GRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
+4.2%
Next 1 month
+5.9%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -0.5% median,
43% of the last 14 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 20
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.21%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.17 +6.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$15M/day volume
76% volatility
-19% 1-year
52-week range · 34% of the way up · -46% from the high
$9.17$29.90
Congressional trades in GRPN Full tracker →
2 members · 1 buys / 2 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Apr 19, 2018.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 6 days).
1-day std dev
20.7%
Finished up
41%
Biggest pop
+56.7%
Biggest drop
-44.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -0.06 | -0.04 | +29.4% | +9.4% | -0.5% | -14.5% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | 0.25 | 0.09 | -65.8% | +3.5% | +15.0% | +12.9% |
| 2026-03-10 | beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +18.6% | -5.1% | -4.3% | -7.3% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | 0.25 | -0.21 | -184.8% | -6.0% | -5.0% | -1.9% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.04 | 0.46 | +1050.0% | +27.2% | +20.3% | -4.3% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | -0.14 | 0.17 | +219.3% | +10.1% | +42.6% | +53.5% |
| 2025-03-11 | miss | 0.21 | 0.08 | -62.7% | +25.4% | +43.1% | +71.9% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | -0.25 | 0.33 | +232.0% | -22.7% | -27.0% | -24.9% |
| 2024-07-30 | miss | 0.02 | -0.25 | -1350.0% | -6.0% | -15.2% | -32.1% |
| 2024-05-09 | miss | -0.05 | -0.33 | -560.0% | +12.4% | +23.5% | +59.9% |
| 2024-03-15 | beat | 0.12 | 0.30 | +160.9% | -11.0% | -30.7% | -20.7% |
| 2023-11-09 | miss | 0.12 | -1.31 | -1191.7% | -27.3% | -34.9% | -29.5% |
| 2023-08-09 | miss | -0.26 | -0.41 | -57.7% | +3.0% | -4.3% | +47.9% |
| 2023-05-10 | miss | -0.35 | -0.40 | -13.8% | -5.8% | -16.1% | +9.1% |
| 2023-03-16 | miss | -0.35 | -0.38 | -7.0% | -8.0% | -16.5% | -25.1% |
| 2022-11-07 | miss | -0.43 | -0.68 | -56.3% | -1.0% | +27.4% | +28.7% |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | -0.52 | -3.04 | -484.6% | -0.9% | -9.4% | -3.4% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | -0.72 | -1.17 | -62.5% | -13.0% | -12.5% | -8.6% |
| 2022-02-28 | beat | -0.33 | 0.90 | +372.7% | -8.4% | -7.7% | -15.7% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | -0.20 | 2.36 | +1287.1% | +3.7% | +11.5% | +20.6% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | -0.16 | 0.33 | +304.4% | +12.3% | -14.1% | -30.0% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | -0.69 | 0.25 | +136.2% | +5.1% | +1.7% | -5.5% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | 0.27 | 0.51 | +89.6% | +4.7% | +17.4% | +70.0% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | -1.72 | -0.57 | +66.8% | -5.8% | -0.4% | +10.0% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -2.64 | -0.93 | +64.7% | +33.7% | +56.7% | +45.9% |
| 2020-06-16 | miss | -3.42 | -7.53 | -120.2% | +4.0% | -21.0% | -27.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | beat | 2.49 | 2.60 | +4.6% | -36.7% | -44.3% | -54.1% |
| 2019-11-04 | miss | 0.48 | 0.20 | -58.1% | -9.0% | +0.0% | -2.7% |
| 2019-07-30 | miss | 0.41 | 0.20 | -50.8% | -7.6% | -7.4% | -20.3% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.08 | 0.60 | +633.5% | +6.8% | +3.4% | +2.8% |
| 2019-02-12 | miss | 2.00 | 1.60 | -20.1% | -9.1% | -11.1% | -15.2% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | 0.51 | 0.80 | +57.6% | +6.4% | -10.4% | -10.1% |
| 2018-08-03 | miss | -0.14 | -3.40 | -2247.4% | -7.2% | +2.5% | -8.2% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | 0.01 | 0.60 | +5555.0% | +10.5% | +0.8% | +1.7% |
| 2018-02-14 | miss | 1.71 | 1.40 | -18.1% | -10.4% | -9.4% | -19.4% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | -0.73 | — | +100.0% | +5.2% | +7.3% | +17.2% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 0.03 | 0.40 | +1458.8% | -4.4% | +9.3% | +2.3% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | -1.12 | -0.80 | +28.4% | -12.5% | -13.2% | -10.5% |
| 2017-02-15 | beat | 0.56 | 1.40 | +148.2% | +16.1% | +22.8% | +16.9% |
| 2016-10-26 | miss | -1.38 | -1.40 | -1.4% | -8.7% | -22.1% | -25.1% |
| 2016-07-27 | miss | -1.31 | -2.00 | -52.9% | +27.2% | +28.8% | +43.7% |
| 2016-04-28 | miss | -1.52 | -1.60 | -5.5% | -8.4% | -18.3% | -25.7% |
| 2016-02-11 | miss | -0.90 | -1.60 | -77.2% | +20.1% | +29.0% | +92.4% |
| 2015-11-03 | miss | -0.38 | -0.80 | -108.6% | -29.3% | -26.3% | -33.0% |
| 2015-08-07 | miss | 0.50 | 0.40 | -19.2% | -4.1% | -5.3% | -7.5% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | 0.57 | 0.87 | +53.3% | -0.6% | -7.6% | -1.6% |
| 2015-02-12 | beat | 0.62 | 1.20 | +94.5% | +1.2% | +6.8% | +9.8% |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 0.24 | 0.60 | +149.7% | +8.8% | +22.0% | +25.2% |
| 2014-08-05 | beat | 0.15 | 0.20 | +34.2% | -19.5% | -12.7% | -18.5% |
| 2014-05-06 | beat | -1.42 | -1.20 | +15.3% | -10.4% | -20.7% | -10.0% |
| 2014-02-20 | beat | 0.37 | 0.80 | +113.4% | -12.8% | -21.9% | -19.2% |
| 2013-11-07 | beat | 0.31 | 0.40 | +28.2% | +2.6% | +6.4% | +12.7% |
| 2013-08-07 | beat | 0.36 | 0.40 | +11.0% | +21.8% | +21.6% | +12.2% |
| 2013-05-08 | beat | -0.35 | -0.20 | +42.1% | +14.0% | +11.4% | +24.2% |
| 2013-02-27 | miss | 0.61 | -1.66 | -374.5% | -28.9% | -24.2% | -11.0% |
| 2012-11-08 | beat | -0.28 | — | +100.0% | -23.5% | -29.6% | -24.0% |
| 2012-08-13 | beat | 0.64 | 1.60 | +151.2% | -22.9% | -27.0% | -39.9% |
| 2012-05-14 | beat | 0.32 | 0.40 | +26.4% | +26.8% | +3.7% | +1.8% |
| 2012-02-08 | miss | -0.46 | -1.60 | -245.6% | -11.2% | -13.9% | -17.4% |
Not investment advice.
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