FNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+2.1%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -1.2% median,
44% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 27
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.16%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.25 +3.6% · Seasonal tilt -1.5%
$44.3B market cap (#457 US)
$119M/day volume
39% volatility
+24% 1-year
-19% from ATH
52-week range · 48% of the way up · -19% from the high
$181.95$285.67
Congressional trades in FNV Full tracker →
3 members · 4 buys / 2 sells · $20K–$90K disclosed · latest filing Feb 13, 2026.
| BUY | $15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-11 (Wednesday, after close, in 13 days) · EPS est. 1.74.
1-day std dev
2.8%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+7.1%
Biggest drop
-6.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | miss | 1.97 | 1.81 | -8.3% | +0.2% | -2.0% | +4.3% |
| 2026-03-10 | beat | 1.67 | 1.85 | +10.9% | +2.2% | +1.2% | -7.3% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | 1.38 | 1.43 | +3.8% | -2.4% | -1.7% | +3.5% |
| 2025-08-11 | beat | 1.12 | 1.24 | +10.7% | -2.5% | +2.4% | +2.6% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | 1.00 | 1.07 | +7.4% | +2.2% | +2.4% | -3.6% |
| 2025-03-10 | beat | 0.89 | 0.95 | +6.5% | +1.8% | +0.2% | +7.5% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | 0.83 | 0.80 | -3.0% | -3.0% | -4.4% | -12.8% |
| 2024-08-13 | miss | 0.80 | 0.75 | -6.7% | -5.8% | -6.4% | -0.5% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +6.8% | -0.7% | -0.8% | +4.6% |
| 2024-03-05 | beat | 0.81 | 0.90 | +11.3% | -0.2% | -2.7% | +3.3% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +2.6% | +0.0% | -0.2% | +0.5% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.90 | 0.95 | +6.1% | +0.1% | +1.3% | +0.3% |
| 2023-05-02 | miss | 0.82 | 0.79 | -3.4% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +1.2% |
| 2023-03-15 | beat | 0.83 | 0.86 | +3.5% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +6.0% |
| 2022-11-07 | miss | 0.86 | 0.83 | -2.9% | +0.2% | -0.9% | +10.9% |
| 2022-08-10 | beat | 0.98 | 1.02 | +3.7% | +0.1% | -2.3% | -2.7% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | 0.96 | 0.93 | -3.5% | +1.1% | -2.8% | -13.4% |
| 2022-03-09 | miss | 0.87 | 0.86 | -1.3% | +0.8% | -0.2% | -2.6% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +1.9% | +0.0% | -1.4% | +3.4% |
| 2021-08-11 | beat | 0.94 | 0.96 | +2.1% | -1.7% | +0.0% | -8.0% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +4.6% | +0.7% | +1.5% | +2.5% |
| 2021-03-10 | beat | 0.69 | 0.85 | +22.8% | +1.8% | +5.0% | +9.1% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | 0.61 | 0.80 | +30.6% | +2.9% | +7.1% | -3.0% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +1.2% | +2.1% | -2.6% | -7.8% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +4.8% | -0.1% | +1.5% | +2.9% |
| 2020-03-09 | beat | 0.49 | 0.59 | +20.2% | +0.1% | +0.4% | -1.7% |
| 2019-11-11 | beat | 0.45 | 0.54 | +20.2% | +2.1% | +2.3% | +3.0% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +12.5% | -0.6% | +2.7% | +0.0% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 0.28 | 0.35 | +25.4% | +1.0% | +3.6% | +7.0% |
| 2019-03-19 | miss | 0.26 | 0.24 | -5.9% | -2.1% | -2.1% | +0.2% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | 0.26 | 0.29 | +12.6% | +0.3% | +1.7% | -1.7% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | 0.29 | 0.29 | -0.5% | -0.5% | +0.2% | -10.3% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | 0.28 | 0.34 | +19.8% | +1.3% | +0.0% | -4.6% |
| 2018-03-07 | beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +4.2% | -1.0% | -4.4% | -3.6% |
| 2017-11-06 | beat | 0.25 | 0.30 | +18.1% | +2.2% | +6.1% | +4.7% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +2.0% | +2.1% | +3.6% | +8.7% |
| 2017-05-09 | beat | 0.22 | 0.25 | +11.9% | +2.5% | +2.6% | +8.3% |
| 2017-03-22 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +11.3% | +0.7% | +1.2% | +1.2% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | 0.25 | 0.30 | +22.1% | +1.1% | -0.1% | -10.3% |
| 2016-08-08 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +9.5% | +0.4% | +2.2% | +0.8% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +15.7% | +1.5% | +5.1% | +5.1% |
| 2016-03-10 | beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +16.2% | +0.6% | +1.4% | +8.4% |
| 2015-11-11 | miss | 0.12 | 0.12 | -0.5% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +2.1% |
| 2015-08-10 | miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -5.8% | +1.2% | +2.6% | +3.5% |
| 2015-05-06 | miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -8.7% | -0.2% | +1.7% | +3.7% |
| 2015-03-25 | miss | 0.22 | 0.20 | -7.8% | +2.4% | -1.0% | -1.0% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +4.8% | -2.4% | -2.8% | +10.4% |
| 2014-08-06 | beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +3.5% | -0.4% | +3.2% | -0.2% |
| 2014-05-07 | beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +5.8% | -0.3% | +1.6% | +0.6% |
| 2014-03-19 | miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -3.8% | -1.0% | -1.5% | -4.1% |
| 2013-11-05 | beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +18.4% | +0.6% | +3.7% | -0.4% |
| 2013-08-07 | beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +5.0% | +1.3% | +5.4% | +20.7% |
| 2013-05-08 | beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +3.0% | +2.2% | +2.6% | -5.8% |
| 2013-03-19 | miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -5.3% | -2.1% | -4.0% | -1.0% |
| 2012-11-06 | beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +14.3% | +3.2% | +4.7% | +2.9% |
| 2012-05-08 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -4.1% | -0.4% | -3.3% | -11.1% |
| 2012-03-21 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -1.8% | -1.9% | -1.1% | +1.4% |
| 2011-08-09 | miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -6.2% | +0.9% | +4.6% | +4.6% |
| 2011-05-12 | miss | 0.18 | 0.18 | -2.0% | -0.1% | +0.2% | +3.0% |
| 2011-03-24 | beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +5.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% |
Not investment advice.
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