HAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+1.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +4.8% median,
67% of the last 21 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 99
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.52 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$258M/day volume
37% volatility
+98% 1-year
-0% from ATH
52-week range · 100% of the way up · -0% from the high
$61.23$130.24
Congressional trades in HALO Full tracker →
4 members · 4 buys / 7 sells · $524K–$1.2M disclosed · latest filing Oct 12, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $500K–$1.0M |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. 2.35.
1-day std dev
7.6%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+25.7%
Biggest drop
-12.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 1.82 | 2.28 | +25.5% | +4.9% | +20.2% | +15.0% |
| 2026-05-11 | beat | 1.52 | 1.60 | +5.3% | +5.6% | +6.8% | +3.5% |
| 2026-02-17 | miss | 2.20 | -0.24 | -110.9% | -3.5% | -9.0% | -12.6% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | 1.63 | 1.72 | +5.5% | +2.2% | +2.8% | +5.9% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 1.27 | 1.54 | +21.4% | +3.7% | +2.5% | +7.1% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | 0.95 | 1.11 | +17.1% | +7.3% | +18.1% | -19.3% |
| 2025-02-18 | beat | 1.16 | 1.26 | +8.7% | +1.9% | -0.2% | +0.0% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 1.00 | 1.27 | +27.1% | +10.1% | +13.0% | +20.6% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 0.76 | 0.91 | +20.1% | +7.8% | +4.2% | +10.5% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 0.70 | 0.79 | +13.6% | +1.8% | +1.9% | +11.2% |
| 2024-02-20 | miss | 0.83 | 0.82 | -1.4% | +4.8% | +6.6% | +10.3% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +6.1% | +4.0% | +10.0% | +14.3% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.64 | 0.74 | +15.3% | -2.1% | -1.6% | +0.0% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | 0.48 | 0.47 | -3.0% | +5.1% | +12.8% | +9.4% |
| 2023-02-21 | beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +3.0% | -1.3% | +0.8% | -4.1% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | 0.51 | 0.74 | +44.0% | +4.3% | +8.5% | +16.2% |
| 2022-08-09 | beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +5.0% | +7.7% | +1.8% | +0.2% |
| 2022-05-10 | miss | 0.49 | 0.47 | -5.0% | +0.9% | +1.0% | +12.6% |
| 2022-02-22 | beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +3.3% | +3.8% | +2.9% | +9.8% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 0.48 | 0.55 | +15.7% | +2.1% | +1.4% | -3.3% |
| 2021-08-09 | beat | 0.44 | 0.66 | +51.5% | +14.0% | +2.0% | +0.7% |
| 2021-05-10 | beat | 0.31 | 0.37 | +18.6% | -8.7% | -7.4% | -8.1% |
| 2021-02-23 | miss | 0.54 | 0.50 | -7.4% | +2.2% | +9.0% | -11.2% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 0.21 | 0.25 | +21.9% | +5.9% | +11.3% | +34.9% |
| 2020-08-10 | miss | 0.25 | 0.19 | -22.8% | -0.7% | -1.5% | -1.6% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | -0.04 | -0.04 | -3.5% | -2.5% | -4.7% | -5.4% |
| 2020-02-24 | miss | -0.14 | -0.24 | -67.6% | -1.0% | -2.9% | -6.7% |
| 2019-11-12 | miss | -0.13 | -0.17 | -33.1% | -4.6% | +5.4% | +13.8% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | -0.15 | -0.10 | +33.7% | -2.6% | -2.3% | -7.8% |
| 2019-05-07 | miss | 0.05 | 0.01 | -78.2% | +0.3% | -2.0% | -7.3% |
| 2019-02-21 | beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +60.1% | +0.0% | +1.2% | +5.8% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | -0.23 | -0.19 | +15.7% | +0.6% | +0.7% | -3.0% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -0.22 | -0.16 | +25.6% | +2.2% | -0.7% | -2.5% |
| 2018-05-10 | beat | -0.22 | -0.19 | +14.3% | -12.4% | -5.7% | -6.9% |
| 2018-02-20 | beat | 0.77 | 0.85 | +11.1% | +2.8% | +4.1% | +6.4% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | -0.11 | 0.02 | +118.2% | +4.3% | +13.4% | +8.4% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | -0.24 | -0.23 | +5.5% | +2.0% | -3.0% | -8.6% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | -0.24 | -0.26 | -6.3% | -3.6% | -1.5% | -0.6% |
| 2017-02-28 | beat | -0.30 | -0.21 | +29.5% | +3.6% | +0.6% | +3.0% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | -0.26 | -0.23 | +13.1% | +3.2% | +8.9% | +60.4% |
| 2016-08-09 | beat | -0.28 | -0.21 | +26.1% | +2.9% | -3.4% | -5.3% |
| 2016-05-09 | beat | -0.22 | -0.16 | +26.8% | +6.4% | +1.3% | -9.2% |
| 2016-02-29 | beat | -0.03 | 0.03 | +198.9% | +7.3% | +7.5% | +8.6% |
| 2015-11-09 | miss | -0.16 | -0.19 | -16.7% | -6.2% | -9.3% | -12.5% |
| 2015-08-10 | beat | -0.09 | 0.02 | +122.3% | +4.6% | -1.3% | -9.9% |
| 2015-05-11 | beat | -0.13 | -0.12 | +9.7% | -1.5% | +4.2% | +12.3% |
| 2015-03-02 | beat | -0.07 | -0.04 | +41.9% | +2.0% | +0.1% | +0.7% |
| 2014-11-10 | miss | -0.14 | -0.16 | -16.9% | -6.1% | -5.4% | -7.9% |
| 2014-08-11 | beat | -0.16 | -0.13 | +16.2% | +0.4% | -1.6% | -0.4% |
| 2014-05-12 | miss | -0.15 | -0.22 | -46.0% | +17.6% | +6.9% | -0.3% |
| 2014-02-27 | miss | -0.17 | -0.19 | -12.9% | -3.9% | -12.0% | -13.7% |
| 2013-11-08 | miss | -0.15 | -0.17 | -14.6% | +6.0% | +18.7% | +24.5% |
| 2013-08-07 | miss | -0.13 | -0.20 | -54.3% | +0.0% | -3.7% | -1.3% |
| 2013-05-08 | miss | -0.15 | -0.17 | -16.1% | -0.2% | +0.0% | +32.8% |
| 2013-02-25 | beat | -0.16 | -0.04 | +75.1% | +0.5% | -9.6% | -3.1% |
| 2012-11-08 | miss | -0.14 | -0.18 | -29.7% | -3.9% | -6.0% | +3.5% |
| 2012-08-06 | beat | -0.15 | -0.13 | +15.6% | +4.1% | +25.7% | +15.4% |
| 2012-05-07 | miss | -0.10 | -0.14 | -33.3% | -0.4% | -2.5% | -5.9% |
| 2012-03-09 | miss | -0.15 | -0.18 | -16.7% | -3.3% | -1.0% | +3.9% |
| 2011-11-07 | beat | -0.03 | 0.05 | +266.7% | +1.4% | +4.5% | -2.9% |
Not investment advice.
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