ESModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+1.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.9% median,
75% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 74
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.33 +0.9% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$23M/day volume
36% volatility
-35% 1-year
-77% from ATH
52-week range · 29% of the way up · -35% from the high
$3.93$7.80
Congressional trades in ESRT Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing May 19, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 3 days).
1-day std dev
2.7%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+8.0%
Biggest drop
-3.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 27 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 0.04 | 0.10 | +130.0% | +0.7% | -1.2% | -1.0% |
| 2024-04-24 | beat | — | 0.03 | +998.2% | -2.7% | -2.6% | -0.5% |
| 2024-02-20 | beat | 0.01 | 0.06 | +363.0% | -0.2% | +1.0% | +1.2% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | 0.01 | 0.07 | +1027.2% | -0.4% | +8.0% | +17.2% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 0.02 | 0.14 | +519.7% | +0.9% | +4.0% | +7.7% |
| 2023-04-26 | beat | -0.03 | 0.04 | +258.1% | +1.0% | +1.2% | -0.2% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 0.04 | 0.18 | +322.6% | +2.2% | +6.6% | +1.7% |
| 2022-04-27 | miss | — | -0.07 | -5882.9% | +2.0% | +3.1% | +2.4% |
| 2022-02-16 | beat | -0.08 | -0.02 | +74.0% | -2.0% | +0.8% | +0.2% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | -0.01 | 0.01 | +188.9% | +1.2% | -3.3% | -8.4% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +48.9% | +1.0% | +2.2% | +5.7% |
| 2021-02-17 | miss | 0.01 | — | -100.0% | +0.6% | -2.5% | +13.5% |
| 2020-10-28 | miss | -0.02 | -0.05 | -136.3% | +0.2% | +0.7% | +2.6% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | -0.04 | -0.04 | +7.8% | -1.6% | -0.6% | -1.2% |
| 2020-04-22 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +56.5% | -0.4% | -3.1% | +3.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | beat | 0.06 | 0.09 | +56.1% | +1.2% | +3.0% | -12.5% |
| 2019-10-23 | miss | 0.12 | 0.09 | -21.7% | +3.4% | +0.9% | +0.3% |
| 2019-07-24 | miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -20.9% | +3.6% | -3.3% | -6.5% |
| 2019-04-24 | miss | 0.03 | 0.03 | -3.5% | -0.9% | -0.2% | +0.3% |
| 2019-02-20 | beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +85.7% | -0.2% | -1.0% | -2.0% |
| 2018-10-31 | 0.10 | 0.10 | — | +2.4% | +0.1% | +1.6% | |
| 2018-07-25 | beat | 0.10 | 0.10 | +1.2% | +0.1% | -0.5% | +2.0% |
| 2018-04-25 | beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +3.3% | +0.5% | +1.6% | +0.8% |
| 2018-02-21 | miss | 0.13 | 0.11 | -12.1% | +0.0% | -0.6% | -5.4% |
| 2017-10-31 | miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -10.1% | -0.4% | +0.0% | +1.7% |
| 2016-02-22 | miss | 0.18 | 0.07 | -61.1% | +0.3% | -0.8% | +3.8% |
| 2014-02-27 | miss | 0.10 | -1.14 | -1241.9% | +0.4% | +1.2% | -1.3% |
Not investment advice.
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