IAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.0%
Next 1 month
+0.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.4% median,
90% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 97
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.12 +0.4% · Seasonal tilt (10y) -0.1%
$81M/day volume
5% volatility
-4% 1-year
-14% from ATH
52-week range · 23% of the way up · -4% from the high
$48.81$51.82
Congressional trades in IAGG Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 0 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing May 14, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Not investment advice.
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