GOModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+3.7%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.4% median,
55% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 25
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.57 +4.1% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.4%
$67.5B market cap (#384 US)
$16M/day volume
53% volatility
+40% 1-year
-42% from ATH
52-week range · 36% of the way up · -42% from the high
$23.00$66.70
Congressional trades in GOLD Full tracker →
7 members · 21 buys / 12 sells · $483K–$1.4M disclosed · latest filing Aug 5, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.88.
1-day std dev
7.6%
Finished up
46%
Biggest pop
+15.7%
Biggest drop
-17.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 52 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | 0.96 | — | — | -3.5% | -5.3% | +10.0% | |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 2.17 | 2.24 | +3.3% | +1.0% | +1.0% | -5.9% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 0.70 | 0.71 | +0.8% | +4.9% | +9.9% | +21.0% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | 0.86 | 0.17 | -80.0% | -2.8% | +1.2% | +1.0% |
| 2025-09-09 | beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.3% | -10.0% | -1.7% | +8.5% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | 0.65 | 0.22 | -66.2% | -9.1% | -13.3% | -11.3% |
| 2025-02-06 | miss | 0.86 | 0.44 | -48.9% | +0.7% | +1.0% | -2.5% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | 0.98 | 0.53 | -45.5% | -11.1% | -16.1% | -21.5% |
| 2024-08-29 | miss | 1.44 | 0.76 | -47.0% | +5.2% | +9.1% | +22.2% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | 1.04 | 0.38 | -63.1% | -12.8% | -5.4% | -7.5% |
| 2024-02-06 | miss | 1.23 | 0.68 | -44.8% | -4.1% | -3.4% | -3.9% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | 1.34 | 0.86 | -35.9% | -9.8% | -6.8% | -1.8% |
| 2023-08-31 | miss | 1.82 | 1.80 | -1.5% | +5.5% | +10.9% | +3.8% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 1.53 | 1.56 | +2.0% | +2.6% | +4.0% | -0.5% |
| 2023-02-06 | miss | 1.90 | 1.49 | -21.8% | -4.3% | -11.6% | -16.4% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | 1.71 | 1.96 | +14.6% | +11.1% | +13.3% | +16.2% |
| 2022-08-30 | miss | 1.79 | 1.54 | -14.0% | -1.0% | -12.4% | -15.8% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 1.05 | 1.88 | +78.9% | +0.9% | -5.7% | -14.8% |
| 2022-02-08 | beat | 1.21 | 1.30 | +7.8% | +4.8% | +7.0% | +6.6% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.71 | 1.08 | +52.8% | -1.7% | -7.4% | -3.3% |
| 2021-09-09 | beat | 0.44 | 2.14 | +391.9% | +11.5% | +12.0% | +10.3% |
| 2021-05-12 | beat | 1.45 | 2.77 | +92.0% | +14.8% | +15.7% | +43.5% |
| 2021-02-18 | beat | 0.31 | 0.35 | +11.2% | +0.1% | -2.9% | -8.4% |
| 2021-02-09 | miss | 0.65 | 0.58 | -10.8% | -8.6% | -17.5% | -21.9% |
| 2020-11-10 | beat | 0.75 | 1.55 | +106.0% | +16.2% | +7.2% | +5.3% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.32 | 0.41 | +28.8% | +0.4% | +0.7% | +0.7% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | 0.18 | 0.23 | +30.7% | -0.6% | -2.2% | -11.9% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 0.16 | 0.16 | -0.0% | +0.7% | +2.3% | +16.7% |
| 2020-02-12 | beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +22.2% | +3.4% | +2.7% | +3.0% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +29.7% | -1.1% | -7.0% | -3.7% |
| 2019-02-11 | miss | 0.06 | 0.04 | -33.3% | -0.2% | +0.4% | -2.0% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | -0.01 | 0.11 | +1150.0% | +3.5% | +6.8% | +2.4% |
| 2018-09-18 | miss | -0.05 | -0.21 | -330.0% | -5.5% | -4.6% | -7.8% |
| 2018-05-08 | miss | 0.06 | -0.04 | -175.0% | -1.7% | -2.1% | -1.8% |
| 2018-02-08 | miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -66.2% | -1.1% | -8.2% | -7.9% |
| 2017-11-14 | miss | 0.13 | 0.04 | -72.0% | -1.3% | -0.7% | -1.0% |
| 2017-09-12 | miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -32.0% | -12.3% | -10.6% | -12.8% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | 0.13 | 0.08 | -36.0% | +0.2% | -10.7% | -7.5% |
| 2017-02-07 | beat | 0.09 | 0.20 | +116.7% | +6.5% | +6.1% | +15.6% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | 0.09 | 0.14 | +50.0% | +1.6% | +10.1% | +7.0% |
| 2016-09-21 | miss | 0.18 | 0.08 | -58.3% | -1.2% | -2.4% | -0.4% |
| 2016-05-09 | miss | 0.17 | 0.09 | -50.0% | -3.8% | -4.5% | -24.5% |
| 2016-02-17 | beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +30.7% | -1.3% | +0.3% | +4.5% |
| 2016-02-09 | beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +5.6% | +5.4% | +6.2% | +18.0% |
| 2015-11-10 | beat | 0.14 | 0.38 | +181.5% | +2.0% | +7.3% | +5.7% |
| 2015-10-28 | beat | 0.07 | 0.11 | +66.3% | +0.1% | -1.1% | +5.4% |
| 2015-08-05 | miss | 0.05 | 0.05 | -7.5% | -1.7% | -1.3% | -1.8% |
| 2015-04-27 | miss | 0.09 | 0.05 | -43.0% | -0.8% | -2.4% | +0.0% |
| 2015-02-18 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +6.8% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +1.0% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +15.2% | +0.2% | +1.5% | -0.3% |
| 2014-07-30 | miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -11.8% | -0.8% | +0.1% | -0.7% |
| 2014-04-30 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +10.4% | -1.6% | -2.2% | -0.5% |
Posted about GOLD
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TRACKER - Insider Trades
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TRACKER - Insider Trades
long
44.29
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