HRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
-0.4%
Next 1 month
+0.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +14.8% median,
91% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 6
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.20 -0.5% · Seasonal tilt (11y) +0.6%
$8M/day volume
50% volatility
+48% 1-year
-8% from ATH
52-week range · 82% of the way up · -8% from the high
$20.48$37.87
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-03-09 (Tuesday, after close, in 131 days) · EPS est. 1.19.
1-day std dev
12.5%
Finished up
65%
Biggest pop
+44.0%
Biggest drop
-22.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 1.25 | 2.05 | +64.7% | +14.3% | +16.5% | +10.1% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | 1.53 | 1.19 | -22.5% | -12.8% | -20.0% | -16.4% |
| 2026-03-09 | beat | 1.74 | 2.15 | +24.1% | +7.6% | +0.8% | +5.8% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.53 | 1.56 | +194.3% | +8.3% | +12.5% | +24.6% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 1.01 | 1.55 | +53.5% | +1.3% | -12.2% | +1.9% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | 0.45 | 0.99 | +121.6% | +5.7% | +22.5% | +18.8% |
| 2025-03-11 | beat | 0.56 | 0.66 | +17.9% | +3.1% | +1.0% | +16.9% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 0.06 | 0.27 | +341.7% | +4.3% | +2.7% | +2.7% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 0.41 | 0.61 | +48.6% | +6.9% | +2.1% | +77.5% |
| 2024-05-01 | miss | 0.59 | 0.47 | -20.3% | -16.4% | -22.5% | -16.6% |
| 2024-03-11 | beat | 0.46 | 1.15 | +151.8% | +23.8% | +25.2% | +29.1% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | -0.21 | -0.27 | -26.2% | +2.5% | +11.5% | +17.7% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.08 | 0.36 | +326.6% | +13.1% | +10.4% | +28.3% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 0.10 | 0.49 | +412.1% | +16.5% | +14.6% | +41.5% |
| 2023-03-02 | beat | -0.16 | 0.48 | +400.0% | +18.8% | +33.8% | +27.6% |
| 2022-11-08 | miss | -1.06 | -1.83 | -72.6% | -1.8% | -14.6% | -14.6% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -0.12 | 0.11 | +194.3% | +2.9% | +44.0% | +19.3% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | 0.22 | -1.15 | -621.7% | -3.3% | -6.1% | -23.7% |
| 2022-03-07 | beat | 0.16 | 0.41 | +151.0% | +6.3% | +13.8% | +16.5% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | -0.27 | -0.59 | -117.5% | -4.6% | +0.6% | -3.1% |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | -0.04 | -0.12 | -220.7% | +1.7% | +3.7% | +1.9% |
| 2021-05-05 | miss | -0.15 | -0.19 | -20.6% | -0.8% | -2.3% | -6.3% |
| 2021-03-03 | beat | -0.46 | 0.03 | +106.2% | +1.9% | +0.6% | +12.3% |
| 2020-11-02 | miss | -0.62 | -0.76 | -22.4% | +4.5% | -0.5% | +2.6% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | 0.01 | 0.15 | +2135.4% | +1.6% | +5.1% | +12.5% |
| 2020-05-04 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +2.1% | +6.4% | +2.7% | +2.7% |
| 2020-02-27 | beat | 0.37 | 0.42 | +12.6% | +3.6% | -1.9% | +7.8% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 0.14 | 0.28 | +100.0% | +5.5% | +15.4% | +10.0% |
| 2019-08-01 | — | — | — | +12.1% | +4.0% | +9.6% | |
| 2019-05-06 | miss | 0.31 | 0.21 | -31.6% | +0.6% | +2.4% | +10.9% |
| 2019-03-01 | beat | 0.03 | 0.18 | +500.0% | -2.2% | +1.6% | -5.8% |
| 2018-10-31 | beat | 0.28 | 0.65 | +130.0% | +4.9% | +7.7% | +20.8% |
| 2018-08-02 | miss | 0.67 | 0.48 | -28.1% | -9.1% | -11.0% | -13.2% |
| 2018-05-07 | beat | 0.42 | 0.56 | +34.4% | +1.5% | +6.5% | +12.8% |
| 2018-03-07 | beat | 0.39 | 1.23 | +216.1% | +1.4% | +1.9% | +0.8% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | -0.09 | -0.06 | +32.4% | +0.0% | -2.7% | +4.1% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +7.3% | +3.1% | +3.6% | -9.0% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +17.2% | +2.9% | +7.8% | +4.4% |
| 2017-03-15 | beat | -0.28 | -0.09 | +67.3% | +0.4% | -8.8% | -12.2% |
| 2016-11-08 | miss | 0.38 | 0.37 | -1.7% | -2.1% | +11.8% | +24.7% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 0.55 | 0.62 | +13.4% | +7.3% | +12.5% | +6.8% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | 0.45 | 0.24 | -47.1% | -4.6% | -0.3% | +9.0% |
| 2016-03-02 | beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +0.9% | +1.0% | -11.9% | -20.9% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 0.49 | 0.55 | +12.4% | +2.3% | +10.3% | +7.9% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | 0.82 | 0.84 | +2.2% | -1.2% | -15.9% | -23.3% |
| 2015-05-06 | beat | 0.78 | 1.00 | +28.6% | +3.0% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
| 2015-03-04 | beat | 0.43 | 0.66 | +52.9% | +5.0% | +6.3% | +11.2% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | 0.27 | 0.33 | +21.1% | +2.3% | -4.0% | -7.7% |
| 2014-08-04 | beat | 0.32 | 0.39 | +22.6% | -0.2% | -3.1% | +1.1% |
Not investment advice.
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