HYModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.9%
Next 1 month
+3.8%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -0.8% median,
46% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 67
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.18%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.54 +4.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$4M/day volume
52% volatility
-21% 1-year
-73% from ATH
52-week range · 20% of the way up · -29% from the high
$26.41$41.30
Congressional trades in HY Full tracker →
1 member · 11 buys / 5 sells · $620K–$1.5M disclosed · latest filing Jan 24, 2026.
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 12 days) · EPS est. 0.09.
1-day std dev
9.8%
Finished up
39%
Biggest pop
+23.6%
Biggest drop
-16.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 56 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | miss | -1.13 | -1.64 | -45.1% | +1.1% | +15.2% | -2.5% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | -1.80 | -1.64 | +8.9% | +2.6% | -7.7% | -9.1% |
| 2026-03-03 | miss | -1.23 | -2.06 | -67.5% | -4.4% | -1.8% | -15.7% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | -0.14 | -0.09 | +35.7% | -1.6% | -1.4% | -13.9% |
| 2025-08-05 | miss | 0.60 | -0.79 | -232.8% | -9.2% | -12.4% | -10.0% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | 0.49 | 0.48 | -2.0% | -4.7% | -4.6% | +5.1% |
| 2025-02-25 | beat | 1.40 | 1.47 | +5.4% | +1.0% | +2.8% | -13.3% |
| 2024-11-05 | miss | 1.99 | 0.97 | -51.3% | -11.5% | -14.7% | -15.8% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 2.28 | 3.58 | +57.0% | +0.1% | -16.4% | -15.8% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 2.49 | 2.93 | +17.7% | +8.6% | +23.6% | +29.1% |
| 2024-02-27 | miss | 1.75 | 1.43 | -18.3% | +0.0% | -16.8% | -15.7% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | 0.50 | 2.06 | +312.0% | +6.1% | +5.2% | +10.9% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.77 | 2.21 | +187.0% | +4.0% | +6.9% | +1.9% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 0.38 | 1.55 | +313.3% | +3.5% | -8.0% | -2.9% |
| 2023-02-27 | beat | -0.22 | 0.44 | +295.6% | +7.2% | +19.5% | +42.1% |
| 2022-11-01 | miss | -2.08 | -2.20 | -5.8% | +0.9% | -1.2% | -0.7% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | -1.85 | -1.15 | +38.0% | +6.2% | +1.3% | -7.3% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | -3.05 | -1.48 | +51.5% | +3.0% | +11.2% | +2.9% |
| 2022-02-28 | miss | -1.05 | -2.84 | -170.0% | -1.5% | -12.0% | -6.6% |
| 2021-11-02 | miss | -0.43 | -1.71 | -298.2% | -6.4% | -12.6% | -8.9% |
| 2021-08-03 | miss | 0.40 | 0.11 | -72.5% | -6.6% | -12.3% | -12.3% |
| 2021-05-04 | miss | 0.58 | 0.33 | -43.1% | -7.2% | -6.0% | -9.2% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | 0.52 | 1.02 | +96.0% | +0.9% | -13.3% | -10.1% |
| 2020-11-03 | beat | -0.18 | 0.30 | +266.7% | +1.2% | +10.4% | +12.0% |
| 2020-08-04 | beat | -0.02 | 0.21 | +1150.0% | +0.0% | +7.5% | +15.3% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | 0.09 | 0.91 | +911.1% | +2.2% | -6.1% | -8.1% |
| 2020-02-25 | miss | 0.98 | 0.20 | -79.6% | +8.9% | +1.8% | -7.2% |
| 2019-10-29 | miss | 0.80 | 0.76 | -5.0% | -4.7% | -1.5% | +5.6% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 0.24 | 0.82 | +241.7% | +7.8% | +11.6% | +4.5% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.06 | 0.20 | +233.3% | -2.9% | -11.4% | -17.5% |
| 2019-02-26 | miss | 0.44 | -0.07 | -115.9% | -3.2% | -4.6% | -14.2% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.60 | 0.96 | +59.6% | +4.5% | -4.3% | +7.3% |
| 2018-07-31 | miss | 0.53 | 0.34 | -35.2% | -5.7% | -7.4% | -7.0% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | 0.86 | 0.90 | +4.2% | +0.0% | -3.1% | -5.2% |
| 2018-02-27 | miss | 1.06 | 0.97 | -8.5% | -2.1% | -8.9% | -11.0% |
| 2017-11-03 | beat | 0.43 | 0.70 | +62.0% | +2.5% | +11.2% | +0.0% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | 0.73 | 0.99 | +35.0% | +2.8% | -9.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | 0.53 | 1.10 | +107.5% | +16.2% | +14.8% | +25.9% |
| 2017-02-28 | miss | 0.84 | 0.74 | -11.6% | -5.6% | +6.7% | -4.6% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | 0.70 | 0.75 | +7.1% | -6.0% | -9.0% | +1.6% |
| 2016-08-08 | miss | 0.85 | 0.51 | -39.8% | -7.9% | -15.3% | -17.0% |
| 2016-04-27 | miss | 0.63 | 0.61 | -3.7% | -2.3% | -9.9% | -14.3% |
| 2016-02-17 | beat | 1.03 | 1.05 | +1.6% | +0.6% | -2.7% | +2.0% |
| 2015-10-28 | beat | 1.23 | 1.28 | +3.8% | +0.3% | -7.1% | -9.5% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 0.97 | 1.39 | +43.8% | +5.9% | +6.2% | +3.6% |
| 2015-04-29 | miss | 0.97 | 0.85 | -12.7% | -2.7% | -0.9% | -1.5% |
| 2015-02-19 | beat | 1.56 | 1.75 | +12.1% | +0.1% | +2.2% | -1.6% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 1.47 | 1.70 | +15.9% | +2.0% | +7.8% | +5.3% |
| 2014-07-30 | miss | 1.54 | 1.24 | -19.2% | -1.6% | -9.7% | -17.8% |
| 2014-04-30 | miss | 1.40 | 1.31 | -6.4% | -0.4% | -6.2% | -10.0% |
| 2014-02-19 | miss | 1.37 | 0.91 | -33.6% | +2.6% | +8.4% | +11.3% |
| 2013-10-30 | beat | 1.34 | 1.40 | +4.5% | -1.8% | -10.9% | -8.9% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | 1.18 | 2.16 | +83.0% | +3.7% | +14.6% | +19.2% |
| 2013-05-01 | beat | 0.88 | 1.47 | +67.0% | +2.1% | +2.7% | +11.4% |
| 2013-02-19 | beat | 1.17 | 1.33 | +13.7% | +1.6% | +0.5% | +1.6% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 0.99 | 1.48 | +49.5% | +0.8% | -0.5% | -1.1% |
Not investment advice.
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