FAF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +1.4% | 3.7% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +0.4% | 2.8% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.7% | 1.0% | 75% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +1.4% | 4.6% | 75% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.84 | 2.08 | +13.1% | +2.1% | -2.2% | +9.5% | +4.1% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.05 | 1.33 | +26.3% | -1.9% | +3.5% | +1.9% | -0.9% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 1.43 | 1.99 | +38.8% | +3.0% | +2.8% | +1.8% | +0.0% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 1.45 | 1.70 | +17.1% | +0.9% | +3.5% | -2.9% | +1.6% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 1.40 | 1.53 | +9.6% | +3.5% | +3.5% | +0.7% | +11.5% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.65 | 0.84 | +28.5% | -1.5% | +4.9% | -3.3% | -11.1% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 1.09 | 1.35 | +23.6% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +3.1% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 1.15 | 1.34 | +16.3% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +5.8% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 1.17 | 1.27 | +8.6% | +3.0% | +1.5% | +3.8% | +10.5% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 0.60 | 0.45 | -24.8% | -3.5% | -6.1% | -0.3% | +1.2% |
| 2024-02-07 miss | 0.82 | 0.69 | -16.2% | +0.0% | -0.8% | +2.1% | -4.1% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.20 | 1.22 | +2.1% | +0.7% | +3.4% | +4.1% | +13.5% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.01 | 1.35 | +33.0% | +4.1% | +4.2% | -1.3% | -4.0% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | 0.77 | 0.49 | -36.0% | -2.8% | +0.5% | +2.6% | -0.6% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 1.33 | 1.35 | +1.5% | -0.6% | -6.5% | +3.6% | -7.8% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.52 | 1.62 | +6.4% | +0.7% | +6.3% | -0.8% | +6.8% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.60 | 1.97 | +23.2% | +1.1% | +2.3% | -5.1% | -2.4% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 1.23 | 1.17 | -5.1% | +0.2% | -0.2% | +1.7% | +1.0% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 1.82 | 2.28 | +25.5% | +0.1% | -6.8% | -4.2% | -6.0% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 1.87 | 2.15 | +15.2% | +2.5% | +1.2% | -2.0% | +3.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.