LGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+2.6%
Next 1 month
+4.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +9.1% median,
75% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 77
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.44 +4.2% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$18M/day volume
59% volatility
-2% 1-year
-77% from ATH
52-week range · 31% of the way up · -34% from the high
$33.55$66.25
Congressional trades in LGIH Full tracker →
2 members · 7 buys / 3 sells · $305K–$800K disclosed · latest filing Apr 28, 2026.
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.72.
1-day std dev
7.9%
Finished up
56%
Biggest pop
+23.3%
Biggest drop
-14.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 52 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 1.16 | 1.16 | — | +6.2% | +9.6% | +3.0% | |
| 2026-04-28 | beat | -0.13 | 0.24 | +284.6% | +6.7% | +8.0% | +0.9% |
| 2026-02-17 | beat | 0.91 | 0.97 | +6.2% | -3.7% | -4.4% | -14.4% |
| 2025-11-04 | miss | 0.93 | 0.85 | -8.8% | +5.4% | +9.1% | +15.5% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 1.31 | 1.36 | +3.8% | +0.3% | +8.6% | +12.4% |
| 2025-04-29 | miss | 0.63 | 0.17 | -73.1% | -1.7% | -7.8% | -10.2% |
| 2025-02-25 | miss | 2.18 | 2.15 | -1.2% | +9.4% | +2.5% | -6.5% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | 2.53 | 2.95 | +16.8% | +0.0% | +7.4% | +1.4% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 2.27 | 2.48 | +9.2% | +6.7% | +13.8% | -2.8% |
| 2024-04-30 | miss | 1.08 | 0.72 | -33.4% | -1.6% | -6.4% | +2.3% |
| 2024-02-20 | miss | 2.54 | 2.19 | -13.8% | -9.3% | -8.4% | -12.3% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | 2.18 | 2.84 | +30.2% | +2.7% | +6.3% | +24.4% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 1.86 | 2.25 | +20.8% | -1.7% | -0.7% | -1.4% |
| 2023-05-02 | miss | 1.25 | 1.14 | -8.9% | -1.6% | -2.9% | -2.6% |
| 2023-02-21 | miss | 1.71 | 1.45 | -15.1% | -4.8% | -8.4% | -8.7% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 3.37 | 3.85 | +14.3% | +3.2% | +0.4% | -8.6% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | 4.29 | 5.20 | +21.3% | -0.4% | -6.8% | -6.8% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 2.72 | 3.25 | +19.6% | +0.6% | +1.2% | -2.9% |
| 2022-02-15 | beat | 4.20 | 4.53 | +8.0% | +6.7% | +6.7% | -4.6% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 4.01 | 4.05 | +0.9% | -1.4% | -12.1% | -10.0% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 3.91 | 4.71 | +20.6% | +0.9% | -5.9% | -8.9% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 2.40 | 3.95 | +64.9% | +1.1% | +1.5% | -0.1% |
| 2021-02-23 | beat | 4.11 | 5.18 | +26.1% | +1.5% | +0.6% | +2.9% |
| 2020-11-03 | beat | 2.16 | 2.45 | +13.6% | +4.5% | +2.5% | +0.9% |
| 2020-08-04 | beat | 1.69 | 2.21 | +31.0% | +4.5% | -1.7% | -11.2% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | 1.25 | 1.67 | +33.6% | +7.3% | +2.4% | +11.8% |
| 2020-02-25 | beat | 2.42 | 2.52 | +4.3% | -0.9% | -14.3% | -10.0% |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | 1.89 | 1.93 | +1.9% | +1.1% | -4.3% | -5.4% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | 1.63 | 1.82 | +12.0% | +6.0% | +10.1% | +11.1% |
| 2019-05-07 | miss | 0.91 | 0.75 | -17.4% | -8.4% | -5.4% | -0.2% |
| 2019-02-26 | miss | 1.78 | 1.74 | -2.0% | -3.1% | -4.5% | -5.1% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 1.54 | 1.64 | +6.0% | +1.0% | -12.9% | -10.7% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | 1.69 | 1.90 | +12.6% | +7.9% | +10.3% | +13.4% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | 0.77 | 1.10 | +43.8% | +0.3% | -7.8% | -23.2% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | 1.38 | 1.43 | +3.1% | -4.2% | -5.6% | -8.8% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 1.35 | 1.40 | +4.2% | +2.8% | +5.1% | +5.2% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | 1.23 | 1.39 | +12.6% | +2.4% | +1.3% | -2.7% |
| 2017-05-09 | beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +2.2% | +10.2% | +13.2% | +16.9% |
| 2017-03-07 | beat | 0.93 | 1.02 | +8.7% | +9.1% | +12.8% | +7.7% |
| 2016-11-08 | beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +0.8% | -2.7% | +2.9% | -0.9% |
| 2016-08-09 | beat | 0.90 | 0.97 | +7.3% | +6.6% | +6.7% | +5.1% |
| 2016-05-10 | beat | 0.52 | 0.58 | +11.0% | +1.3% | -7.1% | -15.9% |
| 2016-03-09 | beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.4% | +5.8% | +9.7% | +0.7% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 0.72 | 0.76 | +5.0% | +6.6% | -0.9% | +8.1% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | 0.65 | 0.68 | +5.4% | +6.0% | +23.3% | +32.1% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +11.1% | +0.1% | +1.8% | +5.1% |
| 2015-03-12 | miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -2.4% | +1.3% | +8.4% | +8.4% |
| 2014-11-11 | miss | 0.34 | 0.34 | -0.6% | -6.9% | -7.8% | -18.4% |
| 2014-08-12 | beat | 0.33 | 0.46 | +41.1% | +5.2% | -1.6% | +2.9% |
| 2014-05-15 | beat | 0.16 | 0.25 | +57.4% | +3.8% | +6.3% | +6.4% |
| 2014-03-31 | beat | 0.15 | 0.34 | +128.5% | +0.2% | -4.6% | -6.9% |
| 2013-12-17 | miss | 0.41 | 0.18 | -55.7% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +5.6% |
Not investment advice.
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