HLModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+2.0%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.1% median,
50% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 88
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.27%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.48 +4.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.7%
$21M/day volume
38% volatility
+19% 1-year
-41% from ATH
52-week range · 42% of the way up · -28% from the high
$49.00$95.05
Congressional trades in HLIO Full tracker →
2 members · 2 buys / 3 sells · $5K–$75K disclosed · latest filing Aug 21, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. 0.76.
1-day std dev
9.1%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+31.1%
Biggest drop
-24.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | beat | 0.80 | 0.88 | +9.6% | +0.6% | -0.6% | -2.6% |
| 2026-05-11 | beat | 0.69 | 0.80 | +16.1% | +9.7% | +14.0% | +14.6% |
| 2026-03-02 | beat | 0.72 | 0.81 | +12.7% | +2.8% | -4.5% | -11.3% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | 0.66 | 0.72 | +9.8% | -6.4% | -2.0% | -6.1% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | 0.50 | 0.59 | +17.4% | +20.6% | +31.1% | +37.6% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | 0.36 | 0.44 | +21.6% | +6.9% | +7.4% | +22.7% |
| 2025-02-24 | miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -4.6% | +8.4% | +7.1% | -6.9% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | 0.54 | 0.59 | +8.5% | +5.0% | +14.7% | +4.0% |
| 2024-08-05 | beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +4.6% | +1.3% | +6.4% | +5.8% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 0.44 | 0.53 | +19.4% | -0.9% | +6.8% | +9.5% |
| 2024-02-26 | beat | 0.27 | 0.38 | +40.7% | +8.9% | +5.6% | -3.3% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | 0.70 | 0.44 | -37.5% | -10.4% | -16.7% | -21.9% |
| 2023-08-07 | miss | 0.84 | 0.81 | -3.6% | -15.0% | -12.2% | -6.9% |
| 2023-05-08 | miss | 0.77 | 0.72 | -6.5% | -4.3% | -7.9% | -14.6% |
| 2023-02-27 | beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +5.4% | -0.3% | +1.0% | +5.5% |
| 2022-11-07 | miss | 0.97 | 0.90 | -7.5% | -6.9% | -10.8% | -4.7% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | 1.17 | 1.18 | +1.2% | -9.2% | -13.0% | -1.7% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | 0.96 | 1.18 | +22.4% | -0.7% | -2.3% | +2.1% |
| 2022-02-28 | beat | 0.82 | 1.01 | +22.6% | +0.0% | -6.7% | -9.7% |
| 2021-11-08 | beat | 0.80 | 1.07 | +33.8% | +7.2% | +11.8% | +15.8% |
| 2021-08-09 | beat | 0.86 | 1.20 | +39.5% | +3.8% | +6.4% | +2.5% |
| 2021-05-10 | beat | 0.75 | 0.99 | +32.7% | -5.0% | +1.2% | -0.1% |
| 2021-03-01 | beat | 0.41 | 0.60 | +45.5% | +3.6% | +1.9% | +8.8% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 0.41 | 0.53 | +29.8% | +1.5% | +4.1% | +13.9% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | 0.27 | 0.55 | +103.7% | +3.0% | +3.4% | +13.4% |
| 2020-05-04 | beat | 0.40 | 0.56 | +38.5% | +9.9% | +6.5% | +1.3% |
| 2020-02-24 | beat | 0.35 | 0.54 | +52.4% | +10.0% | +5.5% | +4.2% |
| 2019-11-04 | beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +4.8% | -5.8% | +11.7% | +9.8% |
| 2019-08-05 | miss | 0.64 | 0.54 | -16.0% | +0.6% | +11.6% | +5.8% |
| 2019-05-06 | miss | 0.63 | 0.53 | -15.7% | -1.2% | -7.2% | -10.8% |
| 2019-02-25 | beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +4.1% | +12.7% | +21.1% | +27.7% |
| 2018-11-05 | miss | 0.46 | 0.44 | -4.9% | -12.0% | -24.1% | -18.5% |
| 2018-08-06 | miss | 0.55 | 0.43 | -21.6% | -9.5% | -7.4% | -10.7% |
| 2018-05-07 | miss | 0.49 | 0.46 | -6.4% | -1.1% | -3.1% | -4.1% |
| 2018-02-26 | beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +8.9% | -1.1% | -6.7% | -6.6% |
| 2017-11-06 | beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +11.2% | -0.6% | -3.1% | -1.9% |
| 2017-08-07 | beat | 0.37 | 0.52 | +42.5% | +2.0% | +9.6% | +8.1% |
| 2017-05-08 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +5.6% | +3.1% | +8.3% | +5.6% |
| 2017-02-27 | miss | 0.15 | 0.12 | -20.0% | -0.7% | -3.6% | -8.0% |
| 2016-11-07 | miss | 0.20 | 0.19 | -5.0% | +1.0% | +9.7% | +29.9% |
| 2016-08-03 | miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -1.9% | -0.3% | +0.4% | +0.0% |
| 2016-05-09 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -1.6% | -2.0% | -9.6% | -14.7% |
| 2016-03-01 | beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +7.5% | +1.6% | +6.1% | +14.5% |
| 2015-11-02 | beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +10.3% | -3.8% | -2.7% | +1.2% |
| 2015-08-03 | 0.35 | 0.35 | — | +0.0% | -1.8% | -5.2% | |
| 2015-05-04 | miss | 0.41 | 0.39 | -4.9% | -3.4% | -4.7% | -5.2% |
| 2015-02-23 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +4.0% | -1.2% | +1.2% | -7.5% |
| 2014-11-03 | miss | 0.38 | 0.37 | -2.6% | -0.3% | -0.2% | +7.9% |
| 2014-08-05 | 0.46 | 0.46 | — | -0.6% | +2.7% | +4.6% | |
| 2014-05-05 | beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +2.4% | -1.1% | -5.9% | -6.2% |
| 2014-03-03 | miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -3.0% | +0.8% | +0.2% | +3.6% |
| 2013-11-04 | miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -5.9% | -1.0% | +3.0% | +0.4% |
| 2013-08-05 | beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +7.1% | +0.3% | +0.0% | -1.0% |
| 2013-05-06 | beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.8% | +0.1% | -1.9% | -3.6% |
| 2013-03-04 | beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +14.7% | +1.0% | +8.6% | +11.9% |
| 2012-11-05 | miss | 0.36 | 0.34 | -6.4% | -3.7% | +3.4% | -3.6% |
| 2012-08-06 | beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +4.0% | -4.0% | -2.0% | -4.8% |
| 2012-05-07 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.0% | +3.7% | +8.2% | +3.9% |
| 2012-03-12 | miss | 0.28 | 0.24 | -15.3% | -0.7% | -3.9% | -6.0% |
| 2011-11-07 | beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +18.6% | -8.2% | -8.8% | -11.4% |
Not investment advice.
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