FIG (Simplify Macro Strategy ETF) — Congressional Trades, Short Interest & Seasonality

Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast

Next 1 day

+0.3%

Next 1 week

+1.7%

Next 1 month

+2.9%

Seasonality

Not enough history

Mean reversion

Oversold — RSI(2) at 14

RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.

1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.00 +2.9%

$220M/day volume 75% volatility -57% 1-year -84% from ATH

52-week range · 16% of the way up · -58% from the high

$16.60$52.64

Congressional trades in FIG Full tracker →

1 member · 4 buys / 2 sells · $34K–$160K disclosed · latest filing Jan 16, 2026.

SELL	CF Cleo Fields other · traded Dec 26, 2025	$1K–$15K
SELL	CF Cleo Fields other · traded Dec 26, 2025	$15K–$50K
BUY	CF Cleo Fields other · traded Oct 10, 2025	$1K–$15K
BUY	CF Cleo Fields other · traded Sep 10, 2025	$1K–$15K
BUY	CF Cleo Fields other · traded Aug 1, 2025	$15K–$50K
BUY	CF Cleo Fields other · traded Aug 1, 2025	$1K–$15K

Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.05.

Biggest pop

+13.2%

Biggest drop

-19.9%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 5 reports. History, not a forecast.

Reported		Est.	Actual	Surprise	Gap	Day 1	Day 5
2026-08-05	beat	0.05	0.08	+74.8%	-17.5%	-14.8%	-6.4%
2026-05-14	beat	0.06	0.10	+61.0%	+10.1%	+13.2%	+12.2%
2026-02-18	beat	0.06	0.08	+23.7%	+7.5%	+6.9%	+24.9%
2025-11-05	beat	0.05	0.13	+182.3%	+4.1%	+4.5%	-7.8%
2025-09-03	beat	0.08	0.09	+11.0%	-18.0%	-19.9%	-17.9%