FOModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.7%
Next 1 week
+3.1%
Next 1 month
+7.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +6.6% median,
64% of the last 22 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 22
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.02 +7.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$272M/day volume
88% volatility
+130% 1-year
-39% from ATH
52-week range · 46% of the way up · -39% from the high
$44.16$160.27
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-03 (Wednesday, after close, in 97 days) · EPS est. 0.81.
1-day std dev
11.4%
Finished up
49%
Biggest pop
+31.0%
Biggest drop
-24.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | beat | 0.86 | 1.04 | +20.5% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 0.61 | 0.82 | +34.4% | +22.2% | +26.3% | +38.1% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 0.44 | 0.56 | +27.6% | +6.2% | +0.3% | +6.8% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 0.35 | 0.46 | +30.6% | +8.6% | +17.2% | +30.9% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | 0.25 | 0.33 | +32.8% | +13.9% | +24.2% | +13.6% |
| 2025-07-30 | miss | 0.30 | 0.27 | -10.0% | -24.0% | -17.5% | -18.7% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 0.19 | 0.23 | +21.1% | +13.6% | +2.9% | +6.5% |
| 2025-02-05 | miss | 0.29 | 0.27 | -7.2% | -18.9% | -6.8% | -10.7% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.31 | 0.35 | +11.7% | -8.4% | -13.3% | -3.2% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.31 | 0.35 | +11.7% | +0.2% | -11.8% | -16.8% |
| 2024-05-01 | miss | 0.19 | 0.18 | -5.3% | +9.1% | +17.6% | +28.8% |
| 2024-02-07 | miss | 0.20 | 0.20 | -0.6% | +2.6% | +2.2% | +11.2% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.17 | 0.22 | +26.1% | +5.9% | -0.9% | +2.6% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +14.6% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -7.8% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +19.6% | -1.4% | -3.1% | +4.6% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 0.03 | 0.05 | +58.4% | +15.1% | +12.0% | +11.9% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 0.21 | 0.24 | +16.5% | -16.5% | -24.1% | -33.0% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +7.8% | -18.6% | -13.9% | -9.4% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 0.39 | 0.49 | +25.2% | +5.0% | +9.8% | +10.8% |
| 2022-02-02 | beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +6.8% | +1.6% | -5.4% | -4.3% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +13.5% | +4.2% | +7.2% | +21.0% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +11.0% | -0.7% | -0.6% | +5.5% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.38 | 0.38 | +0.5% | -12.9% | -18.2% | -20.2% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +14.4% | +3.9% | +5.4% | +13.6% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 0.34 | 0.39 | +13.2% | +3.3% | +3.0% | +20.0% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +19.0% | -2.8% | -6.5% | -8.1% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 0.22 | 0.33 | +53.5% | +5.0% | +6.3% | +1.4% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | 0.31 | 0.41 | +31.1% | -1.2% | -1.4% | +3.3% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +7.3% | +6.0% | +1.9% | +4.4% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +17.5% | +10.2% | +7.1% | +1.8% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +15.6% | -13.1% | -9.5% | -10.5% |
| 2019-02-06 | beat | 0.25 | 0.31 | +26.5% | -4.5% | -0.2% | +3.7% |
| 2018-10-31 | beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +12.1% | +10.3% | +31.0% | +22.2% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +16.5% | +3.4% | +8.4% | +7.3% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +9.2% | +1.3% | +3.4% | +10.5% |
| 2018-02-07 | miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -11.7% | -4.5% | -7.2% | -1.1% |
| 2017-10-31 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +7.2% | -9.1% | -13.2% | -4.4% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 0.28 | 0.40 | +44.3% | +11.7% | +11.7% | +3.5% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +19.0% | +11.1% | +22.2% | +20.9% |
| 2017-02-08 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +7.5% | +2.4% | -2.0% | -5.2% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +7.0% | +1.4% | -12.6% | -15.6% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +28.8% | +8.0% | +7.3% | +2.3% |
| 2016-04-27 | beat | -0.11 | -0.11 | +2.9% | -2.8% | +8.7% | -8.6% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +23.3% | -0.1% | -12.6% | -19.1% |
| 2015-10-28 | beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +93.2% | +3.4% | +10.7% | +11.8% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +26.3% | +10.2% | +17.3% | +7.7% |
| 2015-04-29 | beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +38.3% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -10.0% |
| 2015-02-04 | beat | 0.06 | 0.11 | +76.3% | +4.8% | +6.4% | +7.7% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +33.3% | +0.4% | -0.7% | +24.6% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +11.1% | +0.6% | -6.5% | -5.1% |
| 2014-04-30 | beat | -0.10 | -0.04 | +58.1% | +0.5% | +2.8% | -1.6% |
| 2014-02-05 | beat | -0.23 | -0.20 | +13.8% | +2.6% | +6.7% | +7.4% |
| 2013-10-24 | miss | 0.04 | -0.06 | -263.6% | -10.9% | -13.9% | -15.4% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +72.1% | +3.2% | -4.5% | -9.8% |
| 2013-05-01 | beat | -0.18 | -0.13 | +28.3% | +2.0% | -4.0% | +2.0% |
| 2013-02-06 | beat | -0.28 | -0.25 | +9.5% | -1.4% | -1.4% | -0.2% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | -0.25 | -0.15 | +40.6% | +5.1% | -0.6% | -8.4% |
| 2012-08-01 | beat | -0.13 | -0.01 | +92.5% | -1.5% | -4.5% | -6.4% |
| 2012-05-01 | beat | -0.47 | -0.35 | +25.0% | +7.2% | +16.5% | +7.7% |
| 2012-02-07 | miss | -0.42 | -0.45 | -7.7% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.0% |
Not investment advice.
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