KGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.6%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+3.7%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -2.2% median,
45% of the last 44 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 70
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.39%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.92 +5.0% · Seasonal tilt -1.3%
$28.1B market cap (#763 US)
$159M/day volume
54% volatility
+1% 1-year
-41% from ATH
52-week range · 7% of the way up · -41% from the high
$21.82$39.11
Congressional trades in KGC Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 2 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Jul 3, 2016.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-17 (Wednesday, after close, in 111 days) · EPS est. 0.53.
1-day std dev
4.8%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+12.8%
Biggest drop
-11.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | beat | 0.66 | 0.71 | +7.6% | -0.5% | -1.3% | +9.3% |
| 2026-04-29 | miss | 0.74 | 0.71 | -4.1% | +5.5% | +1.3% | +1.9% |
| 2026-02-18 | beat | 0.55 | 0.67 | +21.8% | -1.8% | -3.2% | +6.4% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 0.39 | 0.44 | +12.2% | +3.5% | +7.1% | +15.8% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 0.34 | 0.44 | +29.4% | +3.2% | +3.8% | +21.7% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | 0.24 | 0.30 | +24.2% | -2.2% | +2.7% | -11.2% |
| 2025-02-12 | miss | 0.25 | 0.19 | -22.5% | -2.0% | -6.1% | -9.7% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | 0.19 | 0.24 | +28.8% | -6.9% | -1.8% | -7.4% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +3.6% | -0.9% | +1.0% | -7.0% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 0.06 | 0.10 | +57.0% | +0.4% | +4.9% | +16.0% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +15.7% | +2.4% | +2.8% | -0.2% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +21.2% | +0.0% | +3.3% | +3.8% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.09 | 0.14 | +60.2% | +2.4% | +3.1% | +10.7% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +50.4% | +2.6% | +4.3% | -0.9% |
| 2023-02-15 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +22.3% | +1.0% | +0.0% | -7.9% |
| 2022-11-09 | miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -11.9% | +5.2% | +3.9% | +0.2% |
| 2022-07-27 | miss | 0.07 | 0.03 | -59.8% | +1.2% | +4.3% | +7.7% |
| 2022-05-10 | miss | 0.06 | 0.06 | -7.3% | +0.2% | -5.5% | -5.9% |
| 2022-02-16 | beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +38.9% | +0.2% | -0.9% | -5.6% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +36.6% | +3.7% | +5.1% | +5.6% |
| 2021-07-28 | miss | 0.12 | 0.09 | -26.2% | +2.2% | +4.3% | +1.3% |
| 2021-05-11 | beat | 0.15 | 0.15 | +0.9% | -2.0% | -4.4% | +4.6% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 0.22 | 0.27 | +23.9% | +1.2% | -0.4% | -10.5% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | 0.21 | 0.25 | +19.9% | +5.8% | +9.0% | -2.1% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +14.0% | -2.3% | -1.5% | +10.7% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +28.1% | -1.3% | -3.1% | -1.4% |
| 2020-02-12 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +30.0% | +2.8% | +2.8% | +19.2% |
| 2019-11-06 | miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -9.7% | -4.0% | -11.9% | -11.2% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +76.2% | -0.7% | +11.2% | +27.9% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +259.9% | -0.3% | -0.3% | +2.0% |
| 2019-02-13 | beat | — | 0.01 | +304.9% | +0.3% | +1.6% | +13.1% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | — | -0.04 | -1513.4% | -2.6% | -0.4% | -7.5% |
| 2018-08-01 | miss | 0.03 | 0.03 | -5.7% | -1.1% | -4.2% | -9.2% |
| 2018-05-07 | beat | 0.05 | 0.10 | +114.5% | -0.5% | +2.2% | -9.7% |
| 2018-02-14 | miss | 0.03 | 0.01 | -71.3% | -1.6% | -6.8% | -15.9% |
| 2017-11-08 | beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +229.1% | +4.1% | +4.5% | +2.4% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +95.7% | +3.6% | +4.9% | +3.2% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +142.1% | -1.2% | -1.2% | +10.3% |
| 2017-02-15 | miss | 0.01 | -0.04 | -505.3% | -1.3% | -0.5% | -3.5% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | 0.05 | 0.10 | +118.8% | +3.1% | +7.9% | -8.2% |
| 2016-07-27 | miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -194.4% | +0.6% | +0.4% | +10.0% |
| 2016-05-10 | beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | +4.9% | -4.9% | -11.1% |
| 2016-02-10 | miss | -0.05 | -0.06 | -33.0% | +14.0% | +12.8% | +15.6% |
| 2015-11-10 | beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +26.9% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +2.8% |
| 2015-07-29 | miss | -0.01 | -0.01 | -48.1% | +3.9% | -3.9% | +1.7% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | — | 0.01 | +195.0% | +0.4% | -3.6% | +2.4% |
| 2015-02-10 | miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -259.0% | -3.1% | -7.7% | -14.8% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +91.3% | +5.5% | +10.5% | +26.0% |
| 2014-07-30 | miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -29.0% | -0.2% | -1.7% | -2.2% |
| 2014-05-07 | miss | 0.03 | 0.03 | -1.4% | +1.0% | +0.0% | -0.5% |
| 2014-02-12 | miss | 0.02 | -0.65 | -2926.1% | -2.7% | +0.0% | +1.7% |
| 2013-11-13 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +57.9% | +2.4% | +3.6% | -6.2% |
| 2013-07-31 | miss | 0.06 | -2.81 | -4841.0% | +1.1% | -2.1% | +0.0% |
| 2013-05-07 | beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +5.9% | +3.0% | +6.1% | +0.0% |
| 2013-02-13 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +8.3% | +1.1% | +5.6% | -2.7% |
| 2012-11-07 | beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +15.7% | +4.6% | +8.0% | -0.7% |
| 2012-08-08 | miss | 0.17 | 0.14 | -21.8% | -2.0% | +2.9% | +6.9% |
| 2012-05-08 | miss | 0.20 | 0.18 | -11.2% | -4.5% | -1.2% | -5.9% |
| 2012-02-15 | miss | 0.22 | 0.17 | -21.6% | +0.7% | +7.7% | +8.5% |
| 2011-11-02 | beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +5.6% | +2.6% | +1.0% | -4.0% |
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TRACKER - Calls by Claude
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