FIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+3.2%
Next 1 month
+6.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +3.2% median,
71% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 62
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.58 +7.4% · Seasonal tilt -1.2%
$47.1B market cap (#686 US)
$763M/day volume
56% volatility
+35% 1-year
-36% from ATH
52-week range · 39% of the way up · -36% from the high
$841.66$2073.99
Congressional trades in FIX Full tracker →
3 members · 2 buys / 1 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Jul 21, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-18 (Thursday, after close, in 111 days) · EPS est. 14.03.
1-day std dev
8.2%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+22.4%
Biggest drop
-20.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | beat | 12.85 | 13.91 | +8.2% | -5.3% | -9.3% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | beat | 10.46 | 12.53 | +19.9% | -0.5% | -5.3% | -5.5% |
| 2026-04-23 | beat | 6.81 | 10.51 | +54.4% | +0.0% | -2.7% | +5.2% |
| 2026-02-19 | beat | 6.75 | 9.37 | +38.7% | +3.0% | +6.5% | +4.1% |
| 2025-10-23 | beat | 6.29 | 8.25 | +31.3% | +15.8% | +19.0% | +17.0% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | 4.84 | 6.53 | +35.0% | +18.2% | +22.4% | +23.5% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 3.71 | 4.75 | +28.1% | +2.3% | +5.6% | +14.9% |
| 2025-02-20 | beat | 3.67 | 4.08 | +11.1% | +7.7% | -4.7% | -4.9% |
| 2024-10-24 | beat | 3.99 | 4.09 | +2.4% | -5.7% | -10.4% | -5.1% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | 3.19 | 3.74 | +17.2% | +3.5% | +6.0% | +4.8% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 2.08 | 2.69 | +29.6% | +2.8% | -3.0% | +1.2% |
| 2024-02-22 | beat | 2.18 | 2.55 | +17.1% | +8.1% | +12.6% | +26.9% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 2.17 | 2.74 | +26.3% | +8.7% | +14.5% | +22.3% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 1.62 | 1.99 | +23.2% | +2.6% | -0.3% | +6.6% |
| 2023-04-26 | beat | 1.08 | 1.51 | +39.4% | +0.3% | +12.1% | +11.4% |
| 2023-02-22 | beat | 1.37 | 1.54 | +12.4% | +2.8% | +9.8% | +18.8% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 1.39 | 1.71 | +23.0% | +1.1% | +8.0% | +6.9% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 1.01 | 1.17 | +15.5% | +3.0% | +6.3% | +9.8% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +4.2% | +2.6% | +1.1% | +2.0% |
| 2022-02-23 | miss | 1.05 | 1.04 | -0.9% | -5.2% | -2.0% | +1.6% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 1.01 | 1.27 | +25.7% | +0.6% | +7.6% | +13.6% |
| 2021-07-28 | miss | 0.91 | 0.90 | -1.5% | -2.6% | +0.8% | +1.7% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.50 | 0.73 | +46.0% | +0.4% | +1.0% | +6.4% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | 0.84 | 0.99 | +17.9% | +0.7% | -1.1% | +11.6% |
| 2020-10-26 | beat | 1.02 | 1.19 | +16.7% | -4.2% | -12.9% | -12.2% |
| 2020-07-27 | beat | 0.41 | 1.08 | +163.4% | +10.8% | +11.6% | +17.9% |
| 2020-04-27 | beat | 0.47 | 0.57 | +21.3% | +8.1% | +6.9% | +0.5% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 0.75 | 0.84 | +12.5% | +0.4% | -4.8% | -7.1% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 0.85 | 0.98 | +14.8% | +3.5% | +9.5% | +9.8% |
| 2019-07-25 | miss | 0.86 | 0.65 | -24.4% | -7.9% | -20.5% | -21.1% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.9% | -2.1% | -4.5% | -7.8% |
| 2019-02-21 | miss | 0.82 | 0.67 | -18.3% | -0.4% | +4.8% | +3.2% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.84 | 1.02 | +21.9% | +4.0% | +6.3% | +8.0% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.69 | 0.79 | +13.9% | +5.0% | +10.7% | +12.5% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +16.5% | +17.2% | +5.3% | +2.9% |
| 2018-02-22 | miss | 0.51 | 0.45 | -11.3% | -3.8% | -2.4% | -2.6% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.56 | 0.59 | +4.4% | +2.4% | +13.2% | +12.7% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | 0.50 | 0.47 | -4.5% | -2.3% | -8.0% | -9.5% |
| 2017-04-26 | miss | 0.28 | 0.21 | -25.0% | -0.3% | -1.1% | -2.7% |
| 2017-02-23 | miss | 0.47 | 0.44 | -6.6% | +4.7% | +17.7% | +14.5% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.0% | +3.5% | +5.3% | +5.3% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +10.2% | -0.5% | -4.8% | -9.3% |
| 2016-04-27 | beat | 0.18 | 0.26 | +39.7% | -1.4% | -6.7% | -6.8% |
| 2016-02-23 | beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +3.1% | +2.5% | +5.1% | +8.5% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.30 | 0.46 | +55.8% | +4.7% | +7.1% | +5.1% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.25 | 0.35 | +42.9% | +6.2% | +12.9% | +16.2% |
| 2015-04-29 | beat | 0.06 | 0.13 | +110.7% | +1.9% | +0.4% | +5.3% |
| 2015-02-26 | beat | 0.17 | 0.28 | +70.6% | +9.6% | +10.8% | +11.7% |
| 2014-10-29 | miss | 0.24 | 0.21 | -11.0% | -11.3% | -2.6% | -4.5% |
| 2014-07-30 | miss | 0.21 | 0.13 | -37.4% | -6.6% | -4.9% | -6.8% |
| 2014-04-30 | miss | 0.07 | 0.01 | -90.6% | -5.1% | -0.6% | +0.1% |
| 2014-02-27 | miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -17.5% | -0.2% | -3.0% | +0.6% |
| 2013-10-30 | beat | 0.19 | 0.31 | +64.5% | +6.0% | +1.6% | +7.0% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | 0.13 | 0.22 | +71.5% | +2.5% | +4.9% | +3.6% |
| 2013-05-01 | beat | -0.02 | 0.07 | +537.5% | +5.1% | +10.0% | +11.9% |
| 2013-02-28 | miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -13.5% | -1.6% | +2.4% | +3.2% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +13.6% | +0.4% | -1.5% | -5.4% |
| 2012-08-01 | beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +42.9% | +4.9% | +10.2% | +17.7% |
| 2012-05-02 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +21.1% | -0.7% | -4.2% | -8.1% |
| 2012-02-29 | miss | 0.11 | 0.07 | -38.6% | +1.0% | -4.5% | -11.1% |
Not investment advice.
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