FAF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +2.1% | 3.3% | 80% |
| Day 2 | +1.6% | +1.3% | 3.1% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 1.0% | 80% |
| 5-day | +2.4% | +2.8% | 3.9% | 90% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.84 | 2.08 | +13.1% | +2.1% | -2.2% | +9.5% | +4.1% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.05 | 1.33 | +26.3% | -1.9% | +3.5% | +1.9% | -0.9% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 1.43 | 1.99 | +38.8% | +3.0% | +2.8% | +1.8% | +0.0% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 1.45 | 1.70 | +17.1% | +0.9% | +3.5% | -2.9% | +1.6% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 1.40 | 1.53 | +9.6% | +3.5% | +3.5% | +0.7% | +11.5% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.65 | 0.84 | +28.5% | -1.5% | +4.9% | -3.3% | -11.1% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 1.09 | 1.35 | +23.6% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +3.1% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 1.15 | 1.34 | +16.3% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +5.8% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 1.17 | 1.27 | +8.6% | +3.0% | +1.5% | +3.8% | +10.5% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 0.60 | 0.45 | -24.8% | -3.5% | -6.1% | -0.3% | +1.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.