HLModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+2.0%
Next 1 month
+3.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +3.6% median,
75% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 92
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.00%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.16 +3.3% · Seasonal tilt (8y) -0.2%
$4.8B market cap (#856 US)
$51M/day volume
42% volatility
-27% 1-year
-58% from ATH
52-week range · 16% of the way up · -45% from the high
$71.88$155.66
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 1.65.
1-day std dev
4.4%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+9.6%
Biggest drop
-11.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 38 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 1.59 | 1.94 | +22.2% | +4.4% | +7.1% | +10.5% |
| 2026-05-21 | beat | 1.43 | 1.49 | +4.5% | +1.7% | +4.1% | +2.4% |
| 2026-02-03 | beat | 1.33 | 1.55 | +16.9% | -3.9% | -3.7% | -5.9% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 1.10 | 1.54 | +39.8% | +3.9% | +6.4% | +15.1% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 0.99 | 1.31 | +32.6% | +2.4% | +3.9% | +5.1% |
| 2025-05-29 | beat | 1.17 | 1.21 | +3.1% | +2.1% | -11.1% | -14.2% |
| 2025-02-04 | beat | 1.10 | 1.25 | +13.8% | +4.7% | +2.2% | -0.9% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | 1.09 | 1.07 | -1.7% | +4.9% | +6.9% | +5.6% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 1.13 | 1.51 | +33.9% | +3.0% | +5.6% | +10.3% |
| 2024-05-23 | beat | 1.04 | 1.38 | +33.2% | +2.9% | +4.2% | +5.3% |
| 2024-02-06 | miss | 0.92 | 0.71 | -22.8% | -5.0% | -5.7% | -6.9% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | 0.94 | 0.89 | -5.0% | +2.7% | -2.0% | +3.0% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.85 | 0.94 | +10.4% | -3.0% | -0.2% | +4.0% |
| 2023-05-25 | beat | 0.80 | 0.96 | +20.2% | -0.9% | -1.1% | +7.7% |
| 2023-02-07 | miss | 0.81 | 0.43 | -46.8% | -7.5% | -1.5% | +1.5% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 0.59 | 1.02 | +72.1% | +6.0% | +3.6% | +13.2% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | 0.79 | 0.92 | +15.9% | -1.6% | -4.0% | -4.7% |
| 2022-05-26 | beat | 0.78 | 0.89 | +14.0% | +6.0% | +3.5% | +2.9% |
| 2022-02-01 | beat | 0.91 | 1.27 | +40.3% | -0.9% | +0.6% | -7.2% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 1.05 | 1.38 | +31.7% | +0.7% | +2.6% | +2.2% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 0.68 | 0.84 | +22.8% | +0.3% | -6.4% | -0.8% |
| 2021-05-27 | beat | 0.76 | 0.95 | +25.3% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -6.6% |
| 2021-02-02 | beat | 0.57 | 0.87 | +52.8% | +1.2% | +0.4% | +11.1% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | 0.60 | 0.78 | +31.1% | -0.7% | +0.3% | +2.1% |
| 2020-08-04 | miss | 0.24 | 0.13 | -46.2% | +0.2% | +4.6% | +0.9% |
| 2020-05-28 | beat | 0.49 | 0.59 | +20.4% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -3.4% |
| 2020-02-04 | miss | 0.48 | 0.47 | -1.1% | -2.9% | +1.4% | +10.9% |
| 2019-11-05 | miss | 0.52 | 0.50 | -2.9% | -4.5% | -5.5% | -7.4% |
| 2019-08-06 | miss | 0.49 | 0.45 | -8.8% | -6.0% | -2.2% | -1.6% |
| 2019-05-30 | miss | 0.40 | 0.36 | -9.6% | +0.0% | +1.4% | +9.1% |
| 2019-02-05 | beat | 0.39 | 0.62 | +57.4% | +6.3% | +9.6% | +15.2% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 0.51 | 0.55 | +8.9% | +0.5% | +0.1% | -5.9% |
| 2018-08-07 | miss | 0.40 | 0.38 | -5.9% | -9.1% | -6.5% | -1.8% |
| 2018-06-07 | beat | 0.40 | 0.58 | +46.5% | +2.5% | +0.4% | -3.3% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 0.28 | 0.46 | +62.0% | -3.8% | -2.5% | -0.4% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +8.9% | -2.7% | +4.9% | +15.7% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | 0.27 | 0.33 | +21.3% | +3.4% | +1.8% | +6.2% |
| 2017-06-12 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +5.0% | +1.8% | -0.5% | +5.8% |
Not investment advice.
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