FAF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +1.6% | 3.4% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.5% | 2.3% | 63% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.5% | 53% |
| 5-day | +1.5% | +2.0% | 5.1% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.84 | 2.08 | +13.1% | +2.1% | -2.2% | +9.5% | +4.1% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.05 | 1.33 | +26.3% | -1.9% | +3.5% | +1.9% | -0.9% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 1.43 | 1.99 | +38.8% | +3.0% | +2.8% | +1.8% | +0.0% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 1.45 | 1.70 | +17.1% | +0.9% | +3.5% | -2.9% | +1.6% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 1.40 | 1.53 | +9.6% | +3.5% | +3.5% | +0.7% | +11.5% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.65 | 0.84 | +28.5% | -1.5% | +4.9% | -3.3% | -11.1% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 1.09 | 1.35 | +23.6% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +3.1% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 1.15 | 1.34 | +16.3% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +5.8% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 1.17 | 1.27 | +8.6% | +3.0% | +1.5% | +3.8% | +10.5% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 0.60 | 0.45 | -24.8% | -3.5% | -6.1% | -0.3% | +1.2% |
| 2024-02-07 miss | 0.82 | 0.69 | -16.2% | +0.0% | -0.8% | +2.1% | -4.1% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.20 | 1.22 | +2.1% | +0.7% | +3.4% | +4.1% | +13.5% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.01 | 1.35 | +33.0% | +4.1% | +4.2% | -1.3% | -4.0% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | 0.77 | 0.49 | -36.0% | -2.8% | +0.5% | +2.6% | -0.6% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 1.33 | 1.35 | +1.5% | -0.6% | -6.5% | +3.6% | -7.8% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.52 | 1.62 | +6.4% | +0.7% | +6.3% | -0.8% | +6.8% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.60 | 1.97 | +23.2% | +1.1% | +2.3% | -5.1% | -2.4% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 1.23 | 1.17 | -5.1% | +0.2% | -0.2% | +1.7% | +1.0% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 1.82 | 2.28 | +25.5% | +0.1% | -6.8% | -4.2% | -6.0% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 1.87 | 2.15 | +15.2% | +2.5% | +1.2% | -2.0% | +3.5% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 1.69 | 2.13 | +25.9% | +2.3% | +2.7% | +2.5% | +5.1% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 1.33 | 1.64 | +23.3% | +1.3% | +2.7% | +2.8% | +3.2% |
| 2021-02-11 beat | 1.74 | 2.11 | +21.3% | +1.3% | +4.2% | -1.2% | -2.1% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 1.29 | 1.31 | +1.4% | +0.3% | -9.4% | -1.1% | +8.4% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | 0.85 | 1.05 | +23.2% | +0.4% | -1.3% | -5.5% | -7.5% |
| 2020-04-23 miss | 1.21 | 1.06 | -12.3% | -0.4% | +4.1% | +9.1% | +17.1% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 1.47 | 1.80 | +22.6% | +4.9% | +4.7% | -0.5% | -31.7% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 1.44 | 1.64 | +14.2% | +2.3% | +2.4% | -0.2% | +1.2% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 1.37 | 1.58 | +15.1% | +1.2% | +1.9% | +1.7% | +1.3% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.68 | 0.74 | +8.6% | -0.8% | +2.4% | -2.4% | -4.0% |
| 2019-02-14 beat | 1.14 | 1.27 | +11.2% | -1.5% | -0.6% | -0.1% | -2.9% |
| 2018-10-25 miss | 1.29 | 1.26 | -2.0% | +0.8% | -0.4% | +6.0% | +11.7% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 1.25 | 1.33 | +6.6% | +0.6% | +2.9% | +1.2% | +1.0% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.66 | 0.72 | +8.1% | -0.1% | -4.4% | -0.2% | +3.6% |
| 2018-02-08 beat | 0.90 | 0.94 | +4.5% | +2.1% | -3.4% | +5.0% | +6.8% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.99 | 1.05 | +6.1% | -0.3% | +2.4% | +3.7% | +5.2% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 0.93 | 0.98 | +5.8% | +2.8% | +4.1% | +1.0% | +0.5% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.42 | 0.52 | +23.1% | +1.4% | +5.9% | -0.9% | -0.2% |
| 2017-02-09 miss | 0.82 | 0.72 | -11.3% | +0.2% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -3.6% |
| 2016-10-20 beat | 0.90 | 0.91 | +1.5% | +2.8% | -1.7% | -3.5% | -3.0% |
| 2016-07-21 beat | 0.82 | 0.87 | +6.1% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +0.0% | +1.5% |
| 2016-04-21 beat | 0.36 | 0.44 | +24.2% | +0.8% | -1.8% | +1.7% | +5.1% |
| 2016-02-11 beat | 0.67 | 0.78 | +17.1% | -2.5% | +6.5% | +6.4% | +4.4% |
| 2015-10-22 miss | 0.73 | 0.71 | -3.3% | -0.6% | -2.5% | +0.8% | -0.8% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 0.67 | 0.83 | +23.1% | +3.2% | +2.4% | +3.3% | +3.1% |
| 2015-04-23 beat | 0.31 | 0.35 | +14.6% | +1.1% | +0.9% | -6.2% | -2.8% |
| 2015-02-12 beat | 0.57 | 0.70 | +23.4% | +3.1% | +5.3% | -2.5% | -3.5% |
| 2014-10-23 beat | 0.59 | 0.65 | +9.5% | +1.9% | +1.7% | +5.4% | +9.1% |
| 2014-07-24 miss | 0.51 | 0.43 | -16.2% | -2.8% | -1.7% | -2.0% | +1.7% |
| 2014-04-24 beat | 0.08 | 0.19 | +150.0% | +3.7% | +4.8% | -2.8% | +0.4% |
| 2014-02-13 beat | 0.49 | 0.51 | +3.0% | -0.1% | +2.1% | +2.4% | +2.2% |
| 2013-10-24 beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +7.3% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +0.4% | +0.1% |
| 2013-07-25 miss | 0.70 | 0.29 | -58.4% | -0.7% | +0.0% | +4.3% | -1.8% |
| 2013-04-25 miss | 0.42 | 0.33 | -20.8% | -0.6% | +0.2% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 2013-02-21 beat | 0.60 | 0.82 | +36.8% | +0.4% | +0.5% | -1.5% | -1.1% |
| 2012-10-25 beat | 0.62 | 0.95 | +52.4% | +0.6% | -4.8% | -0.4% | +0.1% |
| 2012-07-26 beat | 0.43 | 0.68 | +58.1% | +2.0% | +2.3% | +5.7% | +12.0% |
| 2012-04-26 miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -9.4% | -0.3% | -3.1% | -0.6% | -8.8% |
| 2012-02-23 beat | 0.35 | 0.50 | +42.9% | +0.3% | +3.2% | +4.1% | +3.8% |
| 2011-10-27 miss | 0.35 | 0.20 | -42.0% | +1.5% | -1.5% | -8.4% | -15.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.