GHModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
-0.2%
Next 1 month
+0.6%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +0.9% median,
56% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 4
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.19%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.30 +0.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$29M/day volume
23% volatility
+13% 1-year
-7% from ATH
52-week range · 66% of the way up · -7% from the high
$990.09$1262.35
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, before open, in 0 days) · EPS est. 18.36.
1-day std dev
3.0%
Finished up
51%
Biggest pop
+6.5%
Biggest drop
-5.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 39 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 14.83 | 19.46 | +31.2% | +1.5% | -0.7% | -3.1% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 13.11 | 16.79 | +28.1% | -7.0% | -2.4% | -1.6% |
| 2026-02-25 | miss | 14.05 | 11.45 | -18.5% | -0.2% | -1.6% | +0.9% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | 11.23 | 14.08 | +25.4% | -0.6% | -1.7% | -2.1% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 10.15 | 14.33 | +41.2% | +0.8% | +3.1% | +4.5% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 10.80 | 11.64 | +7.8% | -0.5% | -0.8% | +4.0% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | 22.12 | 22.58 | +2.1% | -0.8% | +3.5% | +1.5% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 15.31 | 17.25 | +12.7% | +6.1% | +6.5% | +21.2% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 8.74 | 12.70 | +45.3% | -2.7% | -4.9% | -14.2% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 8.96 | 11.24 | +25.4% | +1.0% | +2.4% | +8.8% |
| 2024-02-23 | miss | 12.53 | 10.94 | -12.7% | -1.8% | -1.8% | +4.0% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 7.90 | 10.45 | +32.3% | -2.5% | +0.1% | +6.9% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 10.21 | 12.97 | +27.0% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +2.2% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | 8.87 | 8.36 | -5.8% | +1.6% | +1.4% | +2.6% |
| 2023-02-24 | miss | 18.84 | 18.80 | -0.2% | -1.8% | -1.7% | -4.5% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 13.58 | 15.65 | +15.2% | -0.3% | -1.1% | -1.1% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 10.17 | 12.07 | +18.7% | -0.5% | +0.3% | -2.0% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 11.73 | 12.76 | +8.8% | +0.5% | +4.1% | +2.5% |
| 2022-02-25 | beat | 8.23 | 8.55 | +3.9% | +0.6% | +1.6% | -2.4% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | 9.15 | 8.61 | -5.9% | -0.1% | +4.4% | +2.6% |
| 2021-08-04 | miss | 9.92 | 9.01 | -9.2% | -1.1% | -2.3% | -4.4% |
| 2014-10-31 | miss | 9.22 | 8.69 | -5.8% | -2.7% | +1.7% | +0.9% |
| 2014-05-02 | miss | 6.62 | 6.47 | -2.3% | +0.5% | +1.2% | -1.4% |
| 2014-02-21 | beat | 6.25 | 10.88 | +74.1% | -2.2% | +1.3% | +6.4% |
| 2013-11-01 | miss | 7.35 | 7.26 | -1.2% | +0.7% | -0.7% | +3.0% |
| 2013-08-02 | beat | 5.14 | 8.47 | +64.8% | +0.3% | +2.0% | +6.5% |
| 2013-05-03 | beat | 3.35 | 3.46 | +3.3% | -0.1% | -0.9% | +0.1% |
| 2013-02-22 | beat | 7.19 | 10.61 | +47.6% | -0.1% | -1.3% | -4.0% |
| 2012-11-02 | beat | 4.41 | 6.79 | +54.0% | +1.5% | +5.0% | -0.1% |
| 2012-08-03 | miss | 5.62 | 5.38 | -4.3% | +2.4% | -0.1% | +5.5% |
| 2012-05-04 | miss | 2.99 | 0.83 | -72.2% | +0.2% | -4.9% | -10.6% |
| 2012-02-24 | beat | 5.84 | 8.75 | +49.8% | +0.1% | +2.3% | +1.2% |
| 2011-11-04 | beat | 4.47 | 5.27 | +17.9% | -0.1% | -1.8% | +2.1% |
| 2011-08-05 | beat | 6.15 | 6.64 | +8.0% | +7.0% | +4.0% | -3.0% |
| 2011-05-06 | miss | 4.82 | 3.93 | -18.4% | -1.6% | -4.7% | -3.7% |
| 2011-02-23 | beat | 10.87 | 11.58 | +6.6% | +1.3% | -5.9% | -2.3% |
| 2010-11-05 | beat | 7.93 | 11.24 | +41.8% | +0.2% | +3.8% | +1.1% |
| 2010-02-23 | beat | 7.39 | 8.82 | +19.4% | +0.9% | +1.9% | +5.8% |
| 2009-10-30 | beat | 4.89 | 6.21 | +27.0% | +1.6% | -4.4% | -5.0% |
Not investment advice.
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