JAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+1.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.8% median,
56% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 17
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.24%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.51 +1.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.0%
$174M/day volume
38% volatility
+47% 1-year
-23% from ATH
52-week range · 55% of the way up · -23% from the high
$128.80$266.38
Congressional trades in JAZZ Full tracker →
5 members · 4 buys / 3 sells · $49K–$210K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2023.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.95.
1-day std dev
5.9%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+13.2%
Biggest drop
-14.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | miss | 6.18 | 5.71 | -7.5% | +1.5% | +4.0% | -1.4% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 4.66 | 6.34 | +36.2% | +7.4% | +7.7% | +9.5% |
| 2026-02-24 | beat | 6.51 | 6.64 | +2.0% | +3.5% | +13.2% | +8.5% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 5.85 | 8.13 | +39.0% | +3.7% | -2.3% | +3.3% |
| 2025-08-05 | miss | -6.25 | -8.25 | -32.1% | -5.0% | -6.4% | +3.5% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | 4.66 | 1.68 | -63.9% | -5.1% | -8.8% | -4.1% |
| 2025-02-25 | beat | 5.81 | 6.60 | +13.6% | +0.6% | +3.2% | +0.4% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 5.50 | 6.61 | +20.2% | +4.8% | +6.8% | +11.4% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 4.78 | 5.30 | +10.8% | +2.6% | +3.7% | +2.5% |
| 2024-05-01 | miss | 4.18 | 2.68 | -35.9% | -4.7% | -0.9% | +2.5% |
| 2024-02-28 | miss | 5.18 | 5.02 | -3.2% | -3.2% | -8.3% | -10.3% |
| 2023-11-08 | miss | 4.93 | 4.84 | -1.9% | +0.2% | -9.1% | -5.0% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | 4.43 | 4.51 | +1.8% | +4.3% | +1.6% | +3.7% |
| 2023-05-10 | miss | 4.22 | 3.95 | -6.4% | +0.3% | +0.4% | -3.5% |
| 2023-03-01 | miss | 1.12 | -0.07 | -106.3% | +0.5% | +2.7% | -2.0% |
| 2022-11-09 | beat | 4.67 | 5.17 | +10.6% | +7.1% | +7.1% | +3.7% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 4.19 | 4.30 | +2.5% | +1.9% | -0.3% | +1.7% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | 3.89 | 3.73 | -4.1% | -1.1% | -2.7% | -9.3% |
| 2022-03-01 | beat | 3.64 | 4.21 | +15.6% | +3.9% | +12.1% | +12.7% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | 3.31 | 4.20 | +26.7% | +4.2% | +3.3% | +0.8% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 3.45 | 3.90 | +13.2% | -2.6% | -10.5% | -15.4% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 3.73 | 3.92 | +5.0% | +0.8% | +6.6% | +9.8% |
| 2021-02-23 | miss | 4.20 | 4.00 | -4.8% | +8.2% | +10.2% | +3.5% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 4.08 | 4.31 | +5.7% | +4.6% | +1.0% | +2.3% |
| 2020-08-04 | beat | 3.11 | 3.71 | +19.2% | +5.0% | +10.6% | +8.7% |
| 2020-05-05 | miss | 0.67 | 0.45 | -33.0% | -5.8% | +2.6% | +1.5% |
| 2020-02-25 | beat | 4.12 | 4.42 | +7.3% | -12.8% | -8.4% | -1.7% |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | 3.59 | 4.10 | +14.1% | +0.3% | -0.4% | +4.3% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | 3.57 | 4.05 | +13.4% | -1.5% | -3.2% | -5.5% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | 3.16 | 3.67 | +16.2% | +4.2% | +9.3% | +7.5% |
| 2019-02-26 | beat | 3.03 | 3.64 | +20.2% | +7.9% | +7.9% | +6.2% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 3.32 | 3.58 | +7.8% | -7.2% | -14.6% | -13.8% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | 3.21 | 3.49 | +8.8% | -3.7% | -2.4% | -3.3% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | 2.78 | 2.98 | +7.2% | +3.0% | +5.9% | +9.3% |
| 2018-02-27 | miss | 2.96 | 2.95 | -0.4% | -0.2% | +0.7% | +1.0% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 2.89 | 3.22 | +11.5% | +0.0% | +2.7% | +1.0% |
| 2017-08-08 | miss | 2.75 | 2.56 | -6.9% | -6.6% | -6.2% | -3.2% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | 2.34 | 2.31 | -1.3% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -6.4% |
| 2017-02-28 | beat | 2.65 | 2.71 | +2.1% | +4.2% | +2.3% | +0.3% |
| 2016-11-08 | miss | 2.61 | 2.57 | -1.5% | +5.5% | +6.0% | +5.0% |
| 2016-08-09 | miss | 2.81 | 2.63 | -6.3% | -3.0% | -6.7% | -9.1% |
| 2016-05-10 | miss | 2.32 | 2.26 | -2.7% | +4.6% | +0.6% | +2.0% |
| 2016-02-23 | beat | 2.60 | 2.60 | +0.1% | -1.6% | -0.1% | +3.2% |
| 2015-11-09 | miss | 2.56 | 2.52 | -1.4% | -8.2% | -2.8% | +1.2% |
| 2015-08-05 | miss | 2.41 | 2.41 | -0.2% | +0.1% | -4.0% | -2.9% |
| 2015-05-07 | miss | 2.15 | 1.99 | -7.6% | -1.9% | -0.9% | +0.6% |
| 2015-02-24 | beat | 2.30 | 2.44 | +5.9% | -3.0% | +1.7% | -1.9% |
| 2014-11-04 | beat | 2.21 | 2.33 | +5.5% | +3.9% | -0.8% | +3.0% |
| 2014-08-05 | beat | 1.91 | 2.05 | +7.1% | -1.9% | +5.2% | +6.2% |
| 2014-05-08 | miss | 1.79 | 1.61 | -9.8% | -6.7% | -3.2% | -5.3% |
| 2014-02-25 | miss | 1.78 | 1.72 | -3.2% | -5.1% | -7.4% | -9.9% |
| 2013-11-05 | beat | 1.65 | 1.78 | +8.1% | +2.5% | +1.3% | +18.7% |
| 2013-08-06 | miss | 1.51 | 1.43 | -5.5% | -0.2% | +3.5% | +3.8% |
| 2013-05-07 | beat | 1.35 | 1.37 | +1.4% | -6.1% | -7.2% | -2.1% |
| 2013-02-26 | beat | 1.41 | 1.53 | +8.6% | -2.2% | +1.7% | +4.0% |
| 2012-11-08 | beat | 1.31 | 1.34 | +2.0% | -4.4% | -0.5% | -2.9% |
| 2012-08-07 | beat | 1.05 | 1.09 | +3.5% | +2.7% | -4.2% | -1.9% |
| 2012-05-08 | beat | 0.90 | 0.91 | +0.6% | -0.7% | -1.6% | -10.3% |
| 2012-02-27 | miss | 1.07 | 0.90 | -16.2% | +1.8% | +2.0% | -3.6% |
| 2011-11-01 | miss | 0.89 | 0.83 | -6.6% | +4.3% | -0.2% | -7.9% |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google