IDModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+3.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.9% median,
59% of the last 44 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 75
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.19%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.34 +3.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$58M/day volume
48% volatility
-10% 1-year
-19% from ATH
52-week range · 52% of the way up · -19% from the high
$249.14$412.60
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, before open, in 1 day) · EPS est. 1.87.
1-day std dev
6.7%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+16.2%
Biggest drop
-15.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 1.53 | 4.62 | +202.9% | +17.9% | +16.2% | +25.8% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 2.52 | 2.57 | +2.2% | -2.7% | -15.9% | -21.0% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 1.78 | 2.12 | +19.3% | +3.9% | +9.9% | +13.7% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 2.05 | 2.55 | +24.2% | -3.4% | +3.5% | -0.5% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 3.38 | 6.52 | +93.0% | +2.8% | +5.3% | +8.5% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 3.79 | 4.21 | +11.1% | +2.1% | +0.6% | +5.5% |
| 2025-02-06 | miss | 5.36 | 5.15 | -4.0% | +9.6% | +16.0% | +17.8% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 0.77 | 1.63 | +111.7% | +8.4% | +1.8% | +21.3% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 0.74 | 4.57 | +517.6% | +5.9% | +11.5% | +13.6% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 3.35 | 3.58 | +6.9% | +4.2% | +5.1% | +7.8% |
| 2024-02-15 | beat | 1.26 | 1.41 | +11.6% | +7.8% | +11.0% | +3.1% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 1.18 | 2.13 | +80.0% | +6.0% | +8.6% | +12.5% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 1.19 | 1.30 | +9.2% | -5.0% | -3.6% | -7.3% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 0.78 | 4.21 | +443.2% | +4.6% | +9.4% | +24.1% |
| 2023-02-15 | beat | 1.10 | 1.28 | +16.7% | +0.0% | +2.2% | +1.9% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 0.59 | 0.91 | +54.5% | -2.1% | -2.1% | +6.8% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | 1.09 | 0.84 | -22.4% | +2.1% | -1.9% | -11.9% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 0.68 | 0.72 | +6.2% | +0.9% | -3.7% | -3.9% |
| 2022-02-17 | beat | 0.68 | 1.04 | +52.2% | +4.2% | -2.5% | -6.0% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 1.22 | 1.44 | +18.1% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +1.6% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.44 | 0.60 | +35.3% | -3.3% | +0.4% | +7.7% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.21 | 0.25 | +17.9% | -0.4% | +1.4% | +1.5% |
| 2021-02-18 | beat | 0.25 | 0.33 | +30.3% | -1.1% | -5.5% | -4.1% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.42 | 0.82 | +97.8% | +2.9% | +8.8% | +7.1% |
| 2020-08-06 | miss | 0.94 | 0.85 | -9.2% | +2.7% | +1.0% | +2.0% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | 0.25 | 0.13 | -50.0% | +0.8% | +0.7% | -2.6% |
| 2020-02-20 | beat | 0.58 | 0.75 | +29.3% | +3.6% | +7.7% | -7.7% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 0.07 | 0.29 | +320.9% | -0.2% | -3.8% | +3.2% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 0.30 | 0.54 | +77.0% | +0.4% | -1.3% | -17.2% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +13.4% | -2.6% | +3.3% | +7.6% |
| 2019-02-21 | miss | 0.16 | 0.12 | -24.1% | -0.2% | -3.7% | -4.1% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.23 | 0.98 | +335.6% | +0.5% | +4.4% | +9.1% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.28 | 0.35 | +21.6% | +0.7% | -0.6% | +0.3% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.37 | 0.94 | +154.1% | -0.6% | -3.6% | -4.5% |
| 2018-02-22 | beat | 2.54 | 3.23 | +27.5% | -2.3% | -8.2% | -7.3% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.77 | 0.85 | +10.9% | +2.5% | +1.0% | -2.5% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 1.44 | 1.55 | +7.7% | +2.3% | -2.7% | -8.2% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +6.1% | +0.0% | +3.0% | -5.0% |
| 2017-02-23 | beat | 3.69 | 3.85 | +4.5% | -1.9% | -13.2% | -17.4% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 3.12 | 3.12 | +0.3% | -0.7% | -13.7% | -14.2% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.38 | 0.60 | +55.8% | +1.3% | +0.6% | +14.3% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.74 | 1.06 | +42.1% | -1.9% | -0.9% | -5.0% |
| 2016-02-18 | beat | 0.80 | 0.92 | +15.5% | +3.4% | +6.6% | +11.3% |
| 2015-10-30 | beat | 0.24 | 0.68 | +189.4% | +5.2% | +2.4% | +10.0% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.78 | 0.89 | +14.8% | -0.4% | -1.6% | -9.2% |
| 2015-04-29 | beat | 0.76 | 0.89 | +17.1% | +2.4% | +1.4% | +1.4% |
| 2015-02-19 | 0.36 | 0.36 | — | +1.7% | +2.4% | +7.2% | |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 0.20 | 0.34 | +74.4% | +0.7% | +6.4% | +6.9% |
| 2014-08-07 | miss | 2.11 | 1.93 | -8.4% | +0.1% | -3.3% | -3.5% |
| 2014-05-01 | beat | -0.08 | -0.05 | +37.5% | -2.9% | -2.6% | -0.5% |
| 2014-02-20 | beat | 0.30 | 0.35 | +15.7% | +5.6% | +6.8% | +9.2% |
| 2013-10-31 | beat | -0.02 | 0.64 | +3757.1% | +2.2% | +11.5% | -4.0% |
| 2013-07-25 | beat | 0.15 | 0.22 | +43.5% | -0.5% | +0.3% | +6.0% |
| 2013-04-25 | miss | -0.20 | -0.30 | -51.9% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +6.0% |
| 2013-02-20 | beat | 0.06 | 0.57 | +891.3% | +0.9% | -2.9% | -1.2% |
| 2012-10-24 | beat | 5.41 | 5.56 | +2.9% | -0.6% | -3.4% | +18.5% |
| 2012-07-25 | miss | 0.30 | 0.22 | -27.5% | +0.3% | -7.4% | +12.5% |
| 2012-04-25 | miss | 0.31 | 0.24 | -21.9% | -8.2% | -13.6% | -19.1% |
| 2012-02-23 | beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +6.5% | +3.1% | +5.3% | +0.5% |
| 2011-10-26 | beat | 0.40 | 0.57 | +43.7% | +6.3% | -2.1% | -0.6% |
Not investment advice.
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