HCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
-0.4%
Next 1 month
+0.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.3% median,
59% of the last 17 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 48
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.04 +0.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.0%
$33M/day volume
29% volatility
-2% 1-year
-6% from ATH
52-week range · 83% of the way up · -5% from the high
$144.75$208.80
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 4.06.
1-day std dev
9.5%
Finished up
65%
Biggest pop
+27.4%
Biggest drop
-19.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 5.13 | 5.60 | +9.3% | +4.5% | +4.3% | +1.9% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 4.94 | 5.45 | +10.3% | -1.2% | -0.7% | +1.6% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 4.58 | 7.25 | +58.5% | +9.9% | +4.1% | +5.0% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | 2.81 | 4.90 | +74.1% | +2.1% | -7.0% | -7.7% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 4.50 | 5.18 | +15.1% | +5.1% | +1.8% | +13.3% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | 4.56 | 5.35 | +17.4% | +4.5% | +7.9% | +7.5% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | -2.55 | 0.23 | +109.0% | +1.6% | +6.2% | +9.6% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | 0.58 | 0.47 | -18.5% | -4.1% | +2.8% | -3.0% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | 3.54 | 4.21 | +18.9% | +3.1% | +2.1% | +6.6% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 2.82 | 3.65 | +29.6% | +3.7% | -9.0% | -12.4% |
| 2024-03-07 | beat | 0.87 | 3.40 | +292.3% | +14.4% | +13.8% | +12.2% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | 0.31 | 1.41 | +350.0% | +7.9% | +21.5% | +23.3% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.56 | 1.22 | +117.9% | +5.8% | +6.0% | -4.1% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.14 | 1.50 | +971.4% | +9.0% | +18.9% | +12.9% |
| 2023-03-09 | beat | -0.32 | 0.06 | +119.0% | +4.6% | +10.4% | +1.0% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | -6.47 | -5.62 | +13.1% | +0.8% | +8.1% | +14.4% |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | 0.21 | -0.71 | -438.1% | -5.8% | -16.0% | -18.4% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.13 | 0.35 | +169.2% | +0.0% | +2.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022-03-08 | beat | -0.40 | -0.14 | +65.0% | +4.8% | +7.7% | +19.4% |
| 2021-11-08 | miss | 0.09 | -0.64 | -811.1% | -1.2% | -11.4% | -2.9% |
| 2021-08-05 | 0.11 | 0.11 | — | +7.0% | +17.6% | +14.2% | |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.74 | 0.77 | +4.8% | +4.6% | +1.7% | -0.6% |
| 2021-03-11 | beat | 0.06 | 0.22 | +300.0% | +5.1% | +2.8% | -1.0% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.65 | 1.60 | +148.1% | +3.2% | +7.9% | +7.9% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.54 | 0.86 | +60.8% | +4.8% | +27.4% | +18.9% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | 0.78 | 0.54 | -30.3% | -6.9% | +3.6% | +0.6% |
| 2020-03-05 | miss | 0.82 | 0.76 | -6.8% | -4.7% | +2.3% | -12.1% |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | 0.57 | 0.67 | +18.2% | +4.5% | +7.1% | +5.0% |
| 2019-08-06 | miss | 0.87 | 0.81 | -6.9% | +2.3% | +2.2% | +2.3% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | 0.68 | 0.35 | -48.1% | -2.6% | -6.2% | -3.4% |
| 2019-03-07 | beat | -0.56 | -0.48 | +13.5% | -5.0% | -12.1% | -1.8% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 0.65 | 1.00 | +53.9% | +2.2% | +12.9% | +19.6% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.95 | 1.01 | +6.3% | -1.6% | -8.2% | -5.3% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | 1.05 | 1.26 | +20.0% | +7.1% | -0.1% | +0.7% |
| 2018-03-06 | beat | 0.84 | 1.14 | +35.7% | +8.1% | +13.9% | +8.1% |
| 2017-11-03 | miss | 0.80 | -4.44 | -655.0% | -1.7% | -2.0% | -0.6% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 0.86 | 0.93 | +8.1% | -6.2% | -2.8% | -8.6% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 1.03 | 1.15 | +11.7% | -1.4% | +1.6% | -0.9% |
| 2017-02-21 | beat | -0.18 | 0.18 | +199.3% | +2.1% | +10.4% | +15.0% |
| 2016-11-03 | beat | 0.56 | 1.10 | +96.4% | +10.0% | +8.3% | +26.0% |
| 2016-08-02 | miss | 1.02 | 0.71 | -30.4% | -2.6% | -0.4% | +9.4% |
| 2016-05-03 | miss | 0.75 | 0.60 | -19.7% | -4.4% | -6.0% | +3.8% |
| 2016-03-03 | miss | 1.12 | 1.05 | -6.2% | -3.8% | -8.8% | -5.9% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | 0.58 | 0.71 | +22.4% | -1.0% | -7.2% | -3.3% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | 1.73 | 1.93 | +11.6% | -3.4% | -10.5% | -3.2% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 1.93 | 2.21 | +14.3% | +7.4% | +6.5% | +6.4% |
| 2015-03-05 | beat | 1.23 | 1.30 | +5.5% | -2.7% | +1.5% | +4.1% |
| 2014-11-06 | miss | 1.10 | 1.05 | -3.9% | -3.0% | -11.8% | -12.0% |
| 2014-08-05 | beat | 1.25 | 1.39 | +11.5% | -1.2% | +3.8% | +2.3% |
| 2014-05-01 | beat | 1.34 | 1.44 | +7.3% | +3.6% | +2.5% | +6.8% |
| 2014-03-04 | miss | 1.42 | 1.31 | -7.8% | -11.8% | -19.0% | -23.5% |
| 2013-11-05 | beat | 0.78 | 1.13 | +44.9% | +1.7% | -2.3% | +3.4% |
| 2013-08-01 | beat | 1.22 | 1.40 | +15.1% | +2.6% | -4.3% | -4.7% |
| 2013-05-02 | beat | 1.11 | 1.81 | +63.1% | +3.2% | +15.8% | +16.4% |
| 2013-03-05 | beat | 0.68 | 1.20 | +76.3% | +14.8% | +19.5% | +22.6% |
| 2012-11-06 | miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -1.8% | -5.2% | -4.7% | -10.2% |
| 2012-08-01 | beat | 0.59 | 0.74 | +26.1% | +2.0% | +6.4% | +20.5% |
| 2012-05-08 | beat | 0.61 | 0.88 | +45.5% | +2.2% | +0.8% | -11.5% |
| 2012-03-08 | beat | 0.29 | 0.62 | +113.8% | +0.0% | +16.6% | +5.7% |
| 2011-11-08 | beat | 0.20 | 0.27 | +35.0% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +7.2% |
Not investment advice.
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