HGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+2.0%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +5.9% median,
75% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 53
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.00%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.15 +3.3% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.2%
$36M/day volume
39% volatility
-19% 1-year
-37% from ATH
52-week range · 8% of the way up · -36% from the high
$33.99$55.40
Congressional trades in HGV Full tracker →
1 member · 2 buys / 0 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Jul 10, 2018.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
6.1%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+18.2%
Biggest drop
-13.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 40 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | miss | 1.01 | 0.89 | -11.7% | -6.7% | -9.9% | -9.7% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 0.59 | 0.99 | +67.5% | +3.7% | +8.2% | +12.0% |
| 2026-02-26 | miss | 1.16 | 0.88 | -24.0% | +2.9% | -3.5% | -6.9% |
| 2025-10-30 | miss | 0.97 | 0.60 | -38.5% | -7.6% | -6.7% | -10.1% |
| 2025-07-31 | miss | 0.81 | 0.54 | -33.1% | -3.7% | -11.7% | -13.5% |
| 2025-05-01 | miss | 0.53 | 0.09 | -83.0% | +1.2% | +9.3% | +16.4% |
| 2025-02-27 | miss | 0.73 | 0.49 | -33.0% | +8.2% | +4.9% | -0.1% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 0.66 | 0.67 | +1.2% | -0.4% | +3.5% | +6.6% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | 1.05 | 0.62 | -41.1% | -13.3% | -7.8% | -5.5% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | 0.74 | 0.95 | +28.6% | +0.1% | -0.6% | -1.6% |
| 2024-02-29 | beat | 0.93 | 1.01 | +8.6% | +0.0% | -7.7% | -7.6% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | 0.93 | 0.98 | +5.2% | -6.0% | -8.1% | -10.1% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 0.84 | 0.85 | +0.8% | -2.6% | -3.4% | +1.7% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 0.56 | 0.79 | +40.7% | +0.8% | -2.3% | -7.2% |
| 2023-03-01 | beat | 0.77 | 1.01 | +31.1% | -0.2% | -0.4% | +1.9% |
| 2022-11-09 | beat | 0.77 | 1.40 | +80.5% | +6.1% | +7.1% | +13.7% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | 0.88 | 0.82 | -6.6% | +0.1% | -2.7% | +4.8% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | 0.54 | 0.58 | +8.1% | +0.0% | -4.9% | -0.7% |
| 2022-03-01 | beat | 0.78 | 0.80 | +3.0% | -2.5% | -4.9% | -11.3% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | 0.23 | 1.33 | +476.4% | +3.0% | -4.5% | -4.0% |
| 2021-07-29 | — | 0.10 | — | -4.7% | +1.0% | +2.2% | |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | -0.10 | -0.07 | +26.0% | +1.6% | +0.7% | -3.1% |
| 2021-03-01 | beat | -0.09 | -0.02 | +71.6% | +1.4% | +5.9% | +2.7% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | -0.23 | -0.08 | +65.2% | +0.7% | +1.1% | +15.6% |
| 2020-07-30 | miss | -0.45 | -0.51 | -14.2% | -2.3% | +1.6% | +5.2% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | 0.38 | 0.12 | -68.1% | -5.4% | -1.6% | -17.2% |
| 2020-02-27 | beat | 0.58 | 0.85 | +47.8% | -0.9% | +2.0% | -9.9% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 0.50 | 0.67 | +32.3% | +4.0% | +0.7% | +3.1% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +1.7% | -19.3% | -13.9% | -16.8% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | 0.63 | 0.60 | -4.0% | -3.8% | -6.3% | -9.6% |
| 2019-02-27 | beat | 1.21 | 1.35 | +11.8% | +4.5% | -1.8% | -1.1% |
| 2018-10-31 | miss | 0.45 | 0.44 | -2.6% | +0.6% | +18.2% | +12.1% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 1.13 | 1.15 | +2.3% | -1.0% | +0.3% | -6.7% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | 0.64 | 0.32 | -49.5% | -0.1% | -3.6% | -6.7% |
| 2018-02-28 | beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +1.5% | +2.0% | +0.3% | +7.0% |
| 2017-11-01 | miss | 0.49 | 0.45 | -7.6% | -0.3% | -1.0% | +0.0% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 0.47 | 0.53 | +12.8% | +2.0% | +1.9% | -5.9% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.43 | 0.52 | +19.6% | +0.1% | +5.5% | +4.9% |
| 2017-03-02 | beat | 0.40 | 0.48 | +19.6% | +0.2% | -1.8% | -8.4% |
Not investment advice.
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