KWModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+2.0%
Next 1 month
+3.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +3.8% median,
62% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 84
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.33%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.29 +3.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$22M/day volume
37% volatility
+19% 1-year
-48% from ATH
52-week range · 65% of the way up · -14% from the high
$112.18$183.01
Congressional trades in KWR Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Feb 26, 2015.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. 2.10.
1-day std dev
6.1%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+22.2%
Biggest drop
-7.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 1.66 | 2.19 | +31.9% | +2.3% | +3.6% | +9.7% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 1.62 | 1.63 | +0.5% | +3.4% | +4.8% | +8.6% |
| 2026-02-23 | miss | 1.75 | 1.65 | -5.9% | +0.6% | -6.9% | -16.6% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 1.98 | 2.08 | +4.8% | +4.4% | +10.5% | +9.6% |
| 2025-07-31 | miss | 1.83 | 1.71 | -6.7% | -1.1% | +3.1% | +10.9% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 1.57 | 1.58 | +0.7% | -1.1% | -2.4% | -2.5% |
| 2025-02-24 | miss | 1.52 | 1.33 | -12.5% | +1.2% | +2.6% | -5.4% |
| 2024-10-31 | miss | 2.08 | 1.89 | -9.0% | +3.0% | +6.3% | +12.1% |
| 2024-08-05 | miss | 2.22 | 2.13 | -3.9% | -5.0% | -2.6% | -2.9% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 1.96 | 2.09 | +6.5% | +1.0% | -3.7% | -4.1% |
| 2024-02-29 | beat | 1.68 | 1.78 | +6.2% | +1.0% | -1.2% | -0.5% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 1.90 | 2.05 | +7.8% | +10.3% | +11.2% | +13.1% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 1.87 | 1.93 | +3.4% | -10.5% | -7.4% | -14.8% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 1.33 | 1.89 | +41.6% | +4.3% | +12.7% | +9.0% |
| 2023-02-23 | beat | 1.27 | 1.39 | +9.3% | -3.8% | +1.0% | +3.0% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 1.45 | 1.74 | +19.9% | +2.3% | +6.3% | +31.4% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 1.05 | 1.32 | +25.4% | +7.1% | +22.2% | +26.6% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 1.41 | 1.42 | +0.8% | +0.2% | +1.7% | -9.0% |
| 2022-02-24 | miss | 1.58 | 1.29 | -18.5% | +0.4% | -2.2% | -8.1% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 1.56 | 1.63 | +4.5% | +3.1% | +3.9% | +3.9% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 1.46 | 1.82 | +24.3% | -1.8% | -4.5% | -1.2% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 1.46 | 2.11 | +44.3% | -1.0% | +2.5% | -0.8% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | 1.52 | 1.63 | +7.2% | -0.8% | -4.7% | -11.9% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.94 | 1.56 | +66.4% | +1.9% | +3.5% | +20.5% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 0.12 | 0.21 | +78.7% | +0.5% | -4.5% | -4.1% |
| 2020-05-11 | beat | 1.00 | 1.38 | +37.7% | +3.0% | +10.0% | +9.4% |
| 2020-03-02 | beat | 1.29 | 1.34 | +4.0% | +0.2% | +1.9% | -2.6% |
| 2019-11-12 | beat | 1.41 | 1.56 | +10.3% | -2.0% | -1.8% | -8.2% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 1.56 | 1.56 | +0.1% | -2.2% | -7.5% | -7.8% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | 1.40 | 1.41 | +1.0% | -2.0% | -3.6% | -7.1% |
| 2019-02-28 | beat | 1.44 | 1.51 | +4.9% | +0.2% | +0.0% | -6.6% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 1.52 | 1.60 | +5.0% | +1.2% | +11.5% | +12.1% |
| 2018-07-30 | beat | 1.43 | 1.56 | +9.1% | +3.4% | +10.6% | +3.7% |
| 2018-04-30 | beat | 1.25 | 1.38 | +10.0% | +1.5% | +0.3% | +1.7% |
| 2018-02-28 | beat | 1.26 | 1.27 | +0.4% | +5.2% | +7.3% | +7.5% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 1.26 | 1.32 | +4.9% | -0.4% | +3.7% | +6.0% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 1.22 | 1.24 | +1.4% | -1.0% | -3.1% | -5.8% |
| 2017-05-01 | beat | 1.06 | 1.18 | +11.3% | +0.1% | -0.7% | -2.5% |
| 2017-02-28 | beat | 1.19 | 1.26 | +6.2% | +1.8% | +5.1% | -1.2% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 1.20 | 1.25 | +3.8% | +0.8% | +3.6% | +1.3% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | 1.09 | 1.11 | +1.8% | -1.0% | -0.9% | -0.8% |
| 2016-04-27 | beat | 0.96 | 0.98 | +1.7% | -1.3% | -0.9% | -5.5% |
| 2016-02-25 | beat | 1.06 | 1.16 | +9.4% | +3.7% | +4.0% | +10.3% |
| 2015-10-28 | beat | 1.12 | 1.19 | +6.2% | +4.3% | +2.9% | +3.3% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 1.06 | 1.15 | +9.0% | +7.8% | +15.6% | +12.9% |
| 2015-04-29 | miss | 0.95 | 0.94 | -1.1% | -2.0% | -5.2% | -4.5% |
| 2015-02-26 | miss | 1.01 | 1.00 | -0.7% | -2.2% | -7.7% | -8.8% |
| 2014-10-28 | beat | 1.03 | 1.19 | +15.1% | +1.6% | +3.9% | +9.9% |
| 2014-07-31 | beat | 1.10 | 1.11 | +1.3% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +2.7% |
| 2014-04-29 | beat | 0.94 | 0.95 | +1.3% | -0.7% | -1.4% | +0.4% |
| 2014-02-27 | beat | 0.89 | 0.98 | +10.6% | +1.7% | +5.2% | +7.7% |
| 2013-10-29 | miss | 0.96 | 0.91 | -5.2% | -0.6% | -4.2% | -7.3% |
| 2013-07-29 | beat | 0.92 | 1.00 | +9.3% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +3.0% |
| 2013-04-29 | beat | 0.84 | 0.96 | +13.9% | +2.3% | +4.6% | +7.1% |
| 2013-03-06 | beat | 0.76 | 1.05 | +37.7% | +0.8% | +0.3% | +5.5% |
| 2012-10-30 | miss | 0.86 | 0.85 | -0.8% | -0.9% | -2.1% | -4.3% |
| 2012-07-30 | beat | 0.80 | 0.90 | +12.8% | -2.1% | +6.1% | +6.3% |
| 2012-04-30 | beat | 0.68 | 0.91 | +33.3% | -0.1% | -1.8% | +2.3% |
| 2012-03-07 | miss | 0.78 | 0.75 | -3.9% | -0.3% | -4.8% | -2.6% |
| 2011-10-25 | beat | 0.77 | 1.03 | +34.2% | +6.1% | +12.0% | +14.1% |
Not investment advice.
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