KRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +0.4% median,
62% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 23
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.13%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.82 +2.1% · Seasonal tilt (8y) -0.2%
$6M/day volume
35% volatility
-36% 1-year
-76% from ATH
52-week range · 10% of the way up · -38% from the high
$5.25$9.10
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-09 (Tuesday, after close, in 103 days) · EPS est. -0.09.
1-day std dev
4.4%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+14.6%
Biggest drop
-13.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 38 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | miss | -0.47 | -0.58 | -22.8% | -0.4% | -2.4% | -4.6% |
| 2026-04-22 | miss | -0.37 | -0.96 | -160.1% | -20.7% | -9.1% | -8.5% |
| 2026-02-03 | beat | 0.13 | 0.22 | +65.0% | -4.9% | -3.7% | -11.5% |
| 2025-10-21 | miss | 0.02 | -0.03 | -266.7% | +3.3% | -0.6% | -4.0% |
| 2025-07-22 | beat | -0.08 | -0.04 | +48.7% | -3.1% | +0.2% | +0.2% |
| 2025-04-23 | beat | 0.17 | 0.25 | +47.1% | -2.7% | -3.7% | -1.9% |
| 2025-02-03 | miss | -0.13 | -0.21 | -63.6% | -1.5% | +0.7% | +9.7% |
| 2024-10-21 | beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +8.8% | -1.8% | -0.1% | -1.2% |
| 2024-07-22 | beat | -1.71 | -1.57 | +8.1% | +2.5% | +14.6% | +14.2% |
| 2024-04-23 | miss | 0.42 | 0.39 | -6.2% | -1.7% | -2.4% | -3.7% |
| 2024-02-06 | miss | 0.16 | -0.37 | -329.5% | -12.4% | -13.8% | -20.6% |
| 2023-10-23 | beat | 0.05 | 0.25 | +444.5% | -1.4% | +2.2% | +3.0% |
| 2023-07-24 | beat | 0.36 | 0.48 | +31.9% | +1.3% | -2.7% | -4.1% |
| 2023-04-24 | beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +5.6% | +0.7% | -6.7% | -6.4% |
| 2023-02-07 | miss | 0.49 | 0.18 | -63.3% | +2.3% | -5.2% | -3.7% |
| 2022-10-24 | beat | 0.45 | 0.50 | +10.2% | -0.4% | -1.9% | +3.9% |
| 2022-07-25 | beat | 0.42 | 0.48 | +15.6% | -0.3% | +0.5% | +1.6% |
| 2022-04-25 | beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +8.1% | -0.7% | -1.6% | -2.1% |
| 2022-02-08 | beat | -0.14 | -0.05 | +64.8% | +0.8% | -0.5% | +0.7% |
| 2021-10-25 | beat | 0.47 | 0.62 | +31.3% | +2.4% | +0.8% | -4.2% |
| 2021-07-26 | beat | 0.49 | 0.54 | +10.5% | -1.9% | -1.2% | -1.8% |
| 2021-04-26 | beat | 0.51 | 0.55 | +7.7% | +1.9% | +2.6% | +7.8% |
| 2021-02-16 | miss | 0.49 | 0.48 | -1.4% | -0.3% | -2.5% | +0.2% |
| 2020-10-26 | beat | 0.44 | 0.58 | +32.6% | +1.3% | +1.4% | +3.7% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +5.4% | +1.1% | +0.8% | +7.3% |
| 2020-04-28 | beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +2.9% | +3.7% | +9.2% | +4.6% |
| 2020-02-19 | beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +4.9% | +0.4% | +0.6% | -5.1% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | 0.43 | 0.43 | -1.0% | +0.4% | +0.2% | -1.4% |
| 2019-08-01 | miss | 0.41 | 0.36 | -11.2% | -0.4% | -0.8% | -3.2% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +6.6% | +0.0% | +0.5% | -0.2% |
| 2019-02-20 | miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -6.2% | -0.5% | +0.1% | +0.8% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | 0.35 | 0.44 | +25.9% | +0.8% | +1.0% | +3.7% |
| 2018-08-06 | beat | 0.51 | 0.71 | +39.8% | +1.5% | -0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +1.6% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.4% |
| 2018-02-28 | miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -5.0% | +1.2% | -1.1% | +1.1% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +6.2% | +0.1% | -0.6% | -1.5% |
| 2017-08-09 | miss | 0.28 | 0.28 | -1.4% | -0.3% | -1.5% | -0.3% |
| 2017-06-14 | beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +1.2% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -2.3% |
Not investment advice.
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