FCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.8%
Next 1 month
-0.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +5.8% median,
86% of the last 29 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 97
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.13%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.39 -1.1% · Seasonal tilt +1.1%
$64M/day volume
34% volatility
+7% 1-year
-26% from ATH
52-week range · 87% of the way up · -4% from the high
$129.12$189.30
Congressional trades in FCN Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Oct 22, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
9.4%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+17.6%
Biggest drop
-23.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | beat | 2.74 | 3.84 | +40.0% | +7.6% | +14.3% | — |
| 2026-07-30 | miss | 2.26 | 1.99 | -11.9% | -3.1% | -3.7% | -11.5% |
| 2026-04-30 | miss | 2.07 | 1.90 | -8.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -9.7% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | 1.46 | 1.78 | +21.6% | +2.5% | +5.1% | +3.5% |
| 2025-10-23 | beat | 1.99 | 2.60 | +30.4% | +1.8% | -1.3% | +7.9% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | 1.90 | 2.13 | +11.9% | -0.9% | +3.5% | -0.7% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 1.79 | 2.29 | +27.7% | +0.3% | -3.9% | -2.0% |
| 2025-02-20 | miss | 1.73 | 1.56 | -9.7% | -3.4% | -14.3% | -13.3% |
| 2024-10-24 | miss | 2.06 | 1.85 | -10.1% | -7.6% | -12.3% | -15.0% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | 2.02 | 2.34 | +15.7% | +0.9% | -2.1% | -4.7% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 1.87 | 2.23 | +19.5% | +2.9% | +0.7% | +0.7% |
| 2024-02-22 | beat | 1.67 | 2.28 | +36.5% | +9.9% | +16.6% | +8.8% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 1.84 | 2.34 | +26.9% | +5.8% | +17.6% | +16.1% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 1.60 | 1.75 | +9.4% | -2.3% | -10.2% | -6.8% |
| 2023-04-27 | miss | 1.70 | 1.34 | -21.2% | -12.5% | -8.4% | -10.7% |
| 2023-02-23 | beat | 1.35 | 1.52 | +12.9% | +3.2% | +10.5% | +11.9% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 2.04 | 2.15 | +5.4% | +0.1% | -18.7% | -10.5% |
| 2022-07-28 | miss | 1.67 | 1.43 | -14.4% | -1.7% | -9.1% | -12.3% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 1.44 | 1.66 | +15.3% | +2.5% | -1.6% | +3.3% |
| 2022-02-24 | miss | 1.16 | 1.12 | -3.7% | -2.8% | +3.4% | +8.8% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 1.48 | 2.02 | +36.5% | +2.1% | +1.2% | +3.4% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 1.52 | 1.74 | +14.3% | +0.3% | +1.7% | +2.7% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 1.34 | 1.89 | +41.4% | +1.4% | -1.1% | +2.0% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | 1.17 | 1.61 | +37.6% | +0.2% | +6.0% | +8.4% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 1.36 | 1.54 | +13.2% | -7.2% | -11.8% | -7.5% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 1.04 | 1.32 | +26.5% | +1.9% | +9.6% | +6.1% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | 1.54 | 1.53 | -0.4% | -7.0% | -4.4% | -7.4% |
| 2020-02-25 | miss | 0.93 | 0.80 | -13.7% | -5.4% | -6.8% | -5.6% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 0.92 | 1.63 | +77.2% | +5.2% | +8.2% | +0.7% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 0.97 | 1.73 | +79.0% | +2.2% | +9.7% | +10.1% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.99 | 1.63 | +64.1% | +2.5% | +6.1% | +7.5% |
| 2019-02-26 | beat | 0.54 | 0.83 | +54.7% | +4.2% | +10.1% | +11.1% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.58 | 1.00 | +72.4% | +3.5% | +11.1% | +0.0% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.63 | 1.14 | +81.0% | +9.2% | +10.6% | +18.0% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.62 | 1.04 | +67.7% | +7.6% | +10.9% | +12.7% |
| 2018-02-22 | beat | 0.50 | 0.78 | +57.1% | +6.4% | +8.8% | +9.9% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.59 | 0.83 | +40.1% | +2.1% | +12.2% | +15.7% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | 0.52 | 0.40 | -23.4% | +0.2% | -3.5% | -3.4% |
| 2017-04-27 | miss | 0.63 | 0.34 | -45.6% | -8.8% | -15.5% | -17.6% |
| 2017-02-28 | miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -12.4% | -0.2% | -1.1% | -1.0% |
| 2016-10-27 | miss | 0.52 | 0.52 | -0.8% | +2.2% | -10.4% | -7.4% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.60 | 0.66 | +10.0% | +0.0% | -2.1% | -3.6% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.42 | 0.83 | +99.7% | +9.7% | +15.4% | +17.4% |
| 2016-02-25 | miss | 0.28 | 0.24 | -14.1% | +5.0% | +4.7% | +5.5% |
| 2015-10-29 | miss | 0.54 | 0.53 | -1.6% | -19.7% | -23.0% | -19.0% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.49 | 0.50 | +1.5% | -1.2% | -2.9% | -3.7% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 0.35 | 0.57 | +63.5% | +4.3% | +7.3% | +2.5% |
| 2015-02-19 | beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +11.0% | +0.0% | -1.0% | -0.3% |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 0.40 | 0.63 | +57.6% | +6.6% | +5.8% | +8.1% |
| 2014-07-31 | beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +5.6% | -1.2% | -0.1% | +0.9% |
| 2014-05-01 | beat | 0.26 | 0.41 | +58.5% | -0.5% | -9.2% | -11.0% |
| 2014-02-20 | beat | 0.44 | 0.49 | +11.8% | -9.0% | -18.8% | -19.2% |
| 2013-11-07 | beat | 0.49 | 0.72 | +45.8% | +6.0% | +4.1% | +8.3% |
| 2013-08-08 | miss | 0.62 | 0.58 | -5.8% | -8.6% | -10.5% | -13.1% |
| 2013-05-09 | beat | 0.50 | 0.59 | +17.2% | +0.3% | -0.2% | +5.9% |
| 2013-02-28 | beat | 0.60 | 0.67 | +10.8% | +0.8% | -2.1% | -3.9% |
| 2012-11-08 | beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.4% | -0.3% | +6.6% | +5.8% |
| 2012-08-01 | beat | 0.56 | 0.60 | +7.0% | -0.1% | -7.4% | -1.7% |
| 2012-05-09 | miss | 0.61 | 0.43 | -29.0% | -3.9% | -8.7% | -11.3% |
| 2012-02-23 | beat | 0.67 | 0.93 | +38.7% | -0.4% | -3.7% | -8.5% |
Not investment advice.
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