ESModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 100
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.34 +3.5% · Seasonal tilt (7y) -0.1%
$28M/day volume
54% volatility
+36% 1-year
-29% from ATH
52-week range · 43% of the way up · -29% from the high
$47.00$97.59
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, before open, in 0 days) · EPS est. -0.23.
1-day std dev
9.3%
Finished up
61%
Biggest pop
+22.5%
Biggest drop
-23.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 33 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.30 | -0.32 | -4.2% | -2.1% | -13.4% | -17.2% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | -0.38 | -0.40 | -4.6% | -9.3% | +5.0% | -2.7% |
| 2026-02-24 | beat | -0.21 | -0.09 | +58.1% | -11.3% | +6.3% | -5.1% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | -0.51 | -0.38 | +26.0% | +9.1% | +22.5% | +27.9% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -0.56 | -0.56 | +1.8% | -8.5% | -14.0% | -9.2% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | -0.83 | -0.70 | +15.4% | +4.4% | +4.6% | +10.1% |
| 2025-02-26 | miss | -0.66 | -1.19 | -81.4% | +5.4% | +17.9% | +16.7% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -0.61 | -0.59 | +3.9% | -11.4% | -3.9% | -21.5% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | -0.51 | -0.62 | -20.9% | -7.8% | -2.7% | +13.6% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | -0.65 | -0.58 | +11.1% | +6.1% | +10.9% | +13.1% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | -0.93 | -0.79 | +15.4% | +19.6% | +18.8% | +29.7% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | -0.76 | -1.12 | -46.5% | -36.5% | -23.2% | -28.8% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | -0.71 | -0.65 | +9.1% | +1.2% | -5.3% | -13.5% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | -0.69 | -0.48 | +30.6% | -2.2% | +1.8% | +0.6% |
| 2023-02-27 | beat | -0.68 | -0.55 | +19.4% | +2.4% | +6.9% | +7.2% |
| 2022-11-07 | miss | -0.53 | -0.76 | -42.9% | -1.4% | -6.0% | +19.2% |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | -0.40 | -1.52 | -281.9% | +3.2% | -6.2% | +0.8% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | -0.38 | -0.24 | +37.5% | +3.8% | +10.2% | +21.5% |
| 2022-03-01 | miss | -0.33 | -0.59 | -77.4% | -0.7% | +3.3% | -3.3% |
| 2021-11-09 | miss | -0.35 | -0.61 | -72.6% | +1.0% | -3.3% | -1.7% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | -0.28 | -0.22 | +21.7% | -0.1% | +3.0% | -6.4% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | -0.34 | -0.29 | +14.8% | +3.7% | +2.6% | -5.7% |
| 2021-03-10 | miss | -0.19 | -0.23 | -18.8% | -1.7% | +0.1% | -5.4% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | -0.34 | -0.18 | +47.6% | +2.8% | +2.8% | -0.7% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.48 | -0.45 | +6.7% | -1.5% | +6.0% | +0.3% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -0.31 | -0.79 | -150.8% | -2.9% | +2.8% | -8.2% |
| 2020-03-16 | beat | -0.54 | -0.27 | +49.7% | +4.8% | -8.3% | -17.1% |
| 2019-11-12 | miss | -0.50 | -0.62 | -22.8% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -0.8% |
| 2019-08-13 | beat | -0.53 | -0.44 | +17.0% | +6.1% | -2.6% | -13.0% |
| 2019-05-15 | miss | -0.46 | -0.53 | -15.2% | +0.9% | +0.7% | -13.2% |
| 2019-03-20 | miss | -0.37 | -0.52 | -40.5% | +0.0% | -4.5% | -9.8% |
| 2018-11-13 | beat | -0.51 | 0.10 | +119.5% | +1.2% | +8.0% | +4.9% |
| 2018-08-14 | beat | -0.40 | -0.35 | +12.5% | -0.6% | +3.2% | -2.6% |
Not investment advice.
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