EXModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+2.0%
Next 1 month
+4.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +4.2% median,
77% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 91
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.06 +3.0% · Seasonal tilt +1.4%
$6.1B market cap (#876 US)
$71M/day volume
35% volatility
-21% 1-year
-44% from ATH
52-week range · 26% of the way up · -26% from the high
$160.02$245.53
Congressional trades in EXP Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Apr 8, 2022.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 3.85.
1-day std dev
5.2%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+14.3%
Biggest drop
-8.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | miss | 3.38 | 3.29 | -2.8% | -0.3% | -5.5% | -1.7% |
| 2026-05-19 | beat | 1.57 | 1.91 | +21.7% | +4.1% | +1.7% | +9.2% |
| 2026-01-29 | miss | 3.36 | 3.22 | -4.1% | -1.4% | -2.7% | +2.4% |
| 2025-10-30 | miss | 4.35 | 4.23 | -2.7% | -4.3% | -7.9% | -11.8% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 3.68 | 3.76 | +2.1% | +4.6% | +3.0% | +2.1% |
| 2025-05-20 | miss | 2.49 | 2.00 | -19.6% | -5.5% | -8.8% | -16.0% |
| 2025-01-29 | miss | 3.93 | 3.59 | -8.7% | +0.6% | -1.8% | -1.2% |
| 2024-10-29 | miss | 4.65 | 4.31 | -7.2% | -3.9% | -2.1% | +2.3% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 3.58 | 3.94 | +10.0% | +8.6% | +6.8% | -1.2% |
| 2024-05-21 | miss | 2.73 | 2.24 | -18.0% | -10.4% | -5.7% | -11.0% |
| 2024-01-25 | beat | 3.57 | 3.72 | +4.1% | +1.2% | +2.4% | +12.8% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 4.20 | 4.26 | +1.4% | -0.9% | -2.9% | +6.1% |
| 2023-07-27 | miss | 3.59 | 3.55 | -1.1% | -1.9% | -3.4% | -1.4% |
| 2023-05-18 | beat | 2.39 | 2.79 | +16.8% | +1.1% | +3.4% | +3.7% |
| 2023-01-26 | miss | 3.23 | 3.20 | -0.8% | -0.8% | -3.9% | +4.4% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 3.57 | 3.72 | +4.1% | -1.1% | -2.0% | -3.8% |
| 2022-07-28 | miss | 2.80 | 2.75 | -1.8% | -1.9% | -1.7% | +1.4% |
| 2022-05-19 | beat | 1.83 | 1.90 | +3.7% | +3.0% | +2.4% | +5.7% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 2.47 | 2.53 | +2.4% | +5.0% | -1.1% | +0.5% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 2.71 | 2.73 | +0.6% | +2.6% | +7.9% | +10.5% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 2.07 | 2.25 | +8.8% | +1.6% | +4.8% | +6.8% |
| 2021-05-19 | beat | 1.20 | 1.56 | +30.1% | -4.7% | -5.6% | -1.5% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 1.75 | 1.94 | +11.0% | +1.5% | +3.6% | +8.2% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 1.79 | 2.31 | +28.9% | +0.9% | +3.4% | +8.6% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 1.12 | 1.57 | +40.0% | +0.2% | +0.9% | +1.8% |
| 2020-05-19 | beat | 0.87 | 1.28 | +47.2% | +6.8% | +1.3% | +16.1% |
| 2020-02-04 | miss | 1.52 | 1.51 | -0.9% | +1.1% | -5.0% | -5.5% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 1.60 | 1.72 | +7.6% | +4.6% | -0.3% | +1.8% |
| 2019-07-30 | miss | 1.34 | 1.13 | -15.5% | -7.6% | -8.3% | -6.1% |
| 2019-05-16 | beat | 0.84 | 0.87 | +3.3% | +4.3% | +3.8% | -0.8% |
| 2019-01-29 | miss | 1.28 | 1.24 | -2.8% | +0.9% | +3.2% | +6.1% |
| 2018-10-30 | miss | 1.67 | 1.53 | -8.6% | +3.6% | +10.5% | +18.3% |
| 2018-07-30 | miss | 1.56 | 1.54 | -1.7% | -6.8% | -6.0% | -7.8% |
| 2018-05-15 | miss | 1.08 | 0.92 | -14.7% | -1.7% | +2.2% | +2.4% |
| 2018-01-31 | beat | 1.36 | 2.08 | +52.9% | -1.5% | -4.8% | -9.4% |
| 2017-10-25 | miss | 1.55 | 1.31 | -15.4% | -3.4% | -5.1% | -4.9% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | 1.17 | 1.13 | -3.4% | +0.9% | +1.4% | +1.2% |
| 2017-05-18 | miss | 0.85 | 0.81 | -4.4% | +4.7% | +4.9% | -1.0% |
| 2017-01-24 | beat | 1.15 | 1.17 | +1.9% | +1.9% | +3.1% | +3.4% |
| 2016-10-24 | miss | 1.28 | 1.25 | -2.3% | -1.2% | +3.2% | +4.6% |
| 2016-07-25 | beat | 0.85 | 0.93 | +9.2% | -0.6% | +2.4% | -2.4% |
| 2016-05-18 | beat | 0.64 | 0.80 | +25.8% | -0.6% | -2.8% | +6.4% |
| 2016-01-28 | miss | 0.96 | 0.92 | -4.6% | +3.5% | +14.3% | +17.5% |
| 2015-10-26 | miss | 1.18 | 0.59 | -50.2% | -2.0% | -2.7% | +2.8% |
| 2015-08-03 | miss | 0.82 | 0.75 | -8.9% | -4.4% | +5.6% | +9.5% |
| 2015-05-14 | miss | 0.71 | 0.60 | -15.6% | -4.2% | -6.1% | -4.6% |
| 2015-02-03 | beat | 1.01 | 1.03 | +2.0% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +0.3% |
| 2014-10-28 | miss | 1.02 | 1.00 | -2.0% | +0.5% | -0.9% | -8.1% |
| 2014-07-22 | miss | 0.87 | 0.75 | -13.8% | -0.8% | +5.5% | +3.7% |
| 2014-05-14 | miss | 0.49 | 0.45 | -7.8% | -2.1% | +0.7% | +3.8% |
| 2014-02-04 | miss | 0.73 | 0.63 | -13.2% | -2.6% | -1.6% | +9.1% |
| 2013-10-30 | miss | 0.81 | 0.80 | -1.2% | +0.5% | -1.2% | -0.7% |
| 2013-08-07 | miss | 0.63 | 0.60 | -5.4% | +0.0% | +2.9% | -1.3% |
| 2013-05-14 | beat | 0.39 | 0.42 | +6.6% | +0.0% | +2.9% | +3.2% |
| 2013-02-06 | miss | 0.46 | 0.37 | -20.0% | -0.3% | -2.9% | +1.7% |
| 2012-10-29 | beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +5.2% | +0.2% | -1.8% | -2.6% |
| 2012-08-02 | miss | 0.38 | 0.31 | -18.8% | -2.1% | +12.9% | +13.5% |
| 2012-05-16 | miss | 0.23 | 0.20 | -13.0% | +0.0% | -4.8% | -9.8% |
| 2012-02-02 | miss | 0.13 | 0.07 | -44.5% | +3.7% | +6.0% | +14.0% |
| 2011-10-27 | miss | 0.17 | 0.14 | -18.5% | +0.0% | +13.7% | +9.7% |
Not investment advice.
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