JKModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.0%
Next 1 week
+3.7%
Next 1 month
+5.0%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -0.7% median,
47% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 38
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.22%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.73 +5.0% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$6M/day volume
61% volatility
-64% 1-year
52-week range · 2% of the way up · -74% from the high
$7.83$31.88
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-30 (Friday, before open, in 1 day) · EPS est. 1.29.
1-day std dev
7.9%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+21.0%
Biggest drop
-14.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | beat | -0.70 | -0.49 | +29.9% | -4.6% | -11.9% | -19.6% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | -0.62 | -0.32 | +48.5% | -1.6% | -3.7% | +6.0% |
| 2026-04-16 | miss | -0.89 | -4.20 | -374.1% | -7.8% | -11.9% | -5.2% |
| 2025-11-17 | beat | -2.01 | -2.01 | +0.2% | +0.6% | +13.1% | -4.6% |
| 2025-09-04 | -1.48 | — | — | -0.1% | +1.0% | -1.7% | |
| 2025-04-29 | miss | -1.31 | -2.64 | -102.0% | -3.9% | -3.9% | +1.4% |
| 2025-03-26 | miss | -0.01 | -1.02 | -11606.2% | +3.1% | -0.8% | -10.3% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | 0.70 | 0.29 | -58.6% | +6.6% | +4.9% | -0.1% |
| 2024-08-30 | beat | 0.80 | 0.99 | +23.5% | -3.0% | +5.7% | -0.8% |
| 2024-04-29 | beat | 0.31 | 1.16 | +271.4% | +4.9% | +2.5% | +6.5% |
| 2024-03-20 | miss | 2.51 | 0.08 | -97.0% | -8.5% | -5.9% | -6.5% |
| 2023-10-30 | beat | 0.92 | 3.31 | +260.6% | +7.2% | +14.1% | +31.9% |
| 2023-08-14 | beat | 1.26 | 3.52 | +180.0% | +2.8% | -0.2% | -5.1% |
| 2023-04-28 | beat | 0.51 | 2.31 | +348.7% | -1.9% | +3.9% | +0.8% |
| 2023-03-10 | miss | 1.33 | 0.83 | -37.9% | -10.1% | -12.8% | -23.9% |
| 2022-10-28 | miss | 0.71 | 0.70 | -2.1% | +0.8% | -4.0% | +2.5% |
| 2022-08-26 | beat | 0.73 | 1.11 | +52.9% | +3.3% | +1.9% | -3.0% |
| 2022-04-28 | miss | 0.49 | 0.31 | -36.5% | -4.7% | -3.1% | -1.3% |
| 2022-03-23 | miss | 0.90 | 0.72 | -19.9% | -4.8% | -4.2% | -7.8% |
| 2021-11-30 | beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +132.1% | -7.8% | -6.6% | -16.6% |
| 2021-09-15 | beat | -0.16 | 0.89 | +654.9% | +2.7% | +4.1% | -0.5% |
| 2021-06-25 | beat | -0.01 | 0.15 | +1842.2% | -2.4% | +13.6% | +33.1% |
| 2021-04-09 | miss | 0.48 | 0.11 | -77.2% | -10.5% | -0.5% | -2.5% |
| 2020-12-07 | beat | 0.85 | 1.06 | +24.8% | -3.6% | -5.0% | -12.5% |
| 2020-09-23 | beat | 0.75 | 1.20 | +60.7% | +2.7% | +21.0% | +43.7% |
| 2020-06-15 | miss | 1.00 | 0.65 | -35.1% | -6.1% | -8.9% | -12.2% |
| 2020-03-13 | miss | 1.45 | 1.40 | -3.4% | +4.4% | -2.2% | -25.2% |
| 2019-11-19 | beat | 0.80 | 0.86 | +7.2% | +8.0% | +10.6% | +16.7% |
| 2019-08-30 | beat | 0.33 | 0.71 | +117.0% | +4.8% | +8.3% | -2.7% |
| 2019-06-28 | miss | 0.25 | 0.12 | -50.4% | +2.0% | -2.6% | +0.5% |
| 2019-03-22 | miss | 0.48 | 0.40 | -16.7% | -5.6% | -12.6% | -8.2% |
| 2018-11-26 | beat | 0.41 | 0.76 | +85.0% | +13.1% | +15.5% | +29.7% |
| 2018-08-13 | beat | 0.33 | 0.41 | +22.7% | -8.5% | -12.2% | -22.2% |
| 2018-06-26 | beat | -0.31 | 0.05 | +115.5% | -5.4% | +4.8% | +1.0% |
| 2018-03-22 | beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +20.5% | -5.4% | -8.0% | -9.7% |
| 2017-12-07 | miss | 0.17 | 0.12 | -29.4% | -3.0% | +2.8% | -0.3% |
| 2017-09-06 | miss | 0.67 | 0.28 | -57.9% | -8.3% | +0.7% | +7.6% |
| 2017-06-05 | miss | 0.48 | 0.36 | -25.0% | -3.0% | -8.4% | -3.1% |
| 2017-02-27 | beat | 1.01 | 1.04 | +2.9% | -1.7% | +4.7% | -8.9% |
| 2016-11-16 | beat | 0.83 | 1.40 | +68.7% | +9.0% | +6.4% | -2.3% |
| 2016-08-25 | beat | 1.74 | 1.92 | +10.4% | -3.9% | -6.7% | -8.2% |
| 2016-05-27 | beat | 1.07 | 1.72 | +60.8% | +2.6% | -2.9% | -8.5% |
| 2016-03-01 | beat | 1.36 | 2.44 | +79.5% | +3.4% | +1.2% | -4.1% |
| 2015-11-19 | beat | 0.81 | 1.04 | +28.9% | -7.8% | -9.5% | -0.2% |
| 2015-08-20 | beat | 0.88 | 1.04 | +18.6% | +1.3% | -14.3% | -10.8% |
| 2015-05-28 | beat | 0.45 | 0.88 | +95.3% | +4.5% | +4.2% | +2.3% |
| 2015-03-02 | beat | 0.91 | 1.00 | +10.0% | -4.9% | +4.2% | +7.2% |
| 2014-11-20 | beat | 0.71 | 1.36 | +90.8% | -2.1% | -2.8% | -2.7% |
| 2014-08-18 | beat | 0.76 | 0.80 | +5.9% | +0.6% | -1.6% | +4.7% |
| 2014-05-27 | miss | 0.43 | 0.20 | -53.6% | -6.6% | -3.0% | +4.5% |
| 2014-03-03 | beat | 0.93 | 1.28 | +37.3% | +2.4% | -6.1% | +3.0% |
| 2013-11-18 | beat | 0.35 | 1.36 | +288.6% | +12.3% | +12.9% | +3.7% |
| 2013-08-14 | beat | 0.18 | 0.56 | +211.1% | +12.0% | +4.9% | +7.3% |
| 2013-06-07 | beat | -1.06 | -0.56 | +47.2% | +13.2% | +8.6% | +3.4% |
| 2013-04-10 | miss | -0.82 | -5.51 | -574.7% | -4.3% | -6.9% | -16.0% |
| 2012-11-20 | beat | -0.81 | -0.20 | +75.3% | +1.1% | +1.1% | +26.5% |
| 2012-08-23 | miss | -1.15 | -2.11 | -82.8% | +1.0% | -1.3% | +1.7% |
| 2012-06-20 | miss | -1.01 | -2.36 | -134.6% | -7.3% | -9.3% | -24.7% |
| 2012-03-08 | miss | -0.59 | -2.58 | -339.8% | -10.9% | -6.9% | +9.7% |
| 2011-11-21 | beat | 0.25 | 0.39 | +52.6% | -13.2% | -7.9% | +6.7% |
Not investment advice.
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