HLModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+2.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +5.8% median,
90% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 97
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.71 +1.9% · Seasonal tilt (10y) +0.5%
$9.7B market cap (#777 US)
$99M/day volume
31% volatility
-31% 1-year
-34% from ATH
52-week range · 30% of the way up · -31% from the high
$112.83$202.49
Congressional trades in HLI Full tracker →
3 members · 6 buys / 4 sells · $10K–$150K disclosed · latest filing Sep 10, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
4.5%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+10.0%
Biggest drop
-10.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 45 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | miss | 1.64 | 1.35 | -17.7% | -13.6% | -7.7% | -8.3% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | 1.79 | 1.63 | -8.8% | -0.2% | +4.3% | +2.5% |
| 2026-01-28 | beat | 1.87 | 1.94 | +3.6% | -2.3% | -6.5% | -7.0% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 1.68 | 1.84 | +9.3% | +0.4% | -10.1% | -9.5% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 1.68 | 2.14 | +27.6% | +0.7% | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 1.62 | 1.96 | +20.8% | +4.6% | +6.6% | +9.7% |
| 2025-01-28 | beat | 1.52 | 1.64 | +8.1% | -1.2% | -2.3% | -0.3% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 1.31 | 1.46 | +11.4% | +4.1% | +4.9% | +11.5% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 1.20 | 1.22 | +1.3% | -1.0% | +1.1% | -3.0% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 1.23 | 1.27 | +3.6% | +0.8% | +1.3% | +0.3% |
| 2024-02-01 | beat | 1.14 | 1.22 | +6.8% | +5.5% | +4.1% | +4.1% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 1.03 | 1.11 | +8.0% | -0.2% | -1.1% | +6.3% |
| 2023-07-27 | miss | 1.02 | 0.89 | -13.2% | -10.0% | -6.5% | -5.5% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.93 | 1.11 | +18.9% | +6.6% | +5.3% | +2.9% |
| 2023-01-31 | beat | 1.12 | 1.14 | +1.6% | -2.6% | -1.6% | -1.8% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 1.03 | 1.19 | +16.0% | +4.4% | +7.8% | +11.9% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 0.94 | 1.10 | +16.5% | +0.2% | -0.8% | +0.5% |
| 2022-05-12 | beat | 1.27 | 1.30 | +2.3% | +1.8% | +1.6% | +0.8% |
| 2022-02-08 | beat | 2.17 | 2.90 | +33.4% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +5.9% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 1.17 | 1.71 | +45.8% | +7.9% | +10.0% | +14.3% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 1.11 | 1.19 | +7.5% | -0.1% | -7.0% | -1.8% |
| 2021-05-11 | beat | 1.14 | 1.51 | +32.4% | +0.3% | +6.8% | +11.4% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 0.98 | 1.77 | +81.0% | +4.6% | -4.2% | -2.2% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.55 | 0.75 | +36.2% | +0.8% | -0.6% | +1.3% |
| 2020-07-28 | miss | 0.57 | 0.56 | -1.5% | +0.4% | -1.6% | +2.2% |
| 2020-05-12 | beat | 0.77 | 0.96 | +24.0% | -0.4% | +1.9% | -0.6% |
| 2020-02-03 | beat | 0.77 | 0.88 | +13.8% | +7.8% | +6.2% | +8.4% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 0.70 | 0.70 | +0.4% | -2.2% | +0.5% | +2.6% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 0.55 | 0.67 | +21.2% | +2.1% | +5.5% | -0.2% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 0.69 | 0.86 | +24.7% | +5.7% | +4.0% | +1.6% |
| 2019-01-29 | beat | 0.70 | 0.77 | +9.7% | +5.9% | +3.1% | +1.6% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +8.4% | +4.4% | +0.8% | +5.1% |
| 2018-07-26 | miss | 0.60 | 0.55 | -8.2% | -3.1% | -6.8% | -9.0% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | 0.58 | 0.65 | +12.1% | +3.6% | +4.1% | +3.5% |
| 2018-01-29 | beat | 0.61 | 0.69 | +12.5% | +1.0% | -2.3% | -10.5% |
| 2017-10-24 | beat | 0.42 | 0.56 | +34.4% | +5.3% | +3.5% | -0.3% |
| 2017-07-25 | beat | 0.42 | 0.50 | +19.8% | +2.6% | +1.7% | -3.5% |
| 2017-05-09 | beat | 0.46 | 0.59 | +28.1% | +3.0% | +5.9% | -0.7% |
| 2017-02-01 | beat | 0.50 | 0.57 | +13.8% | +5.0% | +3.6% | -5.9% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.4% | +0.0% | -2.1% | +0.0% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +9.4% | +1.9% | +3.4% | +9.5% |
| 2016-05-18 | miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -5.4% | -0.1% | -2.0% | +4.6% |
| 2016-02-08 | miss | 0.49 | 0.47 | -3.4% | -5.5% | -0.5% | +3.0% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +8.5% | +3.4% | -0.7% | +0.6% |
Posted about HLI
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TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress
long
137.17
Fri, 11 Sep
Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 7 August 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress
long
135.84
Mon, 07 Sep
Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 16 July 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
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