JEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.9%
Next 1 month
+4.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.4% median,
62% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 30
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.58 +4.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$9.5B market cap (#730 US)
$107M/day volume
40% volatility
-13% 1-year
-44% from ATH
52-week range · 34% of the way up · -31% from the high
$35.53$66.60
Congressional trades in JEF Full tracker →
3 members · 2 buys / 3 sells · $5K–$75K disclosed · latest filing Jun 6, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-06 (Wednesday, after close, in 68 days) · EPS est. 0.89.
1-day std dev
4.0%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+7.3%
Biggest drop
-10.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | beat | 1.00 | 1.08 | +8.0% | -2.2% | -1.3% | -4.6% |
| 2026-06-24 | miss | 1.24 | 1.02 | -18.1% | -3.7% | -9.1% | -9.2% |
| 2026-03-25 | miss | 0.89 | 0.70 | -21.4% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +5.1% |
| 2026-01-07 | beat | 0.80 | 0.96 | +20.0% | -7.9% | -5.6% | -0.6% |
| 2025-09-29 | beat | 0.80 | 1.01 | +26.2% | +2.4% | -1.9% | -11.3% |
| 2025-06-25 | miss | 0.46 | 0.40 | -13.0% | -4.3% | +0.3% | +1.8% |
| 2025-03-26 | miss | 1.20 | 0.57 | -52.3% | -10.0% | -9.9% | -20.5% |
| 2025-01-08 | beat | 1.04 | 1.07 | +3.2% | -6.8% | -10.8% | -5.5% |
| 2024-09-25 | beat | 0.77 | 0.87 | +13.6% | -4.6% | -1.3% | +0.9% |
| 2024-06-26 | beat | 0.64 | 0.73 | +14.2% | +4.2% | +6.3% | +10.1% |
| 2024-03-27 | miss | 0.76 | 0.75 | -1.8% | -2.1% | -4.4% | -5.0% |
| 2024-01-08 | beat | 0.24 | 0.30 | +25.4% | -2.7% | -2.0% | -4.3% |
| 2023-09-27 | miss | 0.34 | 0.23 | -32.9% | -2.5% | +1.9% | -2.5% |
| 2023-06-27 | miss | 0.29 | 0.05 | -81.6% | -0.5% | +3.5% | +1.0% |
| 2023-03-28 | beat | 0.44 | 0.55 | +23.3% | -0.4% | +3.1% | +2.7% |
| 2023-01-09 | beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +10.7% | -0.1% | +3.8% | +5.2% |
| 2022-09-28 | beat | 0.73 | 1.10 | +51.2% | -1.6% | -2.1% | +9.2% |
| 2022-06-27 | miss | 0.51 | 0.45 | -12.2% | -0.6% | +1.0% | -0.9% |
| 2022-03-28 | beat | 0.89 | 1.23 | +39.0% | +5.4% | +4.3% | +1.7% |
| 2022-01-12 | miss | 1.34 | 1.20 | -10.3% | -6.4% | -9.3% | -12.4% |
| 2021-09-30 | beat | 0.99 | 1.50 | +51.0% | +0.4% | +2.1% | +7.4% |
| 2021-06-28 | beat | 0.90 | 1.30 | +44.4% | +5.0% | +7.1% | +2.2% |
| 2021-03-24 | beat | 1.24 | 2.13 | +72.5% | +0.2% | -2.9% | -6.6% |
| 2021-01-04 | beat | 0.50 | 1.11 | +122.0% | +3.1% | +0.4% | +7.4% |
| 2020-09-23 | beat | 0.34 | 1.07 | +219.4% | +14.2% | +6.8% | +5.7% |
| 2020-06-29 | beat | -0.03 | 0.16 | +633.3% | +4.4% | +2.7% | +2.6% |
| 2020-03-26 | beat | 0.23 | 0.37 | +64.4% | -4.7% | -5.7% | -20.3% |
| 2020-01-08 | beat | 0.47 | 0.62 | +33.3% | +1.7% | +3.9% | +6.4% |
| 2019-09-26 | miss | 0.34 | 0.15 | -55.2% | +0.0% | -2.9% | +0.6% |
| 2019-07-03 | beat | 0.24 | 0.41 | +70.8% | +0.9% | +6.4% | +7.5% |
| 2019-03-28 | miss | 0.24 | 0.14 | -41.7% | +0.0% | +0.7% | +6.4% |
| 2019-01-10 | miss | 0.26 | -0.06 | -123.1% | -1.2% | +1.2% | +8.0% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.08 | 0.29 | +260.6% | -0.3% | +1.5% | +5.9% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 1.88 | 2.03 | +8.0% | +1.6% | +7.3% | +6.2% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +6.2% | -0.4% | -1.1% | +0.6% |
| 2018-02-22 | beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +2.1% | +0.4% | +2.0% | -2.7% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.17 | 0.27 | +58.8% | -0.6% | +0.9% | +0.9% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | 0.30 | 0.16 | -46.7% | -0.2% | -2.1% | -1.6% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.67 | 0.75 | +11.9% | -0.3% | -2.9% | -1.5% |
| 2017-02-27 | beat | 0.23 | 0.37 | +60.9% | +0.5% | +1.8% | +3.3% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | 0.43 | 0.41 | -4.7% | +0.7% | -1.2% | +10.3% |
| 2016-08-03 | miss | 0.25 | 0.15 | -40.0% | -0.6% | +3.6% | +4.3% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | -0.43 | -0.60 | -39.5% | -1.4% | +2.2% | +8.3% |
| 2016-02-19 | beat | 0.02 | 0.15 | +650.0% | +1.6% | +1.9% | -2.1% |
| 2015-11-06 | miss | -0.30 | -0.47 | -54.1% | -0.1% | +0.7% | -6.9% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | -0.35 | 0.11 | +131.4% | +1.5% | -1.2% | -0.7% |
| 2015-05-08 | beat | -0.19 | 0.99 | +618.3% | +0.3% | +2.0% | +2.3% |
| 2015-03-01 | beat | -0.15 | 0.10 | +166.2% | -0.4% | +1.2% | -2.8% |
| 2014-11-07 | beat | -0.12 | 0.32 | +373.5% | +0.2% | -0.2% | +2.3% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +20.3% | +0.2% | -1.1% | +1.9% |
| 2014-05-09 | beat | 0.17 | 0.24 | +42.0% | +1.2% | -0.6% | -2.5% |
| 2014-02-27 | miss | 0.41 | 0.01 | -97.0% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -1.1% |
| 2013-11-07 | miss | 0.17 | — | -101.9% | -0.2% | +1.5% | -0.7% |
| 2013-08-06 | miss | 0.55 | 0.14 | -74.4% | -0.4% | -1.1% | -0.6% |
| 2013-05-09 | beat | 0.36 | 1.08 | +203.4% | -0.4% | -1.1% | -1.6% |
| 2013-02-25 | beat | 0.52 | 1.83 | +249.2% | +1.1% | +1.8% | +0.5% |
| 2012-11-06 | miss | 1.24 | 0.44 | -64.6% | -2.2% | -5.8% | -10.4% |
| 2012-08-01 | miss | 0.46 | -0.81 | -276.9% | -2.3% | -5.6% | +2.0% |
| 2012-05-04 | beat | 0.36 | 1.97 | +447.2% | +0.0% | -0.4% | -9.3% |
| 2012-02-27 | 0.46 | 0.46 | — | +0.3% | -0.3% | -8.4% |
Posted about JEF
See all ›
TRACKER - Insider Trades
long
55.61
Fri, 21 Aug
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. has been buying JEF. The buy: Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc., a Director, bought 5,906,542 shares of JEF…
TRACKER - Insider Trades
long
48.85
Mon, 04 May
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. has been buying JEF. The buy: Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc., a Director, bought 6,429,337 shares of JEF…
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google