ESModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+1.6%
Next 1 month
+2.1%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -1.6% median,
43% of the last 35 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 93
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.19 +3.4% · Seasonal tilt -1.4%
$70M/day volume
35% volatility
+10% 1-year
-32% from ATH
52-week range · 30% of the way up · -32% from the high
$193.68$362.15
Congressional trades in ESE Full tracker →
2 members · 4 buys / 2 sells · $20K–$125K disclosed · latest filing Sep 9, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-19 (Thursday, after close, in 21 days) · EPS est. 2.60.
1-day std dev
5.1%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+19.7%
Biggest drop
-12.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 2.12 | 2.20 | +3.9% | -6.1% | -6.8% | -6.8% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 1.84 | 1.91 | +3.8% | -9.8% | -8.9% | -12.9% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 1.32 | 1.64 | +24.2% | +3.6% | +6.2% | +12.6% |
| 2025-11-20 | beat | 2.13 | 2.32 | +8.7% | +6.9% | +2.5% | -2.5% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | 1.65 | 1.60 | -2.8% | -7.9% | +1.8% | -2.4% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 1.25 | 1.35 | +8.3% | +5.2% | +6.3% | +11.1% |
| 2025-02-06 | beat | 0.73 | 1.07 | +47.1% | +8.0% | +19.7% | +21.6% |
| 2024-11-14 | beat | 1.44 | 1.46 | +1.7% | +7.9% | +3.1% | +6.4% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | 1.20 | 1.16 | -3.6% | -1.0% | +3.5% | +8.7% |
| 2024-05-10 | beat | 0.87 | 0.94 | +8.5% | +1.2% | -0.3% | +5.1% |
| 2024-02-08 | miss | 0.65 | 0.62 | -5.1% | -1.6% | -5.9% | +0.9% |
| 2023-11-16 | beat | 1.22 | 1.25 | +2.5% | +1.4% | +1.3% | +2.2% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 1.00 | 1.09 | +9.4% | +1.9% | +2.7% | +1.3% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +6.5% | +2.4% | +1.8% | +1.0% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 0.50 | 0.60 | +20.8% | -0.6% | -6.1% | -3.5% |
| 2022-11-17 | beat | 1.16 | 1.21 | +4.0% | +9.7% | +3.6% | +4.4% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | 0.87 | 0.89 | +1.9% | +0.6% | +3.1% | +16.4% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | 0.56 | 0.65 | +15.4% | +4.6% | +6.9% | +7.9% |
| 2022-02-08 | miss | 0.52 | 0.46 | -12.1% | -1.1% | -5.9% | -8.8% |
| 2021-11-18 | beat | 0.78 | 0.85 | +9.4% | -0.4% | +1.9% | -7.9% |
| 2021-08-09 | miss | 0.82 | 0.67 | -18.3% | -9.5% | +0.7% | -6.1% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +7.3% | -0.4% | -0.3% | -9.2% |
| 2021-02-08 | beat | 0.45 | 0.55 | +23.1% | +0.2% | +0.5% | +1.1% |
| 2020-11-19 | beat | 0.76 | 0.90 | +18.9% | -1.4% | -0.5% | +0.2% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | 0.49 | 0.76 | +56.7% | +2.4% | -1.6% | -4.7% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 0.57 | 0.68 | +20.0% | +1.5% | +2.6% | -0.6% |
| 2020-02-04 | beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +8.9% | +2.1% | +6.8% | +7.2% |
| 2019-11-19 | beat | 1.07 | 1.09 | +2.4% | -2.3% | -0.5% | +1.8% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | 0.77 | 0.81 | +5.9% | -2.0% | -6.2% | -7.5% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | 0.62 | 0.76 | +22.6% | +3.7% | -2.9% | -3.2% |
| 2019-02-07 | miss | 0.48 | 0.47 | -2.1% | +4.5% | +2.0% | +5.7% |
| 2018-11-15 | beat | 1.16 | 1.22 | +5.2% | -0.1% | +7.5% | +8.3% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | 0.71 | 0.73 | +3.2% | +3.9% | +4.5% | +5.6% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | 0.40 | 0.48 | +20.8% | +0.7% | +0.2% | -3.1% |
| 2018-02-06 | miss | 0.34 | 0.33 | -1.5% | +2.6% | +8.7% | +4.1% |
| 2017-11-14 | beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +4.4% | -9.4% | -1.0% | +12.5% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +1.0% | -1.1% | -12.7% | -11.5% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | 0.46 | 0.43 | -6.5% | -1.0% | -2.4% | -2.7% |
| 2017-02-07 | miss | 0.43 | 0.41 | -4.7% | -1.9% | -7.9% | -4.0% |
| 2016-11-14 | beat | 0.64 | 0.67 | +5.1% | +2.3% | +5.2% | +12.2% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.44 | 0.49 | +11.9% | +0.8% | +0.2% | +1.3% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +13.2% | -1.0% | -0.2% | +1.7% |
| 2016-02-09 | beat | 0.36 | 0.47 | +29.4% | +5.3% | -0.1% | +2.8% |
| 2015-11-12 | miss | 0.56 | 0.44 | -21.9% | -2.0% | +3.4% | +10.9% |
| 2015-08-10 | miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.4% | -2.2% | -4.7% | -1.7% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +7.6% | +0.9% | +0.8% | +1.4% |
| 2015-02-09 | beat | 0.31 | 0.41 | +31.6% | +0.3% | -1.9% | -1.2% |
| 2014-11-13 | beat | 0.46 | 0.51 | +9.9% | +0.8% | -1.5% | -4.5% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | 0.39 | 0.44 | +11.7% | +2.9% | +1.6% | +2.1% |
| 2014-05-07 | beat | 0.30 | 0.36 | +18.7% | +3.7% | +3.0% | +3.1% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | 0.27 | 0.34 | +25.9% | +2.7% | +4.5% | +1.8% |
| 2013-11-11 | beat | 0.57 | 0.59 | +3.9% | -1.0% | -1.8% | -7.0% |
| 2013-08-08 | miss | 0.54 | 0.33 | -39.4% | -0.6% | -3.8% | -10.1% |
| 2013-05-07 | miss | 0.32 | 0.28 | -13.3% | -2.8% | -9.8% | -9.7% |
| 2013-02-07 | miss | 0.09 | 0.05 | -47.0% | +2.0% | +0.4% | +1.9% |
| 2012-11-12 | beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.6% | -2.3% | -0.9% | -2.3% |
| 2012-08-09 | miss | 0.66 | 0.51 | -23.0% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +1.0% |
| 2012-05-09 | miss | 0.43 | 0.41 | -3.8% | +4.3% | +3.1% | +0.7% |
| 2012-02-07 | miss | 0.27 | 0.19 | -30.3% | +0.3% | +6.1% | +9.0% |
| 2011-11-08 | miss | 0.58 | 0.57 | -1.0% | +0.7% | -1.5% | -4.3% |
Posted about ESE
See all ›
TRACKER - April McClain Delaney · Congress
long
270.15
Thu, 10 Sep
April McClain Delaney's trade date was 19 August 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a…
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google