ITW

Illinois Tool Works Inc. $276.07 as of 2026-10-28
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+2.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.6% median, 75% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 48
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.48 +1.3% · Seasonal tilt +1.0%
$81.5B market cap (#168 US) $367M/day volume 21% volatility +11% 1-year -9% from ATH
52-week range · 58% of the way up · -9% from the high
$238.82$303.16

Congressional trades in ITW Full tracker →

24 members · 33 buys / 38 sells · $528K–$2.1M disclosed · latest filing Sep 25, 2026.

SELL KH Kevin Hern · traded Sep 9, 2026 $15K–$50K
SELL KH Kevin Hern · traded Sep 4, 2026 $50K–$100K
SELL KH Kevin Hern · traded Sep 2, 2026 $15K–$50K
SELL KH Kevin Hern · traded Aug 31, 2026 $15K–$50K
SELL RM Richard Dean McCormick · traded Jul 30, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded May 3, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL SC Shelley M Capito · traded Feb 24, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY RM Richard Dean McCormick · traded Nov 5, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY LM Lisa McClain · traded Oct 30, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL LM Lisa McClain · traded Oct 30, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL LM Lisa McClain · traded Oct 31, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY RM Richard Dean McCormick · traded Mar 15, 2023 $1K–$15K
BUY LM Lisa McClain · traded Jun 17, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY SF Scott Scott Franklin · traded Sep 25, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL BW Bruce Westerman · traded Apr 21, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY BW Bruce Westerman · traded Apr 8, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY JM Jared Moskowitz · traded Apr 7, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY CM Carol Devine Miller · traded Mar 10, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL SC Shelley M Capito · traded Jan 17, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY CF C. Scott Franklin · traded Sep 25, 2024 $1K–$15K
BUY CF C. Scott Franklin · traded Sep 25, 2024 $50K–$100K
BUY JJ John James · traded Nov 10, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded May 3, 2024 $1K–$15K
BUY TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Oct 17, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel · traded Sep 8, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Apr 3, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Apr 3, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL LD Ladda Tammy Duckworth · traded Apr 11, 2023 $15K–$50K
SELL LF Lois Frankel · traded Mar 22, 2023 $1K–$15K
BUY JM Jared Moskowitz · traded Feb 21, 2023 $1K–$15K
BUY KH Kevin Hern · traded Oct 20, 2021 $15K–$50K
SELL CA Cindy Axne · traded Mar 11, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL CA Cindy Axne · traded Mar 23, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY KH Kevin Hern · traded Jul 1, 2021 $50K–$100K
SELL LD Ladda Tammy Duckworth · traded Apr 5, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY KH Kevin Hern · traded Oct 16, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel · traded Sep 9, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL MS Mikie Sherrill · traded Feb 20, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY LF Lois Frankel sT · traded May 15, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY SC Shelley M Capito · traded Apr 24, 2018 $1K–$15K
BUY SC Shelley M Capito · traded Apr 5, 2018 $1K–$15K
SELL JR John F Reed · traded Feb 4, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY LF Lois Frankel sT · traded Feb 8, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY DP Dean Phillips · traded Jan 4, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL JY John A. Yarmuth sT · traded Oct 22, 2018 $1K–$15K
SELL BS Bradley S. Schneider · traded Jul 23, 2018 $100K–$250K
BUY LF Lois Frankel sT · traded Aug 15, 2018 $1K–$15K
BUY SC Shelley M Capito · traded Apr 24, 2018 $1K–$15K
BUY SC Shelley M Capito · traded Apr 5, 2018 $1K–$15K
SELL JR John F Reed · traded Mar 9, 2018 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel · traded Jun 21, 2017 $1K–$15K
SELL FL Frank A. LoBiondo · traded May 17, 2017 $1K–$15K
BUY JY John A. Yarmuth · traded Mar 23, 2017 $1K–$15K
BUY PS Pete Sessions · traded Feb 1, 2017 $1K–$15K
BUY PS Pete Sessions · traded Feb 1, 2017 $1K–$15K
SELL TR Thomas J. Rooney · traded Jul 29, 2014 $15K–$50K
BUY TR Thomas J. Rooney · traded Nov 2, 2016 $1K–$15K
BUY TR Thomas J. Rooney · traded Sep 1, 2016 $1K–$15K
BUY TR Thomas J. Rooney · traded Jun 1, 2016 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel · traded Aug 10, 2016 $1K–$15K

Showing the 60 most recent filings of 71 — full tracker.

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2027-02-02 (Tuesday, before open, in 96 days) · EPS est. 2.99.

1-day std dev
2.9%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+7.3%
Biggest drop
-7.2%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-10-27 beat 2.97 3.00 +0.9% -1.4% -0.1% —
2026-07-28 beat 2.80 2.84 +1.5% +4.9% +3.6% +3.6%
2026-04-30 beat 2.56 2.66 +3.8% -5.9% -2.9% -3.8%
2026-02-03 beat 2.69 2.72 +1.1% +1.0% +5.6% +11.4%
2025-10-24 beat 2.72 2.81 +3.5% -3.3% -4.5% -5.3%
2025-07-30 beat 2.56 2.58 +0.6% -0.7% -2.2% -0.8%
2025-04-30 beat 2.35 2.38 +1.1% -0.8% -0.8% -0.6%
2025-02-05 beat 2.50 2.54 +1.5% -2.6% -0.2% +0.5%
2024-10-30 beat 2.53 2.65 +4.5% +2.7% +3.2% +7.6%
2024-07-30 beat 2.47 2.54 +2.9% +3.0% +0.5% -3.9%
2024-04-30 beat 2.36 2.73 +15.7% +0.5% -2.1% -0.8%
2024-02-01 beat 2.41 2.42 +0.2% -2.6% -2.1% -2.4%
2023-10-24 beat 2.45 2.55 +3.9% +1.4% +0.3% +0.8%
2023-08-01 beat 2.41 2.41 +0.1% -3.0% -4.4% -5.5%
2023-05-02 beat 2.23 2.33 +4.6% -3.6% -4.6% -7.1%
2023-02-02 beat 2.57 2.95 +14.7% +3.7% +4.6% -1.9%
2022-10-25 beat 2.25 2.35 +4.3% +0.1% +2.5% +6.2%
2022-08-02 beat 2.21 2.37 +7.1% -2.1% -1.2% +0.8%
2022-05-03 beat 2.07 2.11 +2.1% +4.9% +2.1% +1.8%
2022-02-03 beat 1.91 1.93 +1.1% +0.4% +2.3% -6.8%
2021-10-28 beat 2.01 2.02 +0.4% -0.3% +2.0% +4.7%
2021-07-30 beat 2.09 2.45 +17.2% -2.0% -0.8% -0.3%
2021-04-30 beat 1.89 2.11 +11.9% +0.0% -0.1% +3.3%
2021-02-05 beat 1.77 2.02 +13.8% +0.6% +2.6% +2.0%
2020-10-23 beat 1.45 1.83 +26.2% +3.1% +2.5% -2.9%
2020-07-31 beat 0.69 1.01 +45.8% -0.8% -0.4% +2.6%
2020-05-05 beat 1.71 1.77 +3.6% -3.4% +0.9% -2.3%
2020-01-31 beat 1.86 2.21 +19.2% +0.0% -1.6% +3.2%
2019-10-25 beat 1.95 2.04 +4.8% +2.5% +7.3% +7.9%
2019-07-26 miss 1.98 1.91 -3.5% -2.3% -1.9% -4.4%
2019-04-25 miss 1.82 1.81 -0.6% -3.0% -3.6% -1.4%
2019-02-01 beat 1.82 1.83 +0.6% -3.4% -2.1% -1.2%
2018-10-24 beat 1.88 1.90 +0.9% -0.5% -5.3% +0.8%
2018-07-23 beat 1.97 1.97 +0.0% -6.8% -7.2% -4.9%
2018-04-26 beat 1.86 1.90 +2.4% -1.8% -6.7% -4.8%
2018-01-24 miss 1.61 -0.22 -113.6% +1.7% +0.4% +0.4%
2017-10-23 beat 1.65 1.85 +12.3% -3.7% +0.3% +1.5%
2017-07-24 beat 1.63 1.69 +3.5% -2.6% -3.6% -4.5%
2017-04-24 beat 1.45 1.54 +6.3% +2.9% +3.6% +2.1%
2017-01-25 beat 1.37 1.39 +1.3% +1.6% +1.2% -0.1%
2016-10-20 beat 1.49 1.50 +0.6% -1.7% -2.1% -2.1%
2016-07-20 beat 1.40 1.46 +4.6% +1.3% +2.8% +4.2%
2016-04-20 beat 1.26 1.29 +2.4% -0.9% -1.2% -0.2%
2016-01-27 beat 1.21 1.23 +2.0% +3.8% +2.3% +6.7%
2015-10-21 beat 1.36 1.39 +2.1% -1.2% +0.5% +8.2%
2015-07-22 beat 1.28 1.30 +1.4% +0.7% -2.8% -3.1%
2015-04-21 beat 1.17 1.21 +3.2% -1.1% -2.7% -1.9%
2015-01-27 beat 1.13 1.18 +4.5% -0.4% -0.3% +2.3%
2014-10-21 beat 1.23 1.34 +8.9% +2.9% +3.8% +7.7%
2014-07-29 miss 3.94 3.66 -7.1% -0.3% -1.5% -2.4%
2014-04-22 beat 0.98 1.01 +3.2% +1.6% +0.6% +0.2%
2014-01-28 miss 0.98 0.93 -5.5% +1.8% +0.9% -1.1%
2013-10-21 beat 0.92 0.99 +7.3% +0.4% +0.6% +2.2%
2013-07-23 miss 1.10 1.03 -6.0% -1.4% -2.8% -2.3%
2013-04-23 miss 0.96 0.78 -18.5% +1.3% +3.3% +6.2%
2013-01-29 miss 0.90 0.89 -0.7% -2.1% -2.0% -4.0%
2012-10-23 beat 1.06 1.09 +2.6% -1.4% +0.3% +2.6%
2012-07-24 beat 1.10 1.11 +1.3% +0.8% -2.4% +1.4%
2012-04-24 beat 0.95 1.00 +5.4% +0.5% +2.6% +3.9%
2012-01-31 beat 0.89 0.91 +1.7% -0.1% -0.3% +4.9%

Not investment advice.