1% |
| 2021-05-07 | beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +24.1% | -0.5% | -13.8% | -12.9% |
| 2021-03-11 | beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +33.3% | +2.8% | +2.3% | -2.6% |
| 2020-10-30 | beat | 0.04 | 0.10 | +172.7% | +0.5% | -0.9% | +4.3% |
| 2020-07-31 | beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +18.9% | +0.7% | +0.0% | +8.4% |
| 2020-05-01 | miss | 0.01 | 0.01 | -20.0% | -0.8% | +0.8% | +6.7% |
| 2020-03-05 | beat | -0.02 | -0.01 | +57.1% | +4.5% | +9.3% | -22.1% |
| 2019-11-01 | beat | 0.03 | 0.09 | +260.0% | +1.4% | -0.6% | -3.0% |
| 2019-08-02 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +55.6% | +1.0% | +2.4% | -11.0% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | 0.03 | 0.05 | +66.7% | +6.4% | +13.6% | +11.4% |
| 2019-03-07 | beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +50.0% | +3.3% | +13.3% | +16.1% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +52.4% | +18.3% | +18.1% | +13.9% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +162.5% | +6.5% | +19.4% | +25.9% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | -0.01 | 0.01 | +166.7% | -0.6% | +5.2% | +10.5% |
| 2018-03-07 | miss | 0.14 | 0.06 | -58.6% | +3.9% | +14.1% | +27.5% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +600.0% | +1.2% | +12.9% | +24.6% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +25.0% | -2.9% | -9.9% | -16.8% |
| 2017-05-03 | miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -200.0% | -0.9% | -4.1% | -4.7% |
| 2017-03-08 | beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +50.0% | +4.7% | -5.8% | -1.9% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | 0.14 | -0.01 | -107.0% | -17.0% | -22.6% | -10.7% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | -0.04 | 0.01 | +128.6% | +2.0% | +14.7% | +26.1% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +33.3% | -2.7% | -9.4% | -9.9% |
| 2016-03-03 | miss | 0.36 | 0.01 | -97.2% | -9.1% | -1.7% | +22.8% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +74.4% | +4.0% | +16.2% | +0.8% |
| 2015-08-06 | beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +21.7% | +6.1% | +5.4% | +9.6% |
| 2015-05-07 | miss | -0.06 | -0.16 | -152.6% | -2.8% | -2.4% | +2.4% |
| 2015-03-05 | miss | 0.04 | -0.09 | -325.0% | -1.2% | -14.4% | -6.4% |
| 2014-11-10 | miss | -0.08 | -0.11 | -43.5% | -23.7% | -11.0% | -1.6% |
| 2014-08-06 | miss | -0.04 | -0.09 | -100.0% | -3.1% | -6.1% | +4.8% |
| 2014-05-07 | miss | -0.03 | -0.07 | -154.6% | -9.9% | -12.3% | -15.4% |
| 2014-03-05 | beat | 0.08 | 0.13 | +62.5% | +21.1% | +36.6% | +21.7% |
| 2013-11-06 | miss | -0.02 | -0.08 | -344.4% | -8.8% | -15.2% | -14.0% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | -0.06 | -0.03 | +54.0% | +8.7% | +0.9% | +13.7% |
| 2013-05-09 | miss | -0.06 | -0.09 | -40.6% | +0.0% | -2.2% | +4.9% |
| 2013-03-06 | miss | -0.01 | -0.04 | -147.6% | -2.6% | +2.4% | -14.6% |
| 2012-11-07 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -73.0% | +3.8% | -2.8% | -14.6% |
| 2012-08-01 | beat | -0.05 | 0.01 | +121.5% | +12.4% | +12.9% | +16.2% |
| 2012-05-02 | miss | -0.07 | -0.09 | -23.9% | -2.1% | -6.3% | -8.0% |
| 2012-03-08 | miss | -0.04 | -0.14 | -233.7% | +0.9% | +3.5% | +0.0% |
| 2011-11-03 | miss | -0.08 | -0.21 | -172.9% | -10.1% | -5.4% | -17.4% |
Not investment advice.
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