FTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
+3.2%
Next 1 month
+6.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +6.8% median,
60% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 99
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.16%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.44 +7.0% · Seasonal tilt (10y) -0.1%
$20.1B market cap (#699 US)
$321M/day volume
66% volatility
+9% 1-year
-39% from ATH
52-week range · 28% of the way up · -39% from the high
$146.48$323.51
Congressional trades in FTAI Full tracker →
2 members · 17 buys / 3 sells · $1.3M–$3.0M disclosed · latest filing May 18, 2026.
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $250K–$500K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
7.4%
Finished up
61%
Biggest pop
+26.6%
Biggest drop
-18.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 46 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | miss | 2.09 | 1.26 | -39.5% | -6.3% | +0.1% | +12.1% |
| 2026-04-29 | miss | 1.60 | 1.46 | -8.4% | +9.3% | +17.2% | +27.9% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 1.18 | 1.24 | +4.7% | -4.0% | +2.7% | -9.5% |
| 2025-10-27 | miss | 1.20 | 1.16 | -3.4% | +1.3% | -3.1% | -16.1% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 1.26 | 1.65 | +30.8% | +10.8% | +26.6% | +20.6% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 0.88 | 1.02 | +16.3% | -4.3% | -18.9% | +2.7% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | 0.87 | 0.88 | +0.7% | -1.8% | -7.6% | -22.8% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.78 | 0.85 | +8.6% | -4.7% | -7.5% | +3.2% |
| 2024-07-23 | beat | 0.44 | 0.79 | +78.2% | +3.9% | +1.3% | +3.3% |
| 2024-04-25 | miss | 0.42 | 0.41 | -0.6% | +0.0% | -3.4% | +6.9% |
| 2024-02-22 | beat | 0.40 | 1.20 | +201.9% | +6.5% | +6.3% | +6.8% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +4.4% | +5.0% | +7.0% | +18.5% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 0.29 | 0.54 | +90.1% | -1.0% | -4.3% | -2.5% |
| 2023-04-26 | miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -9.5% | +1.9% | +2.7% | -1.6% |
| 2023-02-23 | miss | 0.46 | 0.37 | -19.7% | +3.0% | +7.3% | +7.6% |
| 2022-10-27 | miss | 0.17 | 0.04 | -74.8% | -0.2% | +7.5% | +5.9% |
| 2022-07-27 | miss | 0.41 | 0.19 | -52.9% | -0.9% | +7.0% | -0.8% |
| 2022-04-28 | miss | -0.07 | -0.99 | -1242.2% | -3.1% | -11.4% | -16.4% |
| 2022-02-24 | miss | -0.03 | -0.03 | -7.9% | -0.4% | +1.7% | -11.4% |
| 2021-10-28 | miss | 0.02 | -0.29 | -1557.0% | -0.1% | -4.5% | -2.6% |
| 2021-07-28 | miss | -0.23 | -0.31 | -33.9% | -0.3% | -1.2% | -6.4% |
| 2021-04-29 | miss | -0.32 | -0.44 | -34.6% | -2.1% | -5.6% | -5.0% |
| 2021-02-25 | miss | -0.27 | -0.38 | -40.9% | +1.2% | +3.5% | +18.9% |
| 2020-10-29 | miss | -0.10 | -0.22 | -117.8% | -1.0% | -5.3% | -0.6% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | -0.18 | -0.14 | +25.8% | -1.3% | +0.0% | +11.9% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | 0.19 | 0.08 | -58.0% | -5.4% | -6.1% | -10.7% |
| 2020-02-27 | beat | 0.95 | 1.38 | +45.5% | -2.8% | -0.5% | -6.1% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 0.17 | 0.37 | +123.0% | +3.5% | +3.0% | +4.9% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 0.14 | 0.27 | +95.1% | +3.9% | +3.9% | +2.0% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | 0.03 | -0.05 | -256.2% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +0.7% |
| 2019-02-27 | beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +33.3% | +1.7% | -0.9% | +0.5% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +8.2% | +3.7% | +3.1% | +2.1% |
| 2018-08-02 | miss | 0.11 | 0.03 | -72.0% | -1.0% | +1.7% | +2.5% |
| 2018-05-03 | miss | 0.09 | 0.03 | -67.9% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +0.3% |
| 2018-02-28 | miss | 0.13 | 0.08 | -37.0% | -5.6% | -4.7% | -5.1% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -19.8% | +0.4% | +0.2% | -2.1% |
| 2017-08-03 | miss | 0.04 | 0.01 | -77.0% | -2.9% | +1.7% | -0.7% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | 0.03 | — | -109.6% | -0.2% | +1.9% | +1.7% |
| 2017-02-23 | beat | 0.01 | 0.04 | +210.6% | -0.4% | +0.2% | -0.3% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | -0.03 | — | +107.1% | +2.7% | +4.8% | +8.8% |
| 2016-08-02 | miss | -0.03 | -0.07 | -102.4% | -1.1% | -2.4% | +0.6% |
| 2016-05-03 | miss | 0.06 | -0.09 | -240.8% | -0.4% | +0.4% | -2.1% |
| 2016-03-01 | miss | 0.01 | -0.03 | -466.3% | -0.3% | +3.4% | +8.9% |
| 2015-11-03 | miss | 0.05 | 0.02 | -58.5% | +0.0% | +1.9% | -8.9% |
| 2015-08-11 | miss | 0.10 | 0.02 | -79.5% | -2.7% | -5.5% | -8.2% |
Posted about FTAI
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TRACKER - Halftime Report Final Trades · CNBC
long
188.87
Wed, 23 Sep
Named as a final trade on CNBC’s Halftime Report on 23 September 2026 (named as “FTAI Aviation”). The price on this post is FTAI at the moment the…
Not investment advice.
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