HLModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.9%
Next 1 month
+3.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.9% median,
52% of the last 21 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 9
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.13%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.16 +3.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$20M/day volume
60% volatility
+59% 1-year
-79% from ATH
52-week range · 42% of the way up · -37% from the high
$7.56$20.40
Congressional trades in HLF Full tracker →
2 members · 1 buys / 2 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Nov 20, 2017.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.62.
1-day std dev
12.0%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+42.7%
Biggest drop
-31.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | 0.54 | 0.51 | -4.9% | -8.3% | -8.7% | -3.4% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +5.4% | +1.7% | -11.9% | -20.7% |
| 2026-02-18 | miss | 0.48 | 0.45 | -5.6% | +14.8% | +18.3% | +16.6% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.46 | 0.50 | +8.4% | +3.2% | +11.7% | +14.4% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.50 | 0.59 | +18.6% | -3.7% | -6.8% | +1.1% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 0.41 | 0.59 | +44.9% | -7.5% | -7.9% | -2.9% |
| 2025-02-19 | beat | 0.22 | 0.36 | +64.0% | +28.6% | +42.7% | +47.0% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.30 | 0.57 | +89.4% | +7.0% | +10.9% | +22.9% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.39 | 0.54 | +37.1% | -3.0% | -8.6% | -25.7% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 0.37 | 0.49 | +34.2% | +10.1% | +8.1% | +21.9% |
| 2024-02-14 | miss | 0.39 | 0.28 | -29.1% | -23.0% | -31.7% | -26.2% |
| 2023-11-01 | miss | 0.73 | 0.65 | -10.7% | +1.4% | -0.1% | -6.9% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.69 | 0.74 | +6.8% | +4.4% | +16.8% | +8.9% |
| 2023-05-02 | miss | 0.62 | 0.54 | -13.3% | -0.4% | -3.2% | -3.3% |
| 2023-02-14 | beat | 0.34 | 0.53 | +57.0% | +5.6% | +22.5% | +11.1% |
| 2022-10-31 | beat | 0.80 | 0.91 | +14.2% | -1.6% | -1.6% | -23.1% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | 0.63 | 0.96 | +52.0% | +3.9% | +13.6% | +17.4% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 0.90 | 0.99 | +9.8% | -12.9% | -6.2% | -22.1% |
| 2022-02-23 | miss | 0.64 | 0.57 | -11.0% | -12.6% | -14.4% | -9.8% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 1.06 | 1.21 | +14.6% | +1.1% | -1.1% | -6.6% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 1.28 | 1.52 | +19.1% | -1.8% | -6.1% | -4.1% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 1.08 | 1.42 | +31.2% | +4.4% | +5.8% | +9.1% |
| 2021-02-17 | miss | 0.82 | 0.71 | -13.6% | -5.0% | -10.2% | -19.3% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.87 | 1.15 | +32.8% | +2.1% | -1.0% | -5.8% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.83 | 0.95 | +14.1% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -9.5% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.61 | 0.83 | +36.9% | +10.0% | +11.5% | +8.2% |
| 2020-02-18 | beat | 0.64 | 0.74 | +16.0% | +6.5% | -0.9% | -14.6% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | 0.73 | 0.73 | +0.2% | +3.9% | +11.7% | +11.9% |
| 2019-08-01 | miss | 0.76 | 0.70 | -8.2% | -7.5% | -6.8% | -7.0% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | 0.68 | 0.66 | -2.8% | -5.3% | -4.5% | -9.0% |
| 2019-02-19 | beat | 0.60 | 0.63 | +5.0% | +0.0% | -2.0% | -1.5% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.66 | 0.74 | +11.8% | -0.7% | -2.6% | +0.9% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.68 | 0.80 | +18.1% | +2.4% | +13.0% | +14.6% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 0.54 | 0.70 | +28.8% | -0.7% | +4.5% | +5.0% |
| 2018-02-22 | beat | 0.49 | 0.65 | +31.9% | +0.9% | +3.0% | +13.9% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | 0.43 | 0.41 | -4.6% | -4.9% | -2.9% | -7.1% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | 0.56 | 0.76 | +35.9% | -4.4% | -2.0% | -0.4% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 0.44 | 0.62 | +40.1% | +5.9% | +11.6% | +16.1% |
| 2017-02-23 | beat | 0.49 | 0.50 | +3.1% | -2.4% | -4.5% | -5.7% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | 0.55 | 0.61 | +11.0% | -3.2% | -6.2% | -6.6% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 0.61 | 0.65 | +6.6% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -3.0% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 0.55 | 0.68 | +24.8% | +9.3% | +9.1% | +4.6% |
| 2016-02-25 | beat | 0.47 | 0.60 | +27.3% | +13.5% | +20.5% | +21.0% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | 0.53 | 0.64 | +21.7% | -2.1% | -3.3% | -5.2% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | 0.55 | 0.62 | +12.1% | +8.8% | +17.2% | +22.4% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | 0.50 | 0.65 | +28.4% | +14.5% | +16.5% | +15.9% |
| 2015-02-26 | beat | 0.61 | 0.71 | +15.4% | -1.3% | -10.9% | -6.1% |
| 2014-11-03 | miss | 0.75 | 0.73 | -3.8% | -14.3% | -20.8% | -32.8% |
| 2014-07-28 | miss | 0.78 | 0.78 | -1.0% | -11.9% | -13.5% | -26.5% |
| 2014-04-28 | beat | 0.65 | 0.75 | +15.4% | +0.3% | +2.2% | +1.2% |
| 2014-02-18 | miss | 0.64 | 0.64 | -0.3% | +1.7% | -4.0% | -3.4% |
| 2013-10-28 | beat | 0.57 | 0.71 | +23.1% | -0.4% | +0.0% | -6.2% |
| 2013-07-29 | beat | 0.59 | 0.71 | +19.1% | +6.7% | -0.9% | +8.2% |
| 2013-04-29 | beat | 0.53 | 0.64 | +19.5% | +1.3% | +2.5% | +11.0% |
| 2013-02-19 | beat | 0.51 | 0.53 | +3.6% | -1.0% | -4.9% | -5.8% |
| 2012-10-29 | beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +2.7% | -0.5% | +0.4% | -10.1% |
| 2012-07-30 | beat | 0.48 | 0.55 | +14.1% | +5.4% | +6.2% | +1.8% |
| 2012-04-30 | beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +9.0% | +0.1% | -19.9% | -35.2% |
| 2012-02-21 | beat | 0.36 | 0.43 | +18.8% | +2.7% | +7.0% | +6.0% |
| 2011-10-31 | beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +16.2% | -11.6% | -6.9% | -5.9% |
Not investment advice.
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