FFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.6%
Next 1 week
+0.0%
Next 1 month
+1.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.9% median,
66% of the last 32 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 75
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.33%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.42 +1.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.8%
$35M/day volume
23% volatility
-3% 1-year
-45% from ATH
52-week range · 26% of the way up · -17% from the high
$28.12$36.52
Congressional trades in FFIN Full tracker →
3 members · 5 buys / 4 sells · $23K–$170K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-21 (Thursday, after close, in 84 days) · EPS est. 0.52.
1-day std dev
2.8%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+6.8%
Biggest drop
-9.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | miss | 0.52 | 0.52 | -0.2% | +0.3% | -3.5% | -4.5% |
| 2026-07-16 | miss | 0.50 | 0.50 | -0.8% | -0.6% | -3.2% | -5.0% |
| 2026-04-16 | beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +5.8% | +4.2% | +4.9% | +3.2% |
| 2026-01-22 | beat | 0.48 | 0.51 | +5.8% | -0.9% | -2.8% | -5.6% |
| 2025-10-23 | miss | 0.47 | 0.36 | -23.4% | -1.9% | -2.3% | -3.0% |
| 2025-07-17 | beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +6.2% | +5.1% | +1.4% | -0.9% |
| 2025-04-17 | beat | 0.43 | 0.43 | +0.6% | -2.4% | -1.3% | +2.5% |
| 2025-01-23 | beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +7.5% | -0.1% | +3.4% | +2.0% |
| 2024-10-17 | beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.5% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -7.0% |
| 2024-07-18 | beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.2% | +3.4% | +2.5% | +13.4% |
| 2024-04-18 | miss | 0.35 | 0.28 | -19.1% | -0.8% | +4.2% | +5.4% |
| 2024-01-25 | miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -5.3% | +1.9% | +6.8% | +4.2% |
| 2023-10-19 | miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -3.3% | -0.7% | -5.7% | -3.5% |
| 2023-07-20 | miss | 0.36 | 0.36 | -1.1% | +2.5% | -0.6% | +6.5% |
| 2023-04-20 | miss | 0.39 | 0.37 | -3.9% | -6.2% | -3.8% | -1.7% |
| 2023-01-19 | 0.41 | 0.41 | — | +2.5% | +2.0% | +3.6% | |
| 2022-10-20 | miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.8% | -0.2% | -9.1% | -11.5% |
| 2022-07-21 | beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +5.4% | +0.9% | +2.3% | +6.1% |
| 2022-04-21 | beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +5.4% | -0.5% | -1.1% | -4.9% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +3.2% | +0.1% | -1.1% | +1.0% |
| 2021-10-21 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.0% | +2.2% | +4.2% | +3.5% |
| 2021-07-22 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.1% | +2.6% | +0.8% | +2.8% |
| 2021-04-22 | beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +7.5% | +1.2% | +3.8% | +5.7% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +10.8% | -0.5% | -2.6% | +5.0% |
| 2020-10-22 | beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +8.2% | +0.2% | -1.1% | -4.5% |
| 2020-07-23 | beat | 0.26 | 0.37 | +43.0% | +1.5% | +3.4% | +1.2% |
| 2020-04-23 | miss | 0.29 | 0.26 | -9.1% | +0.2% | +2.0% | +8.6% |
| 2020-01-23 | beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +2.5% | +5.3% | +1.2% | -1.8% |
| 2019-10-17 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +4.3% | +0.0% | +3.4% | +3.3% |
| 2019-07-18 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +5.7% | -1.3% | +2.9% | +9.3% |
| 2019-04-18 | miss | 0.28 | 0.28 | -0.7% | +0.6% | -0.8% | +3.2% |
| 2019-01-24 | beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +1.0% | -3.5% | -0.9% | -1.2% |
| 2018-10-18 | beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +4.3% | -4.8% | +0.7% | +0.3% |
| 2018-07-19 | beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +5.8% | +0.6% | +5.2% | +4.9% |
| 2018-04-19 | miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -6.2% | -2.1% | +1.9% | +3.6% |
| 2018-01-25 | miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -2.5% | -0.5% | +0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2017-10-19 | beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +0.6% | +1.1% | +1.2% | +1.0% |
| 2017-07-20 | beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +3.0% | +7.6% | +0.5% | +0.6% |
| 2017-04-20 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +2.6% | +2.7% | +1.8% | +2.7% |
| 2017-01-26 | 0.20 | 0.20 | — | -2.3% | -1.3% | -0.5% | |
| 2016-10-20 | miss | 0.20 | 0.20 | -2.9% | -1.6% | -1.7% | -1.9% |
| 2016-07-21 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +3.9% | +0.4% | +0.8% | -0.8% |
| 2016-04-21 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +0.9% | -0.4% | -0.6% | +0.9% |
| 2016-01-28 | miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -8.1% | -6.7% | -4.9% | -6.2% |
| 2015-10-22 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +1.1% | +1.3% | +2.8% | +1.0% |
| 2015-07-16 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +2.4% | +0.4% | -1.0% | -2.2% |
| 2015-04-16 | beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +3.9% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2015-01-22 | miss | 0.18 | 0.18 | -4.4% | +0.5% | +0.7% | -3.6% |
| 2014-10-16 | beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +0.2% | +11.3% | +1.0% | +4.3% |
| 2014-07-17 | miss | 0.17 | 0.17 | -5.5% | +0.0% | +1.2% | -0.2% |
| 2014-04-17 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +6.5% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +1.6% |
| 2014-01-23 | miss | 0.17 | 0.17 | -4.5% | -1.5% | -0.5% | -6.4% |
| 2013-10-17 | miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -6.2% | +2.6% | +0.9% | +1.7% |
| 2013-07-18 | miss | 0.15 | 0.15 | -0.6% | -0.3% | +1.0% | +1.8% |
| 2013-04-18 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +4.3% | -0.7% | +3.2% | +4.6% |
| 2013-01-24 | miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -3.1% | +0.4% | -2.0% | -0.5% |
| 2012-10-18 | beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +8.9% | -0.4% | +2.4% | +3.7% |
| 2012-07-19 | beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +4.2% | +2.1% | -1.0% | +0.2% |
| 2012-04-23 | beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +4.0% | +0.5% | +3.0% | +2.3% |
| 2012-01-26 | miss | 0.14 | 0.14 | -0.9% | -1.0% | -2.0% | +5.5% |
Posted about FFIN
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TRACKER - Insider Clusters
long
34.47
Fri, 21 Aug
2 different insiders at FIRST FINANCIAL BANKSHARES INC bought FFIN stock in the last 30 days — $128,403 between them, at prices they each paid…
Not investment advice.
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