FAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +3.0% median,
93% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 46
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.37 +0.9% · Seasonal tilt +0.9%
$69M/day volume
30% volatility
+4% 1-year
-22% from ATH
52-week range · 32% of the way up · -20% from the high
$56.20$79.87
Congressional trades in FAF Full tracker →
3 members · 0 buys / 7 sells · $7K–$105K disclosed · latest filing Oct 10, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-10 (Wednesday, after close, in 102 days) · EPS est. 1.68.
1-day std dev
3.4%
Finished up
65%
Biggest pop
+6.5%
Biggest drop
-9.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | miss | 1.84 | 1.78 | -3.5% | -5.2% | -2.1% | -4.1% |
| 2026-07-22 | beat | 1.84 | 2.08 | +13.1% | +2.1% | -2.2% | +7.1% |
| 2026-04-22 | beat | 1.05 | 1.33 | +26.3% | -1.9% | +3.5% | +5.5% |
| 2026-02-11 | beat | 1.43 | 1.99 | +38.8% | +3.0% | +2.8% | +4.7% |
| 2025-10-22 | beat | 1.45 | 1.70 | +17.1% | +0.9% | +3.5% | +0.4% |
| 2025-07-23 | beat | 1.40 | 1.53 | +9.6% | +3.5% | +3.5% | +4.2% |
| 2025-04-23 | beat | 0.65 | 0.84 | +28.5% | -1.5% | +4.9% | +1.4% |
| 2025-02-12 | beat | 1.09 | 1.35 | +23.6% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +1.2% |
| 2024-10-23 | beat | 1.15 | 1.34 | +16.3% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.5% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 1.17 | 1.27 | +8.6% | +3.0% | +1.5% | +5.3% |
| 2024-04-24 | miss | 0.60 | 0.45 | -24.8% | -3.5% | -6.1% | -6.4% |
| 2024-02-07 | miss | 0.82 | 0.69 | -16.2% | +0.0% | -0.8% | +1.2% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 1.20 | 1.22 | +2.1% | +0.7% | +3.4% | +7.6% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 1.01 | 1.35 | +33.0% | +4.1% | +4.2% | +2.9% |
| 2023-04-27 | miss | 0.77 | 0.49 | -36.0% | -2.8% | +0.5% | +3.2% |
| 2023-02-09 | beat | 1.33 | 1.35 | +1.5% | -0.6% | -6.5% | -3.2% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 1.52 | 1.62 | +6.4% | +0.7% | +6.3% | +5.4% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 1.60 | 1.97 | +23.2% | +1.1% | +2.3% | -2.9% |
| 2022-04-28 | miss | 1.23 | 1.17 | -5.1% | +0.2% | -0.2% | +1.5% |
| 2022-02-10 | beat | 1.82 | 2.28 | +25.5% | +0.1% | -6.8% | -10.7% |
| 2021-10-21 | beat | 1.87 | 2.15 | +15.2% | +2.5% | +1.2% | -0.9% |
| 2021-07-22 | beat | 1.69 | 2.13 | +25.9% | +2.3% | +2.7% | +5.3% |
| 2021-04-22 | beat | 1.33 | 1.64 | +23.3% | +1.3% | +2.7% | +5.6% |
| 2021-02-11 | beat | 1.74 | 2.11 | +21.3% | +1.3% | +4.2% | +2.9% |
| 2020-10-22 | beat | 1.29 | 1.31 | +1.4% | +0.3% | -9.4% | -10.4% |
| 2020-07-23 | beat | 0.85 | 1.05 | +23.2% | +0.4% | -1.3% | -6.8% |
| 2020-04-23 | miss | 1.21 | 1.06 | -12.3% | -0.4% | +4.1% | +13.6% |
| 2020-02-13 | beat | 1.47 | 1.80 | +22.6% | +4.9% | +4.7% | +4.2% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 1.44 | 1.64 | +14.2% | +2.3% | +2.4% | +2.2% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 1.37 | 1.58 | +15.1% | +1.2% | +1.9% | +3.6% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.68 | 0.74 | +8.6% | -0.8% | +2.4% | +0.0% |
| 2019-02-14 | beat | 1.14 | 1.27 | +11.2% | -1.5% | -0.6% | -0.7% |
| 2018-10-25 | miss | 1.29 | 1.26 | -2.0% | +0.8% | -0.4% | +5.7% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 1.25 | 1.33 | +6.6% | +0.6% | +2.9% | +4.1% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.66 | 0.72 | +8.1% | -0.1% | -4.4% | -4.6% |
| 2018-02-08 | beat | 0.90 | 0.94 | +4.5% | +2.1% | -3.4% | +1.5% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.99 | 1.05 | +6.1% | -0.3% | +2.4% | +6.2% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 0.93 | 0.98 | +5.8% | +2.8% | +4.1% | +5.2% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.42 | 0.52 | +23.1% | +1.4% | +5.9% | +5.0% |
| 2017-02-09 | miss | 0.82 | 0.72 | -11.3% | +0.2% | -0.2% | -0.7% |
| 2016-10-20 | beat | 0.90 | 0.91 | +1.5% | +2.8% | -1.7% | -5.1% |
| 2016-07-21 | beat | 0.82 | 0.87 | +6.1% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +0.5% |
| 2016-04-21 | beat | 0.36 | 0.44 | +24.2% | +0.8% | -1.8% | -0.1% |
| 2016-02-11 | beat | 0.67 | 0.78 | +17.1% | -2.5% | +6.5% | +13.3% |
| 2015-10-22 | miss | 0.73 | 0.71 | -3.3% | -0.6% | -2.5% | -1.7% |
| 2015-07-23 | beat | 0.67 | 0.83 | +23.1% | +3.2% | +2.4% | +5.8% |
| 2015-04-23 | beat | 0.31 | 0.35 | +14.6% | +1.1% | +0.9% | -5.3% |
| 2015-02-12 | beat | 0.57 | 0.70 | +23.4% | +3.1% | +5.3% | +2.7% |
| 2014-10-23 | beat | 0.59 | 0.65 | +9.5% | +1.9% | +1.7% | +7.2% |
| 2014-07-24 | miss | 0.51 | 0.43 | -16.2% | -2.8% | -1.7% | -3.7% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.08 | 0.19 | +150.0% | +3.7% | +4.8% | +1.8% |
| 2014-02-13 | beat | 0.49 | 0.51 | +3.0% | -0.1% | +2.1% | +4.5% |
| 2013-10-24 | beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +7.3% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +2.1% |
| 2013-07-25 | miss | 0.70 | 0.29 | -58.4% | -0.7% | +0.0% | +4.3% |
| 2013-04-25 | miss | 0.42 | 0.33 | -20.8% | -0.6% | +0.2% | -1.4% |
| 2013-02-21 | beat | 0.60 | 0.82 | +36.8% | +0.4% | +0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2012-10-25 | beat | 0.62 | 0.95 | +52.4% | +0.6% | -4.8% | -5.1% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | 0.43 | 0.68 | +58.1% | +2.0% | +2.3% | +8.1% |
| 2012-04-26 | miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -9.4% | -0.3% | -3.1% | -3.7% |
| 2012-02-23 | beat | 0.35 | 0.50 | +42.9% | +0.3% | +3.2% | +7.4% |
Not investment advice.
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