KBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+2.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 27): +3.9% median,
72% of the last 39 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 40
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.81 +2.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$63M/day volume
40% volatility
-27% 1-year
-48% from ATH
52-week range · 20% of the way up · -32% from the high
$40.92$67.57
Congressional trades in KBH Full tracker →
3 members · 2 buys / 3 sells · $33K–$145K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-17 (Thursday, after close, in 50 days) · EPS est. 1.21.
1-day std dev
7.2%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+16.7%
Biggest drop
-16.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | beat | 0.90 | 1.05 | +16.7% | -3.0% | -3.0% | -4.4% |
| 2026-06-23 | miss | 0.46 | 0.43 | -6.0% | +7.5% | +16.7% | +15.0% |
| 2026-03-24 | miss | 0.54 | 0.52 | -4.6% | -0.8% | -1.5% | -3.2% |
| 2025-12-18 | beat | 1.79 | 1.92 | +7.4% | -10.0% | -8.5% | -9.3% |
| 2025-09-24 | beat | 1.49 | 1.61 | +7.8% | +0.6% | -0.6% | +3.8% |
| 2025-06-23 | beat | 1.46 | 1.50 | +2.7% | -3.8% | -0.5% | +3.8% |
| 2025-03-24 | miss | 1.59 | 1.49 | -6.1% | -8.4% | -5.2% | -5.5% |
| 2025-01-13 | beat | 2.44 | 2.52 | +3.3% | +11.8% | +4.8% | +5.9% |
| 2024-09-24 | miss | 2.07 | 2.04 | -1.5% | -4.8% | -5.4% | -4.1% |
| 2024-06-18 | beat | 1.80 | 2.15 | +19.5% | +3.3% | +2.9% | +2.2% |
| 2024-03-20 | beat | 1.57 | 1.76 | +12.3% | +2.1% | -1.8% | +1.4% |
| 2024-01-10 | beat | 1.70 | 1.85 | +9.0% | -3.7% | -1.2% | -3.0% |
| 2023-09-20 | beat | 1.42 | 1.80 | +26.5% | -4.0% | -4.3% | -2.8% |
| 2023-06-21 | beat | 1.32 | 1.99 | +50.1% | -0.7% | -0.9% | -1.3% |
| 2023-03-22 | beat | 1.10 | 1.45 | +31.9% | +7.3% | +7.5% | +7.6% |
| 2023-01-11 | miss | 2.85 | 2.47 | -13.4% | -4.0% | -2.9% | -1.6% |
| 2022-09-21 | beat | 2.67 | 2.91 | +8.8% | -2.9% | -5.1% | -7.2% |
| 2022-06-22 | beat | 2.06 | 2.32 | +12.8% | +5.0% | +8.6% | +8.5% |
| 2022-03-23 | miss | 1.54 | 1.47 | -4.8% | -4.4% | -4.6% | -10.1% |
| 2022-01-12 | beat | 1.76 | 1.91 | +8.3% | +10.8% | +16.5% | -4.2% |
| 2021-09-22 | miss | 1.63 | 1.60 | -1.7% | +1.1% | +0.5% | -4.9% |
| 2021-06-23 | beat | 1.31 | 1.50 | +14.1% | -3.7% | -6.7% | -3.5% |
| 2021-03-24 | beat | 0.94 | 1.02 | +8.0% | -6.7% | +2.3% | +10.1% |
| 2021-01-12 | beat | 0.93 | 1.12 | +20.8% | +8.0% | +2.5% | +20.6% |
| 2020-09-22 | beat | 0.51 | 0.83 | +62.9% | -1.2% | -7.5% | -5.2% |
| 2020-06-24 | miss | 0.58 | 0.55 | -4.4% | -12.2% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 2020-03-26 | beat | 0.45 | 0.63 | +41.0% | +2.3% | -5.9% | -15.5% |
| 2020-01-09 | beat | 1.29 | 1.31 | +1.2% | -4.3% | -3.2% | -0.7% |
| 2019-09-25 | beat | 0.66 | 0.73 | +10.4% | +1.9% | +1.1% | +2.2% |
| 2019-06-26 | beat | 0.38 | 0.51 | +32.9% | +7.1% | +7.9% | +10.3% |
| 2019-03-26 | beat | 0.25 | 0.31 | +23.0% | +3.4% | +2.7% | +1.3% |
| 2019-01-09 | beat | 0.94 | 0.96 | +2.0% | +0.3% | -4.5% | -6.4% |
| 2018-09-25 | beat | 0.77 | 0.87 | +12.8% | +5.7% | -3.1% | -7.5% |
| 2018-06-28 | beat | 0.49 | 0.57 | +17.3% | +8.0% | +7.3% | +8.3% |
| 2018-03-22 | beat | 0.29 | 0.40 | +40.3% | +8.8% | +2.4% | -3.5% |
| 2018-01-10 | beat | 0.77 | 0.84 | +8.5% | +5.1% | +12.3% | +1.9% |
| 2017-09-28 | beat | 0.46 | 0.51 | +10.2% | +4.2% | +8.6% | +16.7% |
| 2017-06-27 | beat | 0.26 | 0.33 | +25.3% | +0.5% | +5.4% | +2.6% |
| 2017-03-23 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +6.4% | +2.7% | +1.5% | +2.9% |
| 2017-01-11 | miss | 0.44 | 0.40 | -9.0% | -2.0% | +0.3% | -1.5% |
| 2016-09-20 | beat | 0.39 | 0.42 | +8.3% | +1.6% | +2.0% | +10.2% |
| 2016-06-21 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +4.9% | +1.4% | +2.2% | +3.6% |
| 2016-03-23 | beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +28.1% | +5.6% | +6.3% | +7.6% |
| 2016-01-07 | miss | 0.50 | 0.43 | -14.7% | -8.8% | -14.8% | -11.3% |
| 2015-09-24 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +5.6% | -2.8% | +1.0% | -5.3% |
| 2015-06-19 | beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +21.4% | +4.6% | +9.4% | +15.8% |
| 2015-03-20 | beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +176.9% | +5.8% | +8.4% | +8.5% |
| 2015-01-13 | beat | 0.56 | 8.36 | +1390.9% | +3.5% | -16.3% | -27.9% |
| 2014-09-24 | miss | 0.39 | 0.28 | -28.3% | -8.4% | -5.3% | -12.8% |
| 2014-06-27 | beat | 0.20 | 0.27 | +35.2% | +0.6% | +4.5% | +1.2% |
| 2014-03-19 | beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +43.8% | +7.7% | +5.9% | -6.3% |
| 2013-12-19 | beat | 0.47 | 0.54 | +14.9% | -3.1% | -6.2% | +3.2% |
| 2013-09-24 | beat | 0.21 | 0.30 | +43.6% | -0.8% | +4.3% | +8.2% |
| 2013-06-27 | beat | -0.06 | -0.04 | +30.1% | +1.2% | -1.0% | -9.2% |
| 2013-03-21 | beat | -0.22 | -0.16 | +27.6% | +0.4% | +2.5% | +0.9% |
| 2012-12-20 | beat | 0.06 | 0.14 | +123.0% | -2.8% | -6.4% | -7.7% |
| 2012-09-21 | miss | -0.14 | -0.20 | -45.4% | +1.8% | +16.4% | +9.5% |
| 2012-06-29 | beat | -0.34 | -0.31 | +9.2% | +4.8% | +12.6% | +21.3% |
| 2012-03-23 | miss | -0.22 | -0.48 | -115.0% | -14.0% | -8.5% | -20.8% |
| 2011-12-21 | beat | 0.04 | 0.18 | +402.4% | +3.0% | -6.7% | -13.0% |
Not investment advice.
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