KAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.8%
Next 1 month
+3.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.9% median,
61% of the last 33 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 81
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.29 +3.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$34M/day volume
38% volatility
-9% 1-year
-37% from ATH
52-week range · 24% of the way up · -23% from the high
$244.87$354.07
Congressional trades in KAI Full tracker →
1 member · 4 buys / 1 sells · $5K–$75K disclosed · latest filing Mar 3, 2022.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 2.86.
1-day std dev
6.3%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+20.8%
Biggest drop
-14.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 2.77 | 3.42 | +23.6% | +0.3% | +0.7% | -0.3% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 2.19 | 2.84 | +29.5% | +4.7% | +13.4% | +13.9% |
| 2026-02-18 | beat | 2.19 | 2.27 | +3.5% | -1.5% | +2.1% | +7.8% |
| 2025-10-28 | beat | 2.16 | 2.59 | +19.7% | +3.1% | +0.8% | -8.7% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 1.94 | 2.31 | +18.9% | +3.8% | +4.1% | -6.0% |
| 2025-04-29 | beat | 1.97 | 2.10 | +6.9% | -3.7% | -6.5% | -7.9% |
| 2025-02-12 | beat | 2.05 | 2.25 | +9.8% | +3.0% | -0.7% | +7.2% |
| 2024-10-29 | beat | 2.43 | 2.84 | +16.9% | -1.7% | +4.7% | +20.2% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 2.43 | 2.81 | +15.5% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -16.9% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 1.96 | 2.38 | +21.6% | -5.0% | -4.5% | +3.6% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | 2.10 | 2.41 | +14.9% | +2.4% | +8.1% | +2.1% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | 2.28 | 2.69 | +18.1% | -1.0% | +7.0% | +11.4% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 2.12 | 2.54 | +20.1% | -1.6% | -6.6% | -4.3% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 2.16 | 2.40 | +11.3% | +0.6% | +3.3% | +4.0% |
| 2023-02-15 | beat | 2.02 | 2.33 | +15.2% | +0.0% | +5.8% | +6.0% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 2.13 | 2.38 | +11.9% | -3.4% | -5.5% | -0.9% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | 2.05 | 2.24 | +9.5% | -2.7% | -0.7% | -3.4% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 2.10 | 2.28 | +8.8% | -0.1% | +5.5% | -1.4% |
| 2022-02-16 | beat | 2.00 | 2.31 | +15.4% | +4.8% | -3.3% | -9.3% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 1.67 | 1.97 | +17.8% | -3.1% | +2.9% | +6.8% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 1.53 | 2.01 | +31.6% | -2.0% | +7.2% | +13.5% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 1.36 | 1.43 | +4.8% | +1.4% | -1.2% | -5.9% |
| 2021-02-17 | beat | 1.31 | 1.54 | +17.6% | -8.6% | +2.1% | +13.8% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 0.97 | 1.31 | +34.5% | +1.2% | -2.4% | +5.0% |
| 2020-07-28 | beat | 0.74 | 1.06 | +42.5% | +0.0% | -3.6% | -2.3% |
| 2020-04-29 | beat | 0.88 | 1.09 | +23.3% | -3.6% | -5.1% | -6.7% |
| 2020-02-12 | beat | 1.28 | 1.32 | +2.8% | -5.7% | -14.8% | -11.5% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | 1.27 | 1.41 | +10.7% | +0.3% | +0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 1.12 | 1.42 | +27.4% | +6.8% | +7.4% | -5.0% |
| 2019-04-29 | beat | 1.14 | 1.24 | +8.5% | +1.8% | -2.6% | -9.2% |
| 2019-02-13 | beat | 1.35 | 1.66 | +22.7% | +0.2% | +2.4% | +0.4% |
| 2018-10-29 | beat | 1.38 | 1.53 | +10.7% | -0.6% | +4.9% | +4.1% |
| 2018-07-30 | beat | 0.97 | 1.07 | +9.9% | +0.8% | +1.0% | -3.8% |
| 2018-04-30 | beat | 0.96 | 1.07 | +11.8% | +1.4% | +2.7% | +2.7% |
| 2018-02-15 | beat | 1.08 | 1.14 | +5.6% | +0.1% | -0.6% | +3.1% |
| 2017-10-30 | beat | 1.14 | 1.49 | +30.7% | +5.5% | +13.1% | +4.0% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | 0.91 | 1.04 | +14.0% | +4.3% | +14.5% | +10.6% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | 0.69 | 0.80 | +16.4% | +5.5% | +11.1% | +12.4% |
| 2017-02-23 | beat | 0.64 | 0.69 | +8.2% | -1.3% | +0.6% | -3.1% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | 0.65 | 0.81 | +24.1% | -1.8% | +1.7% | +9.7% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 0.65 | 0.88 | +36.0% | +3.6% | +3.6% | -3.7% |
| 2016-05-02 | beat | 0.58 | 0.74 | +27.0% | -1.4% | +1.1% | -0.3% |
| 2016-02-24 | beat | 0.80 | 0.95 | +18.8% | -5.8% | -3.7% | +2.5% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +5.5% | -0.2% | -3.3% | -3.6% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | 0.73 | 0.78 | +6.4% | -1.1% | +4.5% | +3.9% |
| 2015-05-04 | beat | 0.58 | 0.63 | +9.2% | -0.4% | -6.7% | -5.9% |
| 2015-02-25 | beat | 0.74 | 0.81 | +9.5% | +0.2% | +1.3% | +12.1% |
| 2014-10-27 | beat | 0.54 | 0.63 | +17.8% | +1.6% | +7.6% | +8.9% |
| 2014-07-28 | beat | 0.66 | 0.74 | +11.8% | -1.1% | +1.0% | +1.4% |
| 2014-04-29 | beat | 0.47 | 0.59 | +24.5% | -1.5% | -1.8% | +1.9% |
| 2014-02-19 | beat | 0.49 | 0.51 | +4.8% | +1.8% | +4.5% | +10.9% |
| 2013-11-04 | beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +11.4% | -0.7% | +1.3% | +5.1% |
| 2013-07-29 | miss | 0.56 | 0.52 | -5.8% | +1.0% | -3.2% | -4.6% |
| 2013-04-29 | beat | 0.35 | 0.47 | +34.3% | +2.2% | +3.1% | +3.8% |
| 2013-02-26 | beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +9.1% | -1.3% | -9.7% | -4.1% |
| 2012-10-29 | beat | 0.49 | 0.66 | +33.8% | +0.2% | +2.4% | -5.0% |
| 2012-07-30 | beat | 0.54 | 0.56 | +3.2% | -4.2% | -7.6% | -1.8% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | 0.42 | 0.61 | +46.1% | +2.5% | +11.6% | +9.8% |
| 2012-02-22 | miss | 0.66 | 0.59 | -10.2% | +0.0% | -4.9% | -10.1% |
| 2011-10-26 | beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +8.5% | +12.7% | +20.8% | +19.3% |
Not investment advice.
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