LIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
-0.5%
Next 1 month
+1.5%
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 12
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.40%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.64 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt (5y) -0.0%
$11.0B market cap (#454 US)
$30M/day volume
38% volatility
-47% 1-year
-77% from ATH
52-week range · 4% of the way up · -47% from the high
$10.66$20.95
Congressional trades in LI Full tracker →
2 members · 3 buys / 2 sells · $33K–$145K disclosed · latest filing Oct 22, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-25 (Wednesday, before open, in 24 days) · EPS est. -0.84.
1-day std dev
8.6%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+18.8%
Biggest drop
-16.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 25 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | miss | -0.42 | -1.69 | -306.6% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -2.1% |
| 2026-05-28 | miss | -2.02 | -2.26 | -12.0% | -4.7% | -1.5% | -7.7% |
| 2026-03-12 | miss | 0.15 | 0.01 | -93.2% | -3.9% | -2.5% | -6.5% |
| 2025-11-26 | miss | 0.56 | -0.62 | -211.7% | -2.0% | +0.6% | -4.0% |
| 2025-08-28 | miss | 1.42 | 1.03 | -27.7% | +0.3% | +2.9% | +4.6% |
| 2025-05-29 | beat | 0.64 | 0.96 | +50.0% | +0.4% | +2.1% | +4.9% |
| 2025-03-14 | beat | 2.67 | 3.31 | +24.1% | -3.8% | -4.4% | -8.1% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 3.02 | 3.63 | +20.3% | -8.3% | -13.6% | -11.5% |
| 2024-08-28 | beat | 1.36 | 1.42 | +4.2% | -5.9% | -16.1% | -11.1% |
| 2024-05-20 | miss | 1.46 | 1.21 | -17.0% | -8.7% | -12.8% | -18.1% |
| 2024-02-26 | beat | 2.32 | 4.23 | +82.0% | +12.1% | +18.8% | +8.0% |
| 2023-11-09 | beat | 2.38 | 3.29 | +38.0% | +1.2% | -4.3% | -1.2% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.88 | 2.18 | +146.6% | -8.4% | -8.6% | -13.0% |
| 2023-05-10 | beat | 0.63 | 1.35 | +114.3% | +6.1% | +13.9% | +16.5% |
| 2023-02-27 | beat | -0.25 | 0.25 | +200.2% | +4.9% | +0.3% | +7.6% |
| 2022-12-09 | miss | -0.64 | -1.27 | -98.6% | -6.4% | -12.4% | -15.1% |
| 2022-08-15 | miss | -0.43 | -0.64 | -50.3% | -5.1% | +0.2% | -5.0% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | 0.19 | 0.47 | +153.4% | +7.5% | +4.1% | +25.6% |
| 2022-02-25 | beat | -0.21 | 0.29 | +241.1% | +1.3% | +1.9% | -0.5% |
| 2021-11-29 | beat | 0.09 | 0.34 | +277.8% | +7.1% | +6.4% | -5.8% |
| 2021-09-16 | miss | -0.98 | -2.71 | -177.5% | +0.8% | +0.7% | -9.6% |
| 2021-08-30 | miss | -0.01 | -0.07 | -425.1% | +1.8% | -1.1% | +5.6% |
| 2021-05-26 | miss | -0.12 | -0.20 | -66.7% | +0.8% | +14.2% | +24.9% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | -0.31 | 0.12 | +139.3% | +0.8% | -9.8% | -22.2% |
| 2020-11-13 | beat | -0.30 | 0.02 | +106.7% | +22.0% | -1.8% | +19.9% |
Posted about LI
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TRACKER - Cathie Wood
long
—
6d ago
ARK bought 19,713 shares of AVAV for ARKX. The trade: 0.36% of that fund, on 26 October 2026 — roughly $2.5m at that day’s close. ARK put the same…
Not investment advice.
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