HOG

Harley-Davidson, Inc. $30.33 as of 2026-10-29
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+2.5%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.8% median, 56% of the last 39 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 98
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.84 +2.4% · Seasonal tilt +0.0%
$61M/day volume 39% volatility +11% 1-year -60% from ATH
52-week range · 94% of the way up · -2% from the high
$17.09$31.12

Congressional trades in HOG Full tracker →

5 members · 22 buys / 17 sells · $1.5M–$3.6M disclosed · latest filing Apr 28, 2026.

SELL TM Tim Moore · traded Apr 7, 2026 $50K–$100K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Mar 12, 2026 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Jan 23, 2026 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Dec 18, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Dec 9, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL TM Tim Moore · traded Nov 28, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Nov 21, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Jul 30, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded May 1, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Apr 4, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL TM Tim Moore · traded May 14, 2025 $50K–$100K
SELL JS Jefferson Shreve · traded Apr 7, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Mar 6, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL TM Tim Moore · traded Mar 25, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Mar 14, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL TM Tim Moore · traded Mar 10, 2025 $100K–$250K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Mar 7, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY JS Jefferson Shreve · traded Mar 31, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL TM Tim Moore · traded Feb 12, 2025 $50K–$100K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Feb 12, 2025 $50K–$100K
SELL TM Tim Moore · traded Feb 10, 2025 $100K–$250K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Feb 6, 2025 $100K–$250K
SELL TM Tim Moore · traded Feb 5, 2025 $100K–$250K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Feb 4, 2025 $50K–$100K
SELL JS Jefferson Shreve · traded Feb 24, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Jan 24, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Jan 13, 2025 $50K–$100K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Jan 3, 2025 $50K–$100K
SELL TM Tim Moore · traded Jan 7, 2025 $250K–$500K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Jan 9, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL TM Tim Moore · traded Jan 24, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL TM Tim Moore · traded Jan 16, 2025 $100K–$250K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Jan 29, 2025 $50K–$100K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Jan 30, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Apr 29, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Mar 18, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL LS Lamar Smith · traded Feb 6, 2015 $1K–$15K
SELL JH John Hoeven · traded Nov 5, 2013 $1K–$15K
SELL LS Lamar Smith · traded Apr 25, 2014 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, before open, in 0 days) · EPS est. 0.47.

1-day std dev
7.7%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+22.1%
Biggest drop
-17.2%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-07-23 beat 0.64 0.75 +16.7% -0.6% -4.0% -10.8%
2026-05-05 miss 0.23 0.22 -3.1% +0.5% +8.2% +9.1%
2026-02-10 miss -1.06 -2.44 -129.2% -1.8% +4.0% +2.2%
2025-11-04 beat 1.64 3.10 +88.8% -1.1% -6.5% -6.6%
2025-07-30 miss 0.93 0.88 -5.4% +16.7% +13.4% +5.5%
2025-05-01 beat 0.77 1.07 +39.0% +4.6% +2.8% +4.4%
2025-02-05 miss -0.65 -0.93 -42.1% +1.4% -1.6% -2.6%
2024-10-24 beat 0.81 0.91 +12.3% +1.8% -7.2% -6.4%
2024-07-25 beat 1.38 1.63 +18.0% +9.7% +7.4% +7.8%
2024-04-25 beat 1.54 1.72 +11.7% -2.8% -15.7% -11.2%
2024-02-08 beat 0.03 0.18 +600.4% +0.8% +1.1% +9.3%
2023-10-26 beat 1.37 1.38 +1.1% -0.8% -6.5% -3.4%
2023-07-27 miss 1.29 1.22 -5.4% +2.5% +0.1% -0.2%
2023-04-27 beat 1.40 2.04 +46.0% +3.5% -0.4% -7.2%
2023-02-02 beat 0.05 0.28 +412.0% +7.1% +10.7% +2.4%
2022-10-26 beat 1.39 1.78 +27.7% +8.2% +12.6% +17.2%
2022-07-28 beat 1.07 1.46 +36.0% +6.4% +7.8% +8.2%
2022-04-27 miss 1.47 1.45 -1.6% -2.1% -0.5% +12.5%
2022-02-08 beat -0.33 0.15 +146.0% +10.7% +15.5% +16.4%
2021-10-27 beat 0.76 1.18 +55.3% +1.9% +3.6% +10.7%
2021-07-21 beat 1.17 1.41 +20.5% +0.7% -7.2% -10.9%
2021-04-19 beat 0.89 1.68 +89.0% +11.4% +9.7% +19.4%
2021-02-02 miss 0.12 -0.63 -623.9% -15.1% -17.2% -9.4%
2020-10-27 beat 0.28 1.05 +268.9% +10.6% +22.1% +14.9%
2020-07-28 miss 0.13 -0.35 -359.4% -6.6% -0.8% -11.5%
2020-04-28 miss 0.55 0.51 -7.3% +9.0% +15.2% +8.4%
2020-01-28 miss 0.12 0.09 -23.8% -6.4% -3.0% -1.6%
2019-10-22 miss 0.55 0.55 -0.8% +6.0% +8.0% +9.2%
2019-07-23 beat 1.39 1.46 +5.3% -3.7% +6.4% +2.7%
2019-04-23 beat 0.87 0.98 +13.3% +0.5% -2.0% -6.3%
2019-01-29 miss 0.30 0.11 -63.4% -9.3% -5.1% +0.0%
2018-10-23 beat 0.44 0.68 +53.1% -1.9% -2.2% -2.5%
2018-07-24 beat 1.36 1.45 +6.7% +3.5% +7.7% +3.5%
2018-04-24 beat 0.88 1.03 +17.4% +5.0% +2.4% -0.7%
2018-01-30 beat 0.45 0.48 +4.7% -6.7% -8.0% -12.1%
2017-10-17 beat 0.39 0.40 +2.4% -1.8% +2.0% +6.2%
2017-07-18 beat 1.39 1.48 +6.1% -10.1% -5.9% -7.4%
2017-04-18 beat 0.99 1.05 +6.6% -4.3% -4.2% -3.7%
2017-01-31 miss 0.31 0.27 -12.2% -5.0% -1.5% -2.3%
2016-10-18 beat 0.64 0.64 +0.2% +2.1% +9.0% +13.9%
2016-07-28 beat 1.53 1.55 +1.0% -4.1% +0.9% +5.0%
2016-04-19 beat 1.30 1.36 +4.9% +0.4% -2.5% +5.2%
2016-01-28 beat 0.21 0.22 +3.8% +0.0% +3.8% +10.0%
2015-10-20 miss 0.77 0.69 -10.9% -8.5% -13.9% -14.9%
2015-07-21 beat 1.40 1.44 +3.1% +4.6% +5.0% +5.9%
2015-04-21 beat 1.24 1.27 +2.2% -8.6% -9.8% -7.8%
2015-01-29 beat 0.33 0.35 +5.2% +1.2% +3.7% +1.4%
2014-10-21 beat 0.60 0.69 +15.7% +7.9% +7.3% +10.4%
2014-07-22 beat 1.46 1.62 +11.0% -4.5% -5.4% -6.0%
2014-04-22 beat 1.08 1.21 +11.8% +7.4% +6.4% +8.7%
2014-01-30 beat 0.32 0.34 +7.9% +3.5% -1.3% +0.7%
2013-10-22 miss 0.73 0.73 -0.1% +0.8% -1.3% -1.1%
2013-07-25 beat 1.18 1.21 +2.5% +2.9% -0.2% +4.6%
2013-04-25 beat 0.97 0.99 +1.7% +0.1% +2.1% +1.8%
2013-01-29 miss 0.31 0.31 -1.5% -1.0% +2.5% -1.2%
2012-10-23 beat 0.58 0.59 +1.3% -0.6% +7.7% +9.4%
2012-08-01 beat 1.05 1.07 +2.2% +0.3% -3.6% -3.6%
2012-04-25 beat 0.72 0.74 +2.2% +4.6% +6.2% +6.1%
2012-01-24 beat 0.24 0.46 +90.5% -0.1% +3.5% +5.5%
2011-10-18 beat 0.76 0.78 +2.9% -8.0% -7.0% +1.8%
Posted about HOG See all ›
TRACKER - Insider Clusters long 26.11 Wed, 12 Aug 2 different insiders at HARLEY-DAVIDSON, INC. bought HOG stock in the last 30 days — $1,241,641 between them, at prices they each paid separately.…

Not investment advice.